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27 March 2020

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Deap

This curious UK conclusion deserves high-lighting, when compared to the Zombie Apocalypse hysteria we still find rabidly entrenched find in the US:

"As of 19 March 2020, COVID-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious diseases (HCID) in the UK. ... Now that more is known about COVID-19, the public health bodies in the UK have reviewed the most up to date information about COVID-19 against the UK HCID criteria.

They have determined that several features have now changed; in particular, more information is available about mortality rates (low overall), and there is now greater clinical awareness and a specific and sensitive laboratory test, the availability of which continues to increase.

The Advisory Committee on Dangerous Pathogens (ACDP) is also of the opinion that COVID-19 should no longer be classified as an HCID."

This should put the SARS-CoV-2 virus and COVID-19 into the standard category of an infectious disease, which would include types of "regular" flu. ...."

Jose

This should put the SARS-CoV-2 virus and COVID-19 into the standard category of an infectious disease, which would include types of "regular" flu.

IMHO, our public health system needs a serious review after this crisis.

Please see this explanation from Germany as to why their rates are lower than ours, fits in with your analysis.

https://www.npr.org/2020/03/25/820595489/why-germanys-coronavirus-death-rate-is-far-lower-than-in-other-countries

Jack

Robert,

It seems like with most legislation emanating from DC that there are all kinds of loopholes designed for the clients of K St. I’ve read that airlines who spent much of their cash flow to support the debt incurred to buyback their stock to pad the compensation of their executives, plan to layoff many employees in the 4th quarter after the restrictions on their bailout funds ends.

With tens of thousands of small businesses shuttered their losses continue to mount. This could cause many of them to file bankruptcy and not reopen when the shutdown is lifted.

The flood of liquidity from the Fed is designed to lift financial assets. More importantly to allow Wall St to “sell” all their impaired credit to the Fed. A chart of the Fed balance sheet shows a vertical rise.

In the UK both Boris and Charles have stated they’re isolating as they’ve tested positive for the virus. I’ve read that the Jarvits center in NYC has been converted into a hospital. There are conflicting reports of stress at ICUs. My grandson says that his VA hospital is not overwhelmed with coronavirus cases.

JJackson

Re
"... all levels of government have trapped themselves with no objective criteria and evidence on which to base a return to sane, normal life."

There is a route back. It requires testing and contract tracing in areas with low disease burden and, once the numbers become more manageable due to the reduced transmission caused by the lock-downs, in hot spots. Once the authorities have a clearer picture of where the disease is they can ease restrictions in some areas with good contact tracing and gradually clear area by area of uncontrolled and undocumented spread. It is not quick but it is a tried and tested method which has been used to kill dozens of previous epidemics inc. Polio, SARS, Ebola etc.

Artemesia

Well well well.
Gantz threw in with Bibi.
Mnuchin and FED control doling out $500 billion.
How much of that will find its way to Israel?

Gantz realized Bibi had more experience fleecing USA than he did; better to join the crime gang than be cut off from the loot.

A prediction: Coronavirus pandemic will end in the next very few days.
The heist is a fait accompli, the distraction is no longer needed.

JJackson

This is a very clear and simple model explaining the basics of epidemiology and the effects of public health interventions.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxAaO2rsdIs

Chicot

Interesting that the downgrading of covid-19 was held back until Saturday the 21st. On the 20th, pubs, bars and restaurants were ordered to close in the UK(previously they had been allowed to remain open but people had been warned not to go to them!). Meanwhile, the "expert" who's apocalyptic predictions caused Boris to panic and change course has been busy downgrading his estimate of deaths yet again. Originally, it would have been 500,000, then it went down to 20,000 and he now estimates that the death toll may be only 5,700. Of course, it will be claimed that only the imposition of the police state averted armageddon.

LondonBob

Plod seem to adore their new powers here. Struggle to see a policeman in normal times, suddenly they are everywhere hounding the general public. Apparently I am no longer allowed to go cycling in the local park, regardless that I am probably as likely to die in a crash as I am to catch the virus from one of the ponces in their lycra outfits and racing bikes passing me.

We shall see but Johnson is eager to end the restrictions as soon as possible, let us hope the data continues to suggest this is more benign than first feared. Italy has always been an outlier in such things.

Timothy Hagios

Many things are not adding up about the response to the coronavirus. It would be more logical to spend $2.2 trillion on creating accommodations for the 1-5% of the population that is actually vulnerable to the virus. How is shutting down the whole country, even temporarily, not going to lead to an economic depression? Another Great Depression will kill more people than would die even if the virus were allowed to circulate uninhibited.

Could it simply be that the people in the government and the press have jobs that are not threatened by the lockdown, and thus have no inclination to think about the vast majority of workers whose survival is very much in jeopardy?

Keith Harbaugh

For the role the media played in creating the panic, please see
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2020/03/26/fear-and-panic-for-a-purpose-the-coronavirus-evolves-into-the-blue-plague/

Barbara Ann

Thank you Mr Willmann, very interesting.

Bloomberg (the financial media outlet, if the distinction can be made between its views and those of the eponymous failed presidential candidate) has an op-ed on the bill, which IMO is well worth a read. On the alphabet soup of asset purchase schemes:

"So how can they [the Fed] do this? The Fed will finance a special purpose vehicle (SPV) for each acronym to conduct these operations. The Treasury, using the Exchange Stabilization Fund, will make an equity investment in each SPV and be in a “first loss” position. What does this mean? In essence, the Treasury, not the Fed, is buying all these securities and backstopping of loans; the Fed is acting as banker and providing financing."
And in case you were in any doubt as to he political implications:
"In other words, the federal government is nationalizing large swaths of the financial markets. The Fed is providing the money to do it. BlackRock will be doing the trades.

This scheme essentially merges the Fed and Treasury into one organization. So, meet your new Fed chairman, Donald J. Trump."

And to drive the point home:
"In effect, the Fed is giving the Treasury access to its printing press. This means that, in the extreme, the administration would be free to use its control, not the Fed’s control, of these SPVs to instruct the Fed to print more money so it could buy securities and hand out loans in an effort to ramp financial markets higher going into the election."

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-03-27/federal-reserve-s-financial-cure-risks-being-worse-than-disease

Keith Harbaugh

SJ: Who is COVID-19 killing?
I think we need to consider that question.
In the NYT, the epicenter of political correctness,
two obituaries have been featured,
one of Terrence McNally and one of Maurice Berger.
TM died of COVID-19, MB "exhibited severe symptoms of coronavirus" before his death.
Both were homosexuals.
Question: Is COVID-19 primarily affecting, not merely the elderly, but also homosexual men?
You know, we spend so much time thinking about who are "victims";
I think we should spend some time thinking about who bring on their problems by their own free-will choices,
and the extent to which the larger society is obligated to bail them out from THEIR choices.

Mark Cumberpatch

Good for the UK

https://raconteurreport.blogspot.com/2020/03/field-clinical-report-nawlins-er.html?m=1

vig

It is alleged to cause an illness called COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019), earlier called 2019-nCoV.

"alleged" in this case would need a huge worldwide conspiracy of scientists. You feel WHO and/or some (Chinese) mastermind could trigger something like that?

i fully understand the legal expert has to stay "objective", apart from having to either prove a client guilty or innocent on matters. Which from lawyers to media filtered down by now.

JMH

Mass hysteria, civil unrest, cascading economic death spiral: all averted. Thank God!

Terence Gore

https://twitter.com/ClimateAudit/status/1243702913790357504

In a preliminary clinical trial on a small cohort of COVID-19 patients, we demonstrated that
those treated with hydroxychloroquine (600 mg per day, N=20 patients) had a significant
reduction in viral carriage at D6-post inclusion, with 70% of patients testing negative for the
virus through nasopharyngeal PCR, compared to untreated controls (N=16) with only 12.5%
patients testing negative using PCR at D6-post inclusion (16). In addition, of the twenty
patients who were treated with hydroxychloroquine, six received azithromycin for five days
(for the purposes of preventing bacterial super-infection) and all (100%) were virologically
cured at D6-post inclusion, compared to 57.1% of the remaining 14 patients (16)

https://www.mediterranee-infection.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/COVID-IHU-2-1.pdf

From following links at Dan Bongino Twitter
https://twitter.com/dbongino/status/1243891111921209344


JerseyJeffersonian

News from France on a treatment regimen.

https://techstartups.com/2020/03/27/coronavirus-cure-new-results-french-study-shows-combination-hydroxychloroquine-plaquenil-azithromycin-successfully-treated-80-coronavirus-patients-significant-dr/

Meanwhile, back here in the USA, at least two Democrat governors (Nevada and Michigan) have issued orders that doctors in their zones of autocratic control (a/k/a their states) are forbidden to prescribe chloroquinone or hydroxychloroquinone for the "off-label" use to treat CoVID-19, ostensibly to avoid hoarding and depriving others being prescribed these drugs on an "off-label" basis for maladies such as rheumatoid arthritis of their accustomed supply.

Frankly, I doubt this "reason"; rather, the intent is to cynically prolong the outbreak to work political damage on President Trump.

They are using their respective states' control of medical licensing in weaponizing federalism to their political party's perceived advantage, citizens of their states be damned.

Well, we shall see how this advantages the Democrat party if the families of those afflicted with the virus find out that potentially life saving therapies are being withheld from their loved ones by these bloody-minded tyrants and their odious manuevers.

Eric Newhill

This is going to be revealed as one of the biggest and costliest hoaxes ( or hysterias or info ops - depending on how you choose to frame it) in the history of the country. Right up there with Iraqi WMD. Of course the politicians will say that it turned out no worse than a bad seasonal flu because of the smart and aggressive actions they took. Anyone questioning that official meme will be dismissed as a "conspiracy theorist" .

There has been no spike in infectious disease deaths or mortality generally over previous years (adjusted for this and that to normalize the data). There is no "there", there.

BillWade

I'm in the "way over hyped camp" myself. However I also think some regions will be hit hard. I'm concerned about Ft Myers, Fl.. A local 39 year old DJ, who had performed in many events prior to his death, including Spring Break events in Miami, has now died. His wife,a nurse, insisted he go to the hospital to be tested but they refused due to his youngish age. They did agree to test him for two strains of the flu, both came back negative only reinforcing his wife's opinion. They wound up going back home till he became increasingly ill and she took him back. He tested positive and then shortly thereafter died. This man has been in contact with hundreds if not thousands of young party-goers in March.

I've heard the Lombardy region of Italy has a much higher than normal amount of people with mesothemiola (sp?). Asbestos was heavily manufactured and used there up until 1992 - so those folks are likely (or were) elderly now, might account for the higher mortality rate.

Upstate NY'er

When hysteria meets common sense, hysteria usually wins.
Then the Democrat-media flogs the hysteria to damage the President as much as possible - the country be damned.
We now have "virus theatre" where the "inner cop" comes out of otherwise powerless people.
Once again proof that the 80-90% of the American people are stupid, worthless, lazy followers.

turcopolier

upstateNYer

Amen, but the ones who are part Neanderthal are the better ones.

optimax

I read that doctors are hoarding hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin for themselves and loved ones. You can be sure the political and financial elite will be able to get the drugs at the first sign of infection. But Joe and Josephine Blow may get it after they have been hospitalized, and by then it may be too late to prevent permanent lung damage, that is, if they survive.

How does Germany treat its C-19 patients? Anybody know.

Fred

Timothy,

The overwhelming majority of the vulnerable already have housing. As to homeless or adicts or other people sleeping in the feces covered streets of San Fran, well I haven't heard CNN and company put out much news about them so either they aren't dying like flies or they are no longer politically relevant to TPTB.

Optimax,

Pepe Escobar has a writeup on UNZ about the entire stockpile disapearing out the French health care system. Worry not, there are lots of very expense replacements just waiting for a purchase order, and that doesn't even include the ones from China.
https://www.unz.com/pescobar/why-france-is-hiding-a-cheap-and-tested-virus-cure/

At least we can all look forward to $1,000 and the bail out bill.

JohninMK

Interestingly the UK temporally made the decision that COVID-19 should be considered to be a high consequence infectious diseases (HCID) back in January.

This means that the UK Government has been aware since then that it had a potentially serious situation on its hands. Yet still did very little, until the day it is rumored that Macron told Boris to either act or France would close the border.

elaine

www.hollywoodreporter.com: "China shuts down all cinemas, AGAIN."
Also a neighbor told me he has a buddie in China who said Wuhan
is once again in total lock down.

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