« Open Thread - 4 March 2020 | Main | On War - BOOK 3 • CHAPTER 5 "The Military Virtue of an Army" Clausewitz »

05 March 2020

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

ambrit

Sir;
It is now asserted over here out in Left field that the DNC would rather lose to Trump with anybody than win with Sanders.
Warren has come out of the shadows as the spoiler for Sanders that she always was. Not all of her votes would go to Sanders if she had not been in, indeed, her core constituency seems to be mainly women and ten percenters, otherwise known as the PMC (Professional Managerial Class.) That group would never support any sort of Populist candidate.
Bloomberg spent plenty of his own hard stolen loot to kneecap Sanders. We here in the Deep South are still getting Bloomberg flyers in the mail. Some groups of the voting population will always be "low information voters," and thus strongly susceptible to propaganda campaigns.
The key flaw in the Democrat Party's primary system is the reliance on the early primary states, mainly clustered in the old Deep South. One hears much talk of "momentum" for a candidate coming out of these early contests. so much so is this true that one could posit that the Democrat Party nomenklaturs wished the contest to be decided in these early voting states. However, these early states are mainly conservative bastions which will generally vote Republican in the general election. So, why would a "true blue" party like the Democrat Party rely on the decisions of the group of states that least mirror the party's core constituency? A cynic would say that, for the Democrat Party nomenklatura, the 'real' core constituency is comprised of the Donor Class. In effect, there is almost no substantive difference between the elites of either American legacy political party.
Insofar as he has been and so far has continued to self-identify as an American Socialist, (let us leave the argument over what that beastie really is till another day,) Sanders threatens the power and perks of the Democrat Party nomenklatura. Thus, the full bore campaign against Sanders by the party he is running in.
Vote early and vote often.

Jack

Larry,

IMO, the primary is over. Biden will be the nominee at the convention and the establishment will not be stealing it as he’ll have the most delegates and votes. Sure, it will go to the second ballot.

The general election is going to be determined as usual by a handful of states. Michigan and Pennsylvania being ground zero. Unlike Hillary, senile Biden will be more competitive in those states. The Obama machine will be running his campaign. With Kamala or Amy as his VP they’ll make a serious go of those states. It is not a slam dunk for Trump.

JJackson

It will be interesting to see how COVID effects your 2020 elections. The Republicans have their man but Dems need to attend these public gatherings to work out who their champion will be. If there is no clear winner before the convention then are there plans to manage it. From a public health point of view it would crazy to have a mass gathering with delegates from all areas packed into a convention hall for viral swap-meet. It is a perfect spreading environment for a respiratory pathogen even better than the S Korean church meeting linked to nearly all their cases.

Jim

I read that there are millions of mailed-in California ballots to be counted and that the Sanders campaign expects to receive a lot of them, and a bump in delegates, making it a virtual tie or even a lead for Bernie.

Some key points about Super Tuesday:

1. The center-right of the party consolidated around Biden after his win in South Carolina.
2. In South Carolina, James Clyburn played a key role, and this provided the template for Biden’s victories in the six states across the South with large African American voting blocs.
3. After South Carolina, the next step was Obama calling Pete and Amy and telling them to step aside for the team, lest Sanders run away with Super Tuesday. Amy delivered Minnesota to Biden and other endorsements (like Harry Reid) lifted Biden in Texas and Massachusetts.
4. Warren had a poor showing and, objectively speaking, only served to confuse the progressive vote, paving the way for Biden wins in MA and Texas. What was she thinking? She had no path to the nomination, so there are only two options: deliberately divide the progressive vote and serve the nomination to Biden; or hang on with the hope of miraculously emerging as the compromise candidate between the progressive and corporate wings. Trump lambasted her correctly in his twitter attacks.
5. Politically, the DNC establishment clearly wants to run the election solely on a 'Beat Trump' platform, with nothing else of substance in terms of policy. They just want a 'professional management' of the state, as opposed to Trump's erratic behavior. They think the Obama years were just fine, and we can just go back to that with 'better management.' The last thing they want is the change in politics that Sanders represents -- Medicare for All, Green New Deal, tax hikes on corporations and the 1%, breaking up corporate monopolies, and an end to forever wars. The corporate wing profits too much from the status quo to tolerate any of those politics. This is class war *inside* the DNC.
6. Identity politics played a pernicious role, and Biden is still playing this up. Basically, the relatively small black elite rallied around Biden, and used Biden's association with Obama to deliver the working-class African American vote. The Churches seemed to have played a role in this too.
7. The MSM played a dishonest role in the days between Nevada and Super Tuesday, smearing Sanders with a welter of garbage, like Chris Mathews comparing Bernie's win in Nevada to the Nazi conquest of France, and like Carville losing his (already lost) mind. The MSM is owned by the biggest corporations in the country and they are desperate to defeat Bernie.
8. What is the legacy of Bernie's strategy? Can the DNC be transformed away from a party of Wall Street, Big Business and liberal interventionism? Doesn't look like it.
9. Will Biden's rebound be a Pyrrhic Victory? He is losing mental abilities very quickly, and surely won't do any better than Hillary Clinton against Trump. Bernie polls better than Biden against Trump in over 60 national polls.
10. Lasty, we can't underestimate the effect of Russiagate. Millions of Democratic voters think that its imperative to oust Trump because he is only President because of collusion and Russian meddling. The DNC strategy around Mueller and Impeachment paid off in their internal battle against Bernie. They convinced many Democratic voters that the election should only focus on 'beating Trump' with another Clinton clone. For those who support Trump, Super Tuesday was a god send.

Larry Johnson

Jim,
Not true about 3 million still to be counted. California stated they have counted 97% of the votes, which includes the mail ins.

Fred

Jim,

Those same "Russia did it" democrats will tell you they don't think Obama and the democrats failed in securing that same election.

Eric Newhill

This is an very interesting election. Both Bernie and Biden have a real probability of succumbing to corona-virus before Nov 2 - and if they avoid that, and by satanic miracle, were to be elected, both have a high probability of dying in office. Bernie by heart attack and Biden being found face down in his drool bucket for various health/mental reasons.

The party of science and diversity couldn't - out of millions - find anyone better and more likely to survive than these two old health compromised white men.

How anyone can be a proud Democrat escapes me entirely. It's gotta be some kind of deep cult like indoc.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been saved. Comments are moderated and will not appear until approved by the author. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear until the author has approved them.

Your Information

(Name and email address are required. Email address will not be displayed with the comment.)

My Photo

November 2020

Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12 13 14
15 16 17 18 19 20 21
22 23 24 25 26 27 28
29 30          
Blog powered by Typepad