RUSSIAN FEDERATION SITREP 5 DECEMBER 2019 by Patrick Armstrong

POWER OF SIBERIA. Putin and Xi turned on the pipeline on Monday. It carries gas from Russia's Far East into China and has a carrying capacity of 61 billion M3 per year. There'll be more. This has no small strategic significance: previously, for foreign sales, Russia was dependent on customers in Europe who are all, to a greater or lesser extent, subject to pressure from the war party. Added to which transport was affected by Kiev's whims. Turkstream (scheduled to start next month) and the two pipelines to Germany help with the second problem and this one with the first. Sooner or later, Russia-China pipelines would have appeared but I think Ishchenko's argument that the Western war on Russia speeded up the process is credible. (Come to think of it, now that Putin's hand is imagined everywhere, maybe it's time to consider that he's the American war party's real backer; after all, everything it's touched has turned to dust: from the forever wars, to Iran's increased influence, to the Russia-China alliance and now the furore in the USA over Ukraine – itself another disastrous project.)

WEAPONS. More and more projects are surfacing. The Ground Forces commander says the Kungas robot family is ready for the next stage of tests – the Uran-9 UCGV is already in service. In accordance with the New START Treaty, Avangard was shown to US inspectors and it's expected to be in service this month: a very hypersonic re-entry vehicle – there's no defence against it because it's less than 30 minutes from anywhere. These super weapons are not cost free: Putin confirmed that the August explosion in Severodvinsk did involve an unique weapon (one assumes either the Buravestnik or the Poseydon); work will continue said he. An over-the-horizon radar station is opened. The first upgraded White Swan strategic bomber is being tested.

SOFTWARE. A law has passed requiring electronic gadgets to have Russia software in them. The BBC idiotically says: "Others have raised concerns that the Russian-made software could be used to spy on users". "Idiotically" because one of the reasons for the law is that US-made software is spying on users.

DEMOGRAPHICS. Karlin sees a small increase in Russia's population over the next 30 years.

TOURISM. Moscow – World's Leading City Destination 2019. Russia does show well.

CORRUPTION. The Russian Investigative Committee has opened a case into large scale theft during construction at the Vostochniy launch complex.

BROWDER. His story has been swallowed whole all over the West, "Magnitsky laws" passed and he has been pretty successful in quashing Nekrasov's documentary. But, finally, a major Western news outlet takes up the story: Der Spiegel: "The case of Magnitsky: How true is the history on which US sanctions against Russia are based?" How true is it? Not very. (DS did it because of the ECHR decision?) DS merely repeats what Nekrasov discovered: watch the documentary and see the lies taken apart.

NATO SUMMIT. "NATO is obsolete" argues with "NATO is brain dead". "The leaders reaffirmed their commitment to Afghanistan": next month NATO will have doubled the USSR's time there; can it triple it? Busy busy busy: "much broader range of threats than in the past": Russia, Middle East, Africa, weapons of mass destruction, cyber attacks, threats to energy supplies, environmental challenges. Add China. And space. More money. Trump leaves early. Brain dead and obsolete.

OPCW. Corrupted over Douma, how about Skripal? Helmer tweets: "British Ministry of Defence document reveals it is missing chain of custody over Skripal blood samples which the ministry’s DSTL laboratory at Porton Down claims to prove a Russian Novichok attack. Publishing shortly." Somebody could have added "type A-234 nerve agent in its virgin state" or BZ to the sample? Nah, who'd do that?

WADA. A other corrupted organisation. (Tinfoil hat alert!) Dear Little Canada behind it?

THE FULL AMERICAN DELUSION IN 45 SECONDS. No comment.

THE DEMS STEP ON THE RAKE. Impeachment. Only question is how big will Trump's win be?

NEW NWO. "Macron offers a very coherent geopolitical view of the world. He’s probably now the only western leader to have one." Very interesting read. The Normandy meeting will tell us if he's serious.

EUROPEANS ARE REVOLTING. Six more EU countries join the INSTEX payment system to bypass US sanctions on Iran. US Germany Ambassador not amused. German poll: US down, Russia up.

UKRAINE MISCELLANY. A discussion of how dangerous the decision to use US fuel in Ukraine nuclear power plans could be. A Maidan participant realises that it was all for nothing. Ukronazis spotted in Hong Kong. The scourge has spread to the USA. Tails, dogs, chickens, roosts.

© Patrick Armstrong Analysis, Canada Russia Observer

Comments

[kapimo]

Regarding Bloomberg article about Macron, it says his aides work on "what will enrage the Germans most, what can be done most cheaply, and what will grab him most attention" adding that "the team have stress tested all of his policy initiatives using a metrics system that scores each idea according to factors such as how much opposition it will encounter, how much it costs and how big a change it requires".

"Macron offers a very coherent geopolitical view of the world."
"If Moscow could be drawn into Europe’s orbit instead of China’s, it could help tip the balance on the Eurasian super-continent. Macron believes Russia will tire of playing junior partner to Beijing and when it does, he wants Europe to be ready."

Well, maybe he has a coherent view of the world and a clear one about where he wants to go, and maybe he is an astute and capable politician with some clever tactics.

The problem is that this guy is a kind of megalomaniac "arrogant autocratic" statesman. His lack of empathy and real brutality has managed to trigger a level of hate against him by a lot of french that never was seen or even thought of before regarding french presidents. This bankster's agent punches well above his weight, and will very probably be the source of big and bloody disasters if he isn't murdered before.

[Timothy Hagios]

The news media are quick to tell us that the idea that Ukrainians would meddle in our politics is a "conspiracy theory" that was "debunked." On an related note, the Ukrainian government openly created an "information army" whose purpose is to make online posts in support of the Ukrainian government. The existence of this "army," which started in 2015, is publicly available information that is mentioned on the official web site of the Ukrainian government: http://mip.gov.ua/ru/news/115.html

[Fred]

Dangerous to use US nuclear fuel? That article doesn't describe any failure related to fuel rods designed and built by Westinghouse, it makes claims of problems with different reactors in the Czech Republic. Other than political ramifications, such as the political decision to change fuel sources after Poroshenko came to power, there don't appear to be engineering issues other than poor maintenance of secondary systems. Lack of money being the issue. Perhaps they should end the war so they can reallocate the government's priorities.

[Patrick Armstrong]

https://nuclear-news.net/2019/05/20/ukraines-present-nuclear-reactors-time-bombs-at-risk-of-another-chernobyl/

[Fred]

Patrick,

Thanks for the additional link. That's a much better source of information. There's plenty of needed repair work in the electric utility field in Ukaraine which is yet another commercial incentive for companies to support the prior administrations Orange revolution efforts, but no reason for the US taxpayers to do so.

[Andrei Martyanov (aka SmoothieX12)]

Well, maybe he has a coherent view of the world

He doesn't and it is late anyway--the Russian ship has sailed. So did a European one. Europe is just the market for Russia.

[J]

Wonder who's footing the bill for the Ukronazis field-trip and stay in Hong Kong (Globalists within CIA or State, or both?).

If the Ukronazis aren't real careful since they stick out like well-worn thumbs, they'll wind up with a Chinese projectile to the back of their heads, or a quiet blow to the neck by Chinese specialists causing their immediate demise (oops one slipped on a bar of soap). I don't foresee the Chinese government putting up with their antics for very long.

[DH]

"Six more EU countries join...INSTEX...to bypass US sanctions on Iran."

It feels like the US is a collapsed narcissist. Once they get old, no one puts up with them anymore. I hope the new order is kind to crazy Aunt Betty.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cHoyQd8JhiE

[J]

I really feel for the Russian navy, with their Carrier Admiral Kuznetsov on fire while it's docked in Murmansk for repairs. So far 2 are unaccounted for and missing. A welding spark ignited fuel.

Fortunately there were no munitions onboard near the fire area. Cooked off munitions would not have been a fun thing to have to deal with in addition to their fire situation.

[J]

Congress and State going stupid:

Senate Foreign Relations Committee has approved a bill asking the State Department to determine whether Russia falls under criteria of a state sponsor of terrorism

https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/senate-bill/1189?q=%7B%22search%22%3A%5B%22S.1189%22%5D%7D&s=1&r=1

[J]

Russia test fired its Kinzhal missile Tuesday in the Artic.

https://tass.com/defense/1100389

[J]

NATO drills indicate preparations for large-scale conflict — Russian General Staff

https://tass.com/defense/1100381