SAUDI ARABIA. The visit of Salman bin Abdulaziz was pretty significant I think. The deal on the petrodollar was that Riyadh would insist on USD for payment in return for protection. Because Washington's wars in the MENA have only made Iran stronger, Riyadh cannot think the deal is working out and it may be looking for a new sponsor: it happened before when Abdulaziz switched from London to Washington. My thoughts here. I believe that the sale of S-400 air defence systems could be a geopolitical gamechanger. Another of Moscow's strengths is that it talks to everybody: and so it has offered to mediate between Riyadh and Tehran. Because Washington takes sides, it is useless should Riyadh want to negotiate its way out of messes with its neighbours. "The success of the Euro-Asian triptych is based on the essential principle of transforming enemies into neutral players, neutral players into allies, and further improving relations with allied nations." Slowly, patiently, bit by bit the long game is played.
QUOTE OF THE DAY: "The world has entered an era of rapid change. Things that were only recently referred to as fantastic or unattainable have become a reality and have become part of our daily lives." I don't think Putin's referring to the latest computer game, do you? History didn't end, after all.
RUSSIA INC. I expand on something I wrote some time ago. Russia is a "full-service" economy. One of four on the planet. It and China are going up; the USA and the EU are going down.
CW. It was announced that the last of Russia's chemical weapons inherited from the USSR have been destroyed. The USA, not completed its own program, is now aiming for 2023. Neither country hit the first deadline of 2007, nor the second of 2012. The NYT does its best to blame Russia for finishing early.
PUTINVILLE. Moscow has been named the fourth safest megacity for women and St Petersburg the best tourist destination in Europe. I don't put a lot of stock in these ratings but they are useful counters to the Russia as hellhole nonsense that clogs the Western MSM.
WESTERN VALUES™. This should be good for a laugh: Petr Pavlenskiy has been arrested for setting a fire at the Bank of France. Paris granted him asylum after he was fined for setting a fire at the FSB headquarters in Moscow. Does "protest art" in Russia become arson in France?
GETTING SCARED. Russia used to be feeble and falling apart and the danger was that some crazy general would get hold of "loose nukes" and do something bad. Now the Russia-as-enemy campaign is starting to frighten the people who created it. Some of the alarm is feigned as part of the campaign for more money but I think they're really starting to understand that they have woken a sleeping giant and filled him with resolve (as Admiral Yamamoto is said to have said). And they fear that the US military, after a couple of decades of fighting people who can only fight back with car bombs and suicide belts, isn't ready for Prime Time. Some US military connected outfit has put out a how to fight Russia manual (rather amusingly based on the assumption that Kiev forces were fighting the Russian Armed Forces in Donbass – won't they be surprised if they were to meet the real thing!). Meanwhile the Heritage Foundation laments that "Our military has undoubtedly grown weaker". This shouldn't be unexpected, Washington assumed too much and pushed too much. But, still, nothing much has been learned: Kiev wasn't fighting the Russian Armed Forces and Heritage's idea that Congress should "pass a budget that will truly provide for the common defense" is laughable. The problem isn't money. But here we are: another step towards the new new world order.
AMERICA-HYSTERICA. Latest top hits from the three principal fake news outlets: "Catalonia held a referendum. Russia won" from the WaPo; Pokemon from CNN; cute puppies from the NYT. Meanwhile Senator Burr admits that, after months of hearings, "I’m not going to even discuss any initial findings because we haven’t any” and the real Russian scandal emerges from the shadows. (But, Dear Readers, before the usual drivel about corrupt and corrupting Russians starts up, if your government is for sale, can you blame people for buying it?)
UKRAINE. Another coup in the making? Demonstrations kicked off by a torchlight parade. Demands (at the moment) are a new election law for parliamentarians, an anti-corruption court, ending parliamentary immunity. Signed by Tymoshenko and Saakashvili among many others including some of the nazi battalions. Perhaps not coincidentally, an investigation into fraud committed by President Poroshenko has been opened. Did the coal from Pennsylvania actually come from Russia? Nuclear fears. Another huge ammunition dump fire. The collapse continues.
© Patrick Armstrong Analysis, Canada Russia Observer
The end of the PetroDollar comes from China also. China is now the Saudi's biggest customer. China wants to pay in it's own currency, and,"The customer is always right".
The Russian central bank now has more reserves in Gold than the US$. The US has been using the SWIFT system to punish Iran so now China and Russia have created a work-around. China, Russia, Iran and Turkey all view gold as a means to side step the US monetary system. Saudis love Gold also. To top it off Germany now has become the worlds largest gold importer. Europe is tired of paying the biggest price for US pushed sanctions of Russia.
The world listens when Putin says "Every where the US goes, turns to shit"
End of Rant.
FD
Posted by: Farmer Don | 19 October 2017 at 03:34 PM
Man, this is good stuff. I really appreciate the quality of commentators here.
Posted by: Walker | 19 October 2017 at 06:22 PM
Meanwhile, in Ottawa, the Ukrainian Canadian Congress is calling for "specialized sanctions units" in the Departments of Global Affairs and Finance.
From their press release dated today: "Upon the adoption of the Magnitsky Act, the Honourable Chrystia Freeland, Canada's Minister of Foreign Affairs, stated, "Canada has a strong reputation around the world as a country that holds clear and cherished democratic values and stands up for human rights. This new law, which has received cross-partisan support in Parliament, is a clear demonstration that Canada takes any and all necessary measures to respond to gross violations of human rights and acts of significant foreign corruption."
"The UCC calls on the Government of Canada to:
Move swiftly to implement sanctions against Russian judges, prosecutors, investigators and other officials responsible for the illegal imprisonment and maltreatment of Ukrainian citizens;
Establish specialized sanctions units at the Departments of Global Affairs and Finance in order to ensure that sanctions are implemented effectively and comprehensively."
There seems to be no way to stop Canada eagerly following America's failed strategy in relation to Russia. In the long run, the diaspora Ukrainians are doing themselves no favours.
Posted by: Castellio | 19 October 2017 at 06:44 PM
Petr Pavlenskiy? Yeah, I remember who he is. He's 'Scrotum Boy': https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petr_Pavlensky#Fixation
Posted by: Seamus Padraig | 19 October 2017 at 07:10 PM
It appears that D.C. is trying to apply the same tactic they used to implode the former Soviet Union, applying the same principle to both the current Russian Federation and China. In essence forcing them to spend more than they have to build up their military machine in the process bankrupting themselves into oblivion.
Posted by: J | 19 October 2017 at 07:51 PM
"Paris granted him asylum after he was fined for setting a fire at the FSB headquarters in Moscow. Does "protest art" in Russia become arson in France?"
Oh, his latest "performance" is so passe! What good artist starts to repeat oneself so... unoriginally? He should have at least nail his scrotum to the gates ofthe Bank.
For hearty laugh - contrast and compare the prevalent silence from all major MSM ignoring this... "street art performce"... with the tearful hossannas to the artistic genius of one Piotr Pavlensky by them back then: https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/jonathanjonesblog/2015/nov/09/pyotr-pavlensky-is-setting-russias-evil-history-ablaze
No, really - the Franch ought to appreciate Pavlensky's "art"! They also have no right to talk back, being, after all, forever stained by Robespierre's Le Terror, and Vichy France's secret police (what's good for the goose is good for the gander, am I right?)/s
Posted by: Lyttenburgh | 19 October 2017 at 08:02 PM
Agreed.
Posted by: Donald | 19 October 2017 at 09:43 PM
Don, Please explain why today's spot gold charts/prices & bullion sales
aren't reflecting a big dive into gold. Even GLD isn't jumping for joy &
the miners' stocks are in a lull.
When do you anticipate a sizable uptick in the glittering commodity?
If the PetroDollar is on its last legs as you say it should be soon.
Perhaps in my quick perusal of the gold markets I missed something.
Posted by: elaine | 20 October 2017 at 02:24 AM
Agreed.
You know instinctively the MSM is serving you up in shit, but this gives you chapter and verse.
Thank you, Patrick.
Posted by: johnf | 20 October 2017 at 02:25 AM
The end of the PetroDollar comes from China also. China is now the Saudi's biggest customer. China wants to pay in it's own currency, and,"The customer is always right".The end of the PetroDollar comes from China also. China is now the Saudi's biggest customer. China wants to pay in it's own currency, and,"The customer is always right".
https://www.ft.com/content/42b521c0-b028-11e7-beba-5521c713abf4?mhq5j=e5
Aramco, the Saudi national oil company is planned to become a public listed company. It is not certain if this will happen when China might buy (part) of Aramco.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-19/cefc-china-quashes-speculation-aramco-ipo-could-be-next-target
However. it is also possible that the Chinese will not buy. Today the Chinese bought a share of Rosneft (which has German ex-chancellor Schroder as CEO) and said they were not interested in Aramco now.
The latter could off course be a diversionary statement to hide their real intentions.
It is also worth reading the speech referred to in THE QUOTE OF THE DAY above.
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/55882
IMO it presents a clear insight in the future (and the past) according to Putin.
Posted by: Adrestia | 20 October 2017 at 03:00 AM
Seconded. The Colonel and his Committee do us proud. But what a mass of media sludge they're up against.
Posted by: English Outsider | 20 October 2017 at 06:32 AM
It may have worked against the Soviet economy but I suspect the bankruptcy would be the US's if they take on China and the Russians - they spend smarter and can play the long game. This is a very different world even if some inside the beltway bubble are unable, or unwilling, to see it.
Posted by: JJackson | 20 October 2017 at 09:46 AM
As long as the stock and bond markets are doing well, & people perceive inflation as low, the huge majority of investors are not interested in gold.
The central bankers I mentioned are happy to accumulate it at a reasonable cost.
China is also busy buying up miners world wide, and has increased mining capacity in China to make it the world's largest producer. They are also looking to partner in new mines along their silk road project.
The British Pound went down over years, the same may happen with US$.
The US is still sitting on a fair amount of gold, about 8000 tons
Here in Canada, our central bank doesn't even own gold anymore, it is so sure everything is going to be just fine.
Posted by: Farmer Don | 20 October 2017 at 10:01 AM
J
I disagree - I think China is actually doing this to the USA. Just as Paul Kennedy describes in The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers. Putin has learned his lesson and is being careful not to overreach. China is being careful to avoid getting sucked into wars, is concentrating its spend on R&D, and has only one military base abroad. The US has *thousands* of military bases around the world to pay for annually, treaty and informal obligations to numerous countries, is currently fighting wars in 3 different countries, and the neocons are chomping at the bit to start another war with Iran.
China's GDP is currently greater than that of the US compared on a "purchasing power parity" basis, and is growing much faster. Those idiot neocons have the US overextended.
Posted by: JamesT | 20 October 2017 at 12:14 PM
Schroder is on the board of Rosneft but he is not the CEO
Posted by: charly | 20 October 2017 at 12:43 PM
Chrystia Freeland, following the steps of her profiteering grandpa, has no shame. It seems that Canada has an unordinary large numbers of pro-Nazi Ukrainian progeny, hence the astonishing tolerance towards the liar. http://us-russia.org/4678-chrystia-freelands-family-record-for-nazi-war-profiteering-and-murder-of-the-cracow-jews.html
"A Nazi Skeleton in the Family Closet:" https://consortiumnews.com/2017/02/27/a-nazi-skeleton-in-the-family-closet/
"Mykhailo Chomiak was not a victim of the war – he was on the side of the German aggressors who collaborated with Ukrainian nationalists in killing Russians, Jews, Poles and other minorities. Former journalist Freeland chose to whitewash her family history to leave out her grandfather’s service to Adolf Hitler. Of course, if she had told the truth, she might never have achieved a successful political career in Canada. Her fierce hostility toward Russia also might be viewed in a different light."
Posted by: Anna | 20 October 2017 at 02:31 PM
Cannot wait when Pussy Riot bunch show their art at some Methodist church or at a synagogue in DC.
Posted by: Anna | 20 October 2017 at 02:34 PM
The latter could off course be a diversionary statement to hide their real intentions.
Bigger than ARAMCO IPO things are happening between Russia and China, such as CR-929. That will have a major impact in aerospace, granted Chinese colossal aircraft market.
Posted by: SmoothieX12 | 20 October 2017 at 04:16 PM
Sid Finster
You really are fucking annoying with the Deep State nonsense. Let me see if I get this right. You think all the power centers in the US are a grand conspiracy. Do you have any evidence of that? Have you ever worked in the federal government? pl
Posted by: turcopolier | 20 October 2017 at 04:43 PM
Meanwhile, the "Russiagate" nonsense continues to evaporate...
The Saker has a piece on Russian counter-propaganda which basically says Russia doesn't need it - the West is its own worst enemy...
Re-visiting Russian counter-propaganda methods
http://thesaker.is/re-visiting-russian-counter-propaganda-methods/
The alleged "Kremlin trolls" in social media that the mainstream media have been babbling about turn out to be FSB and former FSB Russian officials...who were being paid by the CIA...and arrested as CIA spies by Russia...
A Brief History of the “Kremlin Trolls”
http://thesaker.is/a-brief-history-of-the-kremlin-trolls/
Posted by: Richardstevenhack | 20 October 2017 at 07:08 PM
Like I said, D.C. is 'trying' to apply their same tactic, which will fail this time. I agree with you regarding both China and today's Russian Federation. Both are led by shrewd tacticians.
Posted by: J | 20 October 2017 at 09:48 PM
Does USA have the right to talk back ? No, forever stained by Mc Carthy and Salem witches.
Does Germany have the right to talk back ? No, forever stained by Hitler and the Teutonic knights.
Does GB have the right to talk back ? No, forever stained by Cromwell and Irish genocide.
And so, and so.
I wonder if you even understand that your comment is utterly stupid ?
Posted by: aleksandar | 21 October 2017 at 06:36 AM
"I wonder if you even understand that your comment is utterly stupid ?"
And I wonder whether:
1) You read my comment at all.
2) Noticed "/s" at the end of it.
3) You are aware of you being a prime example of the Poe law.
Posted by: Lyttenburgh | 21 October 2017 at 10:51 AM
Patrick,
In a comment on another thread, I referred to the latest post you have up on your site, How I got here. Pat Lang replied to my comment by saying that he'd also read your post, and that you were welcome to repost it on SST.
I think that would be a good idea, since it will allow all the readers who visit SST to also read it.
Pat's comment is at: http://tinyurl.com/ybgn56sm
Posted by: FB Ali | 27 October 2017 at 05:31 PM
OK will do. Off to bore my neighbours but will post tomorrow (if I survive). In the meantime let me plug the book which has a number of "how I got here" stories. Most of them a reaction to the ludicrously one-sided coverage of things which set them to looking elsewhere. (Not, I think, unusual journey for people on this site)
https://www.amazon.com/Putins-Praetorians-Confessions-Kremlin-Trolls-ebook/dp/B076SS88CP/
Posted by: Patrick Armstrong | 27 October 2017 at 05:54 PM