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10 February 2017


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Great overview.

I would just suggest that Iran does not "control" any of these proxies- it can not order them to act against their own interests, as the US does with Europe for example.

When Hezbollah or various groups would respond is when they calculated they were about to lose their benefactor, and had nothing else to lose. I am not sure how much my distinction would alter the strategic calculus.

I would also consider it a good sign that Trump is going after a proxy on the periphery that can't really harm us, rather than directly assaulting Iran, which would bring a rapid end to US hegemony and political stability, at home and abroad.

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