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26 January 2017

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Ishmael Zechariah

TTG,
Good news indeed. Russian strategic air has been hammering this area for the past several days. (http://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/3205209.html#cutid1 ).
Ishmael Zechariah

James F

Thanks much for returning SST. I need the analysis.

Frank

It seems the circumstances have changed enough that now might be a good time to go after ISIS hard. Jabhat Fatah al Sham and the moderate head choppers are destroying each other in Idlib right now. Is this infighting between American backed groups vs Turkish backed groups? Perhaps someone can provide some insight into the dynamics in Idlib right now.

If I were Assad I would take this opportunity to capture some strategic points from ISIS. They have plenty of options: Keep pushing east of Aleppo towards Al Bab, push east from Khanasser, push towards Palmyra. It seems like right now they are doing a little of all three.

mike

Upgraded MI-8s if Russian, the MI-17s are export only.

Didn't Assad command the 104th long ago pre-2000? Or am I thinking of his father or brother?

The Twisted Genius

mike,

That's what I thought. The Mi-17 is the export version. I get the feeling Qamishli is becoming a major Russian airbase, a perfect waypoint from Russia to Syria through Iranian and Iraqi airspace.

Both the father and the brother commanded the 104th at one time. The current Assad aspired to be an ophthalmologist rather than joining the family business.

The Twisted Genius

Frank,

The R+6 is attempting to a lot given the minimal size of the forces available to them. Right now, it's probably best to let the jihadis shoot each other for as long as they care to. Attacking them now, would reunite them.

VietnamVet

TTG and Colonel Lang;

Thanks for reopening and the latest posts. You and all the contributors to SST are continuing your service to our country. You are voices of sanity in an insane battle for the truth. We need you online. To show what we are up against, the Washington Post posted the following today:

“Democratic Rep. Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii met with President Bashar al-Assad during her secret trip to Syria last week and, now that she's returned, is downplaying his responsibility for the deaths of hundreds of thousands of civilians. "Whatever you think about President Assad, the fact is that he is the president of Syria," she told CNN’s Jake Tapper last night. "In order for any possibility of a viable peace agreement to occur, there has to be a conversation with him." She added that the Syrians she met with told her there are “no moderate rebels” in the country.”

“-- Journalists following the Syria story closely are stunned by what they see as her breathtaking naiveté:....”

“Neera Tanden....

I tweeted out that David Duke was supporting @TulsiGabbard's pro-Assad statements, and now I have Russians tweeting similar nonsense at me.”

She is familiar from her e-mails to John Podesta.

Syria is also a battlefield in the war between globalists and nationalists.

Ghostship

Qamishli?
Either the Russians have become world leaders in land force projection or the Battle of Deir Ez-zor is a deception operation.
How quickly could any army establish a major FOB. The speed with which Qamishli was up and running as one with attack and transport aircraft operating out of it suggests that the R+6 knew what was going to happen and planned for it. So that makes me wonder whether it's another trap for ISIS with the bait being the incursion that split the government-controlled area west of Deir Ez-zor. If the initial attack hadn't achieved that breakthrough would ISIS have thrown the number of men they have into the meat grinder? Perhaps there was a reason that the Russians, Syrians and Iranians were quite calm about the assault on Deir Ez-zor.

mike

TTG -

I know Bashar originally wanted to go into medicine. But after his brother died he returned to the family business a la Michael Corleone. I am sure you are correct that Bashar never commanded the 104th. But looking him up on wiki, I note he did for a time in the late 90s command the entire Republican Guard, which was the senior command to the 104th, 105th, and 106th. He was undoubtedly just a figurehead, a move designed to give him creds & authenticity with the SAA.

aleksandar

Hum, so far, result of this so-called infighting is .......2 deads.
Surprising isn'it ?.

aleksandar

TTG.
He was indeed and even a good ophthalmic surgeon in London.
He only came back in Syria due to the dead of his brother, Bassel in 1994.

aleksandar

Resistance of the " Mad Druze " and his soldiers will, maybe , be teached in Infantry school. A lot to understand about urban warfare, especialyy about land use and manpower management.

The Twisted Genius

Ghostship,

To establish this kind of FOB and working airbase can be done overnight, especially with an existing major airfield like the one at Qamishli. We can do it, Russia can do it and I'm sure many others can also do it.

mike

TTG & Ghostship -

The Russians had surveyors in Qamishlo in January 2016. Presumably they have been building it up ever since.

There are also reports out there that the US has a small airbase in Rimelan, 40+ miles east of Qamishlo, primarily for helo and UAV ops.

BraveNewWorld

Putting some man power into Deir Ezzor right now makes sense due to the cease fire. If they can get them in push back the trash and then pull them back out before the cease fire collapses again that will be optimal.

Ghostship

VietnamVet - I know you're only quoting the Washington Post but I feel this is important.
"is downplaying his responsibility for the deaths of hundreds of thousands of civilians"
When will the mainstream media stop spewing this garbage particularly the Washington "Fake News" Post? There have not been hundreds of thousands of dead civilians in Syria. According to the SOHR's latest figures, there have't even been a hundred thousand dead civilians.
On December 13, 2016, the SOHR (funded by MI6 and the Qatar government) was reporting that the total civilian dead numbered 90,506 of which 15948 were children and 10540 were females over the age of 18. The SOHR figures have been criticized for reporting dead rebels as civilians and experience elsewhere in Syria suggests that figure for dead male civilians really runs at about twice the figure for dead females so the SOHR figures suggest that in addition to the dead children and females over 18, about there are about 21,000 dead males over 18. This gives a figure of less than 50,000 dead civilians.
The vast majority of the dead are fighters of one side or another.
http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=56923

As for Tulsi Gabbard, she is not the one afflicted with "breathtaking naiveté", it is the so-called journalists like Anne Barnard (NYT) and Liz Sly (WaPo) who just repeat the propaganda from the terrorists' media operations. That is the real fake news.

FourthAndLong

Agree 200%.

The head-choppers are so preternaturally insane and vicious that it is useless to consider them to be "Turkish controlled", or "American controlled" or controlled by anyone or anything. Searching for or applying such labels is to miss the central issue of what they are -- an incestuous breed of incurably evil raving mad dogs.

As in "... to be shot down in the street, like mad dogs." I don't mean to judge them, there are situations which turn nearly anyone to such extremes of nihilistic violence. But they have become what they are and need to be recognized as such, not as something else.

robt willmann

The latest twist, made as an affirmative statement, is that "safe zones" are to be established in Syria: " `I'll absolutely do safe zones in Syria,' Trump told ABC's David Muir Wednesday."

This resulted in a qualified statement: " `I will tell you right now, what you’re asking about is based on things that are draft and pre-decisional and we’re just not going to be able to comment on pre-decisional things that may or not reflect what ultimately comes out,' spokesman Jeff Davis said in today's (26 January) Pentagon briefing."--

http://abcnews.go.com/International/president-trump-absolutely-put-safe-zones-syria/story?id=45062805

http://touch.latimes.com/#section/-1/article/p2p-92421324/

The Twisted Genius

robt willmann,

I am sure we all agree that "safe zones" in Syria is a stupid, stupid idea that only an R2P Neocon bitter ender could embrace. I suggest we all wait until after the Friday meeting at the Pentagon to hyperventilate about this. The DoD has always hated the idea of no fly zones or safe zones and has never been shy about voicing those concerns. SecDef Mattis is sure to present a strong case on the stupidity of safe zones. This may be just another one of those pronouncements that fall by the wayside.

Peter in Toronto

Spot on. That is my assessment as well.

Half a million civilian deaths is not even remotely plausible. Someone in the alternative press or blogosphere needs to jump on this piece of propaganda, like that barrel bomb catchphrase contrived for the Western audiences, to imply some sort of deviant way of murdering people, rather than a crude, improvised explosive device used by a developing nation with an economy crippled by a proxy war...

Absolutely vile.

The quality of reporting on Syria by the mainstream has been nothing short of appalling. And quite frankly, "fake news" is a concise and simple way of describing.

FB Ali

"Perhaps someone can provide some insight into the dynamics in Idlib right now".

Moon of Alabama does at http://tinyurl.com/jboxasr

mike

Definitely a stupid idea. Bad when HRC brought it up and bad now. But I guess some people think IOKIYAT.

The Russians don't like it. The Turks used to be for it but not now, guess Erdogan had his head shaped.

We cannot even protect our allies the Syrian Kurds from attacks and bombings by our other allies the Turks. How do we propose to protect refugees? Besides, aren't most of those refugees already in UN camps in Turkey, Iraq, and southeastern Europe?

Peter AU

Safe zones for Syrians, or safe zones for Jihadists/Islamists?
Previous talk of safe zones have been for the latter.
Trump does not specify who the safe zones are for. Ambiguous.

ToivoS

The western press is always exaggerating the death figures if it fits their propaganda purposes. They reported numbers for the conflict in Darfur and the Bosnian civil war 3 to 5 times higher than the accepted post war estimates.

Lyttenburgh

Parts of the Tyrant look like shameless propaganda. I've stopped watching mid 3rd season.

P.S. Three guesses in what ME country did the FOX film the series.

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