« The Race That Stops A Nation By Walrus. | Main | HARPER: GEN. PETRAEUS SPEAKS OUT ON SYRIA »

05 November 2016

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Tigermoth

South Front reports that some Egyptian Officers have arrived to do training with the Russians. It doesn't appear to be a permanent arrangement from this.

https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-november-3-2016-egyptian-officers-arrive-in-syria/

"A group of Egyptian officers allegedly arrived in Syria on November 1 in order to learn from Russian military advisers that are embedded with government troops at the battle against terrorists across the country. The development took place amid the ongoing expansion of military cooperation between Russia and Egypt."

b

The rumor about Egypt troops in Syria was born when an Egyptian officer delegation recently visited Syria to learn about the newest Jihadis fighting tactics. Don't think there is much more behind it.

But the Egyptians could probably spare some equipment. They bought lots from the U.S. over the years (with their yearly "don't hit Israel" bribe) and surely have some Russian tanks and ammo spares.

To send a real bunch of troops would not only miff the Saudis but also the U.S. Sisi needs the IMF loans and will get none when the U.S. says "no". A few platoons of special forces might be allowed but only could help here or there. It would be no decisive difference.

Liza

Egypt has applied to join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), so the participation of the Egyptian military makes a great deal of sense in that context. Syria offers an opportunity to better develop the SCO. China announced plans to train the Syrian army, and there have also been reports that other Central Asian nations would participate.

The SCO offers an indication of how dramatically the balance of power is shifting in the world and in the Middle East. Israel also has applied for membership. And Iran already has observer status. Is it conceivable that Israel and Iran would belong to the same defense organization ? Both nations also want to join Russia's Eurasian Economic Union. As President Xi observed, the world is on the brink of radical change.


http://www.interfax.com/newsinf.asp?id=683491

Babak Makkinejad

SCO and BRICS are just acronyms - there is no substance behind them. Power has been devolving but not from one set of military or political alliances to another. Rather, I think, power has been devolving from one set of states to another set of states. I think it is more accurate to discuss which states are rising and which are falling in terms of all parameters of power.

Babak Makkinejad

I doubt that Egypt will raise a finger to help SAR. They are still trying to leverage their non-existent relationship with Iran to extract something, anything, out of Saudi Arabia. In that, they are modeling themselves after India and Pakistan.

Prem

The Egyptians don't seem to be able to secure Sinai (perhaps they are prevented by the Camp David agreement?), so it would be very odd if they turned up in Syria in any numbers.

Also, isn't the Egyptian millitary basically funded by the US?

Ishmael Zechariah

Col. Lang, SST;
I neither like nor respect most Arabs-and some, like KSA, I absolutely detest- but, don't you all consider the light infantry of Hassan Nasrallah among decent fighting forces, i.e, those who go where the bullets are?
Ishmael Zechariah

LG

I think this is a big deal. The reverberations of the Egyptian support of the Russian resolution are quite loud in KSA. There were calls to deport Egyptian workers in the local press. Also Egypt has suspended the gifting of the two islands to Israel.

LG

With regard to Russian volunteers: southfront has a story on what could be one of these: https://southfront.org/assistant-of-russian-mp-killed-in-clashes-near-syrian-palmyra/

Babak Makkinejad

That light infantry is Shia and hails from a region that is within the old Seljuk Empire boundaries.

FB Ali

I feel the same way you do about KSA and the Gulfies. I also agree that Hizbullah are great fighters, as they have proven not only in Syria but also against Israel.

The Lebanese and the Syrians are a different breed of Arabs from the Saudis and Gulfies. Probably due to their mixed ancestry.

It seems the further away a grouping of Arabs is from Saudi Arabia, the better they are. The North Africans are a case in point.

LG

The people of Sham and Yemen are blessed -as in the hadeeth. The Gulfies of Najd were notably excluded.

Thomas

"Sisi needs the IMF loans and will get none when the U.S. says "no"

On the morning news update from CCTV, there was a report by their Cairo correspondent that the government announced a fifty percent currency devaluation and an end to fuel and transportation subsidies. Looks like they are preparing for the worst.

BraveNewWorld

You are correct that the Egyptians are barred from what military personnel and assets they are allowed to station out there. The Israelis deemed to grant them permission to slightly raise the head count there about a year ago when one of the Jihadi groups in Gaza were working with the Islamists in Sainai to move arms and people across the border.

If I remember right their is a good contingent of Americans stationed there as well and the US was looking at pulling them out earlier this year when things were more dangerous. Not that they appear to do any thing. Things have settled down considerably in Sinai since the Egyptian military started kicking ass after the police forces were attacked.

Earthrise

Sir,

I have to give credit where it is due. When I came here 18 months ago I could not see the 'Egypt" in the 'R+6' equation. They seemed to be in the Saudi camp to me, at least they were desperate for their money. I was still trying to peer through the dust and smoke of their revolution, which I fully admit I could not work out. Aussies don't use Sir lightly.

Bono malum superate,

The Beaver

Tit for Tat

No islands and no backing wrt Yemen and Syria' regime change : No Oil from KSA

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-egypt-saudi-oil-idUSKBN1320RQ

The Beaver

@ LG

"Egypt has suspended the gifting of the two islands to Israel."
you mean KSA

I doubt Egypt will give away land to Israel.

different clue

James,

I had an Iraqi co-worker at the time when the Army and State toppled Morsi and al Sisi was emerging to shut down the Brotherhood. She told me how grateful she was to see that happening because Egypt was an inspirational source for cultural production throughout the Arab world . . . as well as straight-up sending many of its own cultural productions to the Arab world. She was afraid that if Morsi and the Brothers remained in control of Egypt, that Egypt would start sending out a Brotherized culture and begin Brotherizing all the other Arab countries.

Annem

The Saudi-led Sunni vs Shia thing may have gone as far as it can. Egypt certainly has no stake in that notion. With the exception of the Morsi period, Egypt, like Syria, remains one of the old time products of the 1950s era highly repressive secular military dictatorships. Both are overwhelmingly Sunni populations, but shared with Saddam's equally nasty but secular regime in Iraq, the desire for an independent foreign policy from the US, allowing them to play both sides of the Cold War.

The Assad clan has done everything possible to blend [and marry] into the Sunni elite. It is worth remembering that this same Assad regime was not that long ago Saudi Arabia's BFF, with links through their respective in-laws to boot. Sadat took Egypt out of that league, which also included Algeria back in the day, but Egypt has responded warmly to the Russian opportunity to chart a more balanced course. They all share enormous distaste for politicized religion and recognize the Saudi regime as its promoter.

Iran is a useful ally for the time being, but one of the things that brought the Russians more forcefully into the Syrian conflict was that the Iranians were starting to have undue influence on the direction of the fighting, borrowing into the command structure. Russia stemmed that danger, having the advantage that some of the senior officers studied in Russia in the good old days of the Cold War.

[And no, Alawites are not Shia and have no particular affinity with each other. Their closest equivalent would be to the equally quiet Druze when it comes to religious faith.] That is not to say, however, that Syria does not hold religious monuments of great religious significance to Iranians that for centuries have been sites of pilgrimage.]

To get a sense of the similarity of approach toward religion between certain Arab states and Russia, it is worthwhile reading about the Grozny conference that brought Sunni scholars from around the world to basically dump on their common nemesis, the Salafis and their Saudi sponsors. Bottom line, as the Egyptian patriots of old chanted, "Religion is for God and the nation is for all."

The comments to this entry are closed.

My Photo

October 2020

Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
        1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11 12 13 14 15 16 17
18 19 20 21 22 23 24
25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Blog powered by Typepad