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11 July 2016


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Babak Makkinejad

Yes, he was a great entertainer...



Thanks. Good catch on JAN in Idlib province. Let me know if you see anything from IS in the east. I'm finding nothing.


Also good catch. Note though main cargo tanks appear to not have burned and side saddle fuel tanks imploded but did not burn which would suggest they might have been empty.

Here is best and only article I've found in six weeks which is excellent and from Cockburn of Independent regarding Iraq trucking. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/isis-mosul-baghdad-anbar-raqqa-iraq-syria-a7062346.html
A couple of key points, it costs $7K USD in bribes to move one truck from Baghdad to al-Asad Air Base. Frozen chicken at $1 USD in Turkey costs $4 in Iraq. A $5 pair of Turkish jeans cost $40 in Irbil. A lot of food being imported from Iran. Trucking routes and sectarian check points sound like something from the middle ages.

Ishmael Zechariah

"simply being not worth the risk for independent truckers".
The tanker truck traffic on highways transiting Osmaniye, Turkey is miniscule compared to a year ago. RuAF has taken ~3000 such trucks out of service.
Ishmael Zechariah

Ishmael Zechariah


Quite a few of Syrian Turkmen are Shia- they got no help when previously attacked. tayyip is not a "Turk" except when it suits his convenience. A pox on him and all his supporters-past, present and future.
Ishmael Zechariah


To your point, looks like IS is shifting teapot refineries to Iraq. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2016/07/07/satellite-photos-show-isis-installing-hundreds-of-makeshift-oil-refineries-to-offset-losses-from-air-strikes/#comments Note the referenced WaPo photos are almost within artillery range to recent US/Iraqi Army advances SSW of Mosul.

What I have been wondering is if the flow of cash to Turkey via oil trucking has essentially ended in recent months not just to bombing but to the strategic moves of the Kurds, US, Russia and Syrian government. Southern trucking is important to Turkey. Could this be playing a part in Erdogan's recent weathervane-like policy shifts.

Babak Makkinejad

"like something from the middle ages"

Per the Makkinejad Theses, as Western-created states atrophy and disintegrate, those areas would revert to type.

We have witnessed it in Afghanistan, Congo, Somalia, Libya, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, all of Western Sub-Saharan Africa.

In the ripeness of time, such areas could expand to include all of Central Asia, all of North Africa, and much of Africa excepting a few such countries as Senegal, Ghana, South Africa.

Even India and Pakistan are not immune, in my opinion; nor are the Philippines, Malaysia and Indonesia.

Peace is an absolute minimum requirement for the continued existence of most of the world's countries; war is almost like lighting a fuse to their destruction; in my opinion.


Huge expose' of al Nusra in Syria. Use of UN vehicle as VBIED was new to me.
Where did they get the hummvees from, trade with ISIS?


One description from that link's exposé I find highly ironic:

"BMP AMB-S used [by Nusra] as a VBIED against Liwa Shuhada al-Yarmouk [pledged allegiance to ISIL] in southern Daraa. [dated November 2015]"

Very useful listing at any rate to prove just how essential a backbone Nusra is to the "revolution", thanks.

Seamus Padraig

BREAKING: 'Turkey signals normalisation of relations with Syria' (The Guardian)


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