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08 March 2016

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Fred

SmoothieX12,

"... Russia does not need even one tenth of power projection capabilities US has,..."

Russia has a much better idea of what their national interests actually are and are limiting themselves to defense of those.

SmoothieX12

The largest, most secretive, heavily guarded military secret in the West during the Cold War was the fact that USSR didn't want to fight the war, let alone the one which would destroy what many Soviets treasured very much--Europe. But then again (I am being deliberately smug here) what would I know with my whole childhood and juvenile years spent in military and military-industrial environment and then almost 11 years of service with Special Significance clearance (I don't know what is the equivalent of it in the US--in USSR it was above Top Secret). Almost each time I read something about Soviet or, for that matter, Russian military doctrine, organization, intentions, strategies--I cringe. With some few exceptions of serious and competent observers who do deliver good assessments, most of what is available on USSR/Russia is complete baloney, bordering on delirium or some dissident psychobabble. Even famous Anti-Sovetchick and Russophobe, Richard Pipes, was forced, in 1977, to admit that US is forming her military policies without even considering Soviet doctrine or strategy. He went on, of course, after that to write about 3 000 words of utter BS, but, at least, the premise was sound. The history of the Cold War is not written yet. Meanwhile, Russia wants to be left alone but she, probably, never will be. Having said that, Russia will continue formation of her armed forces capable of fighting and winning the war in Russia's immediate vicinity (e.g. Ukraine) but nothing more.

Kooshy

Colonel I understand, IMO Borgistas want to step on China' foot, I think is just a mater of time before borg start demonizing and to sanctioning China, stratigicly speaking I don't think China will give up or let go of NK. I think for China' planers a wild card is God thing to keep everyone in the neighborhood on thier toes. Like if Chinese have their own strategically crazy Saudis in thier neck of woods.

Thirdeye

"Libya. The next big place."

And about to get a whole lot bigger, like through northern Africa according to Peter Lee.

http://www.unz.com/plee/libya-worse-than-iraq-sorry-hillary/

And unlike with Syria and Iraq, there are no regional parties like R+6 with the combination of interest and power to change the course of things. The West is going to be busy with this one for a long, long time. One couldn't blame the R+6 for having a good laugh.

different clue

SmoothieX12,

Ahh . . . okay then. The suspicion began arising that you might have been saying that pushing NATO eastward actually had some kind of rationale . . . some sort of elevendy-mentional chess kind of thing. I am glad that was not your meaning.

William R. Cumming

An interesting post and thread IMO! One question! How does modern supply-chain theory mesh with military mobilization and logistics? In other words today, right now, what are the key factors in power projection and war-fighting?

Peter Reichard

Obama is one of them.As a high profile charismatic black man he was curiously almost invisible on the campus of Columbia University when ZB was a professor there.I suspect rather than attending regular classes he may have had a special tutored relationship with that notorious Russophobe who guided his world view.

LeaNder

"traditionally the most philosemitic who have viewed developments over the past two decades with, to be frank, a combination of bafflement and horror."

David, when I felt I recognized a trend in the post 9/11 universe, I fled into the academic sphere 'to get some balance' between the surfacing antisemites and whatever category of philosemites--post late 19th century, when they were still called "the friends of the Jews" by the German extreme nationalist right. ...

Unfortunately my academic balancing oasis was broken up between December 2005 and January 2006. By now even the traces of the sycophant, or for that matter the resignation of two people, one of whom may well have engineered the breakup are gone from the web. In any case it distinctively felt that the list editor was forced into resignation by a sycophant, and gone are a multitude of highly interesting scholars and debates.

****
In any case I wonder if "philosemitic", never mind the historical burden of the term linguistically, is a good approach. ...

LeaNder

thanks Pat, appreciated.

LeaNder

Prem, how is Chechnya related to our post 9/11 universe? If I may ask a nitwit question.

William R. Cumming

Which will come first? Sinking of a US carreir or Chinese occupation of the Moon?

SmoothieX12

It is said that Ronald Reagan before meeting Gorbachev read Tom Clancy, W., actually, tried to read Dostoevsky, Obama has Zbig as one of his main geopolitical advisers and Russia "experts"--it is not a secret. So, what could possibly go wrong here? Well, I am being facetious, of course.

ISL

Basically, your point is that in addition to the nuclear stalemate, there is an economic equivalent that would when addressed by rational folk, would lead to a stalemate - dont try to dance in a rocking boat.

Sorry cant agree to disagree, I agree!

We are fortunate that Russia has followed a rational actor course.

The Beaver

O Brother,

After David Brooks: "I Miss Barack Obama"
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/09/opinion/i-miss-barack-obama.html?_r=0

Here comes Jeffrey Goldberg,another dual national who would rather be a prison guard in Israel that joining the US military to show his loyalty :

http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525/

Wonder who is next - may be someone from WaPo or another journalist who did partake in breaking bread with the new President back in January 2009 at 9 Grafton street in Chevy Chase Village !!!

turcopolier

SmoothieX12

IMO it is untrue that Zbig is an adviser to Obama. The Zionists hate him and would do everything they could to prevent that. I suppose they could meet in secret somewhere. pl

SmoothieX12

Speaking of being rational. These news didn't make it to first pages but they surely should have.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-10/iran-told-to-pay-10-5-billion-to-sept-11-kin-insurers

The nation, Iran, which has nothing, zilch, to do with 911 is supposed to pay for Saudi crimes. I can not wrap my brain around it. Full blown Alice In Wonderland, getting curioser and curioser. I've seen nations going completely mad before and I didn't like it.

Prem

Well, I don't claim any expert knowledge on that subject. It started as a nationalist revolt(the Chechens never really accepted Russian rule).

Then it was overtaken by the global phenomenon of Saudi funded Wahabization. Putin cut a deal with the saner rebels giving them lots of money and autonomy in return for stamping out Islamist attacks on the rest of Russia.

If it hadn't been in such a strategically important location I would advocate the Russians leaving - the place is regressing to medieval Islamic social norms. Unfortunately, this is happening in much of the Muslim world.

In the ex-Soviet Union a few Muslim nationalities like those on the Volga seem to be OK, but others are spiralling downwards.

Tajikistan is the worst case. It has gone from having near-European levels of literacy to Indian levels, and heading for Pakistani and Afghan levels. Literate parents are raising illiterate kids - the sort of thing that happened after the fall of Rome or the Mongol conquests.

SmoothieX12

I am aware of Zbig calling on US to stop Israel's possible attack on Iran. That much is true. The problem with Zbig is that once the word "Russia" enters his mind, he becomes totally irrational. He is not a good scholar of geopolitics, because he is not good scholar of the warfare--this is a common trait of both neocons and liberal interventionists or people associated with them. I think, Russians would rather deal with Brent Scowcroft types than with Zbig. Founding fathers warned about foreign passions, Zbig is the case in point--whenever it is about US-Russian relations, Zbig becomes a Pole, which, in the end, he is and that also implies a certain set of attitudes to a certain group of people.

SmoothieX12

Sorry, forgot to mention. Zbig, in accordance to Stephen Cohen, at least was consulting Obama on geopolitics.

Winston Smith

@PL

I don't know whether Zbig is presently an advisor to BHO but I recall reading that BHO's undergraduate degree at Columbia was in International Relations and Zbig was one of his Professors or even his senior thesis advisor. I believe the senior thesis, which is embargoed, was on the control of nuclear weapons. It is remarkable that so little has been made of this aspect of BHO's background. Sorry I don't have backup links.

J

Colonel. TTG,

It appears that Breedlove has an anti-Russian successor in Gen. Scapparotti.

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