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02 February 2016

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annamaria

Pepe Escobar: http://www.globalresearch.ca/you-have-now-landed-in-geneva-syria/5504855
"Ankara’s game is three-pronged; prop up their heavily battered Turkmen proxies; keep very much alive the corridor to Aleppo – a corridor that crucially includes the Jihadi Highway between Turkey and Syria; and most of all prevent by all means necessary that YPG Kurds bridge the gap from Afrin to Kobani and unite all three Syrian Kurd cantons near the Turkish border. None of this has anything to do with fighting ISISL/ISIL/Daesh. And the nuttiest part is that Washington is actually assisting the Syrian Kurds with air support. Either the Pentagon supports the Syrian Kurds or Erdogan’s invasion of northern Syria; schizophrenia does not apply here."

D

"'We sent new fighters this morning, we sent heavier equipment there. It seems it will be a decisive battle in the north God willing,' said Ahmed al Seoud, head of a Free Syrian Army group known as Division 13. 'We sent TOW missile platforms. We sent everything there,' he told Reuters."

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-idUSKCN0VB1CQ

Grinding . . . grinding . . . grinding . . .

turcopolier

All

One can only hope that the fractured rebel commands will push more materiel forward into the "kettle" even while much of the detritus of the rebel forces is trying to withdraw into Turkey covered by Turkish Army artillery while doing so. IMO Turkey will be careful to keep its air force out of this rather than face combat with the Russian aerospace forces involved. A link-up of YPG forces and R+6 in eastern Aleppo seems inevitable. That will contribute to logistical and oil export isolation of IS everywhere east of Aleppo City. One wonders what LTG McFarland thinks of all this and how tight the restrictions are for his ability to cooperate with R+6. Lastly, as Clausewitz wrote in his short chapter on "The Military Character of an Army," the habit of victory breeds victory. pl

D

Syrian civil war: Could Turkey be gambling on an invasion?
Kurdish forces, close to sealing the border, must beware - President Erdogan is unpredictable

"Turkey could respond to this by accepting a fait accompli, conceding that it would be difficult for it to send its army into northern Syria in the face of strong objections from the US and Russia. But, if the alternative is failure and humiliation, then it may do just that. Gerard Chaliand, the French expert on irregular warfare and the politics of the Middle East, speaking in Erbil last week, said that 'without Erdogan as leader, I would say the Turks would not intervene militarily [in northern Syria], but, since he is, I think they will do so'."

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/syrian-civil-war-could-turkey-be-gambling-on-an-invasion-a6844171.html

Poul

It looks like T-90's are in use in the assault on Tell Jibbin.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1TwfUjczHk&feature=youtu.be

jld

Other tanks seem fitted with anti ATGM counter measures:
https://youtu.be/lJMzB_51rDo?t=13
This channel appear to follow the offensive quite closely:
https://www.youtube.com/user/militarymediasy/videos

b

https://twitter.com/EjmAlrai/status/694540198730940417
/quote/
Elijah J. Magnier @EjmAlrai
#Damascus said:"All communication and supply line between #Turkey and norther reef #Aleppo is cut now. #Syria.
/endquote/

John H

Russia's surprise http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/war-in-syria-russia-s-rustbucket-military-delivers-a-hi-tech-shock-to-west-and-israel-a6842711.htmlto the West .

LeaNder

I registered Pepe a long time ago, as worth reading ...

Almost forgot about him by now, except we have a Paul Escobar around here. Thus annamaria, thanks for the link.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pepe_Escobar

Does anyone else experience problems with Firefox around here, by the way?

LeaNder

Ok, had to shift again, "browserwise":

Empire of Chaos
http://atimes.com/category/empire-of-chaos/

sd


Supplementary map: ( Highly salted with propaganda, I know)

http://southfront.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/V1isOXi.jpg

From :

http://southfront.org/map-the-battle-for-aleppo-the-mother-of-all-battles/

A little video from same source:

http://southfront.org/international-military-review-syria-feb-2-2016/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

What a difference 10 months makes.

"I can't tell you if the use of force in Iraq today would last five days, or five weeks, or five months, but it certainly isn't going to last any longer than that."
--Donald Rumsfeld, November 14, 2002
"It could last six days, six weeks. I doubt six months"
-- Donald Rumsfeld, February 7, 2003
"I think it will go relatively quickly. Weeks rather than months."
-- Dick Cheney, March 16, 2003
"No one is talking about occupying Iraq for five to ten years."
-- Richard Perle, March 9, 2003

robt willmann

Here is a presentation from yesterday, 1 February, by the Russian military about Syria. Clicking on the 'cc' button should display the English subtitles--

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dw0xx3pLfnY

alba etie

All
When President Assad is done with the Liver Eaters I think he should ask BiBi for Syria's illegally occupied Golan Heights back ...

Fred

AE,

Perhaps he should just open a refugee center there to be the humanitarian at heart that the world doesn't know.

Jack

How long could the jihadists last with no supplies and reinforcements? It would seem that some may decide it's not yet time for the virgins and surrender. In the recent past the jihadists who left areas were bused to Idlib. That doesn't look like the best destination for them any more.

Babak Makkinejad

Had NATO states and the Russian Federation agreed on a step-by-step political program for settling the war in Palestine, at the pain of war with Russia, Israel could have been issued an ultimatum to leave the Golan Heights as the first step in ending that war.

turcopolier

b

Yes, it is reported that the jaws north of Aleppo have closed. The rebels will ty to break through that as well as continue their attempts to get out of the encirclement and into Turkey. The objective should be to prevent that and to inflict as many casualties as possible in the process. I expect that the east Lattakia Front will start to collapse when the reality of the encirclement sets in. pl

Valissa

Thanks for the link! FYI, since the URL blended into the word "to" at the end, you have to delete those two letters off the end of the URL for it to work (link should end as .html NOT .htmlto).

Unfortunately it's a common problem that either punctuation (esp. ".") or extra letters or a 'space' get added into or on the the end of a URL making the link a deadend, though it's easily fixable if you pay attention and edit out the offending characters.

LeaNder

from my own established nitwit assumptions: The Golan Heights seem a much more difficult terrain then the more visible "Occupied Territories", although yes, in the larger getting-rid-of-Assad-association this may be an issue. Not least since nitwits like me__(?cold war remnants, Baath?)__ are familiar with Palestine versus Judea and Samaria, vaguely of the "Terra incognita" theory, but don't usually connect it to the Golan Heights versus Jordanian's more prominent part in post 1967 matters.

Maybe I don't notice, if I do not find the respective mirror? Sometimes even overdo in finding one. On the other hand, 2001 seems to have been the start of my obsession with mirrors, minus minor precursors, like double standards.

My puzzle still is how Turkey got involved in Syria more recently.

Any idea?

Matthew

Fred: Behind your comment is a very serious question: What does Syria do with all the rebels who tried to collapse the government? Would any country on either allow "refugees" to return who were engaged in an armed rebellion--at least in the short-term?

bth

Some of the youtube videos posted in the last 24 hours seem to show rebel pickups with their guns removed, but the vehicle largely intact. I am wondering if they may have run out of fuel and been abandoned.

Matthew

Rebels collapsing. Call in the lawyers! See https://twitter.com/KenRoth/status/694583831471484929

William R. Cumming

Richard Armistead is reputed to have told the leader of Pakistan after 9/11/01 either you are with US or against US. My guess is it might be time to spell out our policy clearly in Syria now! It would start with informing Turkey that they will soon have the Russians permanently on several borders. Do they care? Do we care?

Babak Makkinejad

Stupidity.

raksh wah

armitage

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