By Patrick Bahzad
Let's keep this short and sharp !
First of all, the good news is, we know now where about 3 billion US taxpayers' money has gone. In a TV interview he gave on Sunday to Iraqiya TV, Prime-Minister Haider al-Abadi stated that his security forces had lost 2 300 Humvees in the conquest of Mosul by the "Islamic State" in June 2014.
And while the PM has been rather elusive about the other equipment, weaponry and ammunition that was lost in the assault on the Northern Iraqi city, it doesn't take lots of imagination to figure out that ISIS' arsenals must have been replenished in the same way as their vehicles fleet.
Since the fall of Mosul, the US had agreed to a new sales contract for an additional batch of around 1 000 Humvees, part of which has been destroyed, or captured again, by ISIS in the fall of Ramadi, in mid-May. Not surprisingly, it is the Shia Militias (the so-called " Popular Mobilisation Units") that seem to be more and more in the driving seat, as has been forecast time and again on SST.
The current leader of the main Shia militia, Hadi al-Amiri, who's also Transportation Minister, seems to be the man in charge. In an interview he gave on the very same day Prime-Minister Abadi talked to the Iraqiya TV network, Amiri derisively qualified any statement about a soon to start counter-offensive in Ramadi as "laughable".
In the internal power-struggle between the pro-Western Abadi and the Iranian backed Amiri, it looks like the one calling the shots is not the Prime-Minister of Iraq. What seems to be at stake here is not just the strategy that is going to prevail in the fight against ISIS, but also the influence the two not so shadowy players behind their Iraqi proxies are going to have. The US had relied so far on the official Iraqi Army, supported by coalition air-power, and had advocated for tuning down the role of the Shia sectarian groups, in an effort to prevent any further antagonizing the Sunnis North and West of Baghdad.
However, according to Amiri - a long time personal friend of Iranian al-Quds leader, Qassem Soleimani - the military strategy against ISIS is now going to be based on a more gradual approach, aimed it isolating pockets of ISIS territory from each other, in order to disrupt their operational and territorial continuity, and prevent any risk of major ISIS' action against Baghdad. Only when these two priority goals are reached, could there be any discussion about retaking Ramadi and Anbar.
Not mincing his words, Amiri went as far as saying that the prime minister had already agreed to his alternate strategy “We send the key points of the operation to the prime minister, and he approved them”, Amiri said. “The prime minister is a civilian. It is not his job to lay our plans”.
Couldn't be any clearer, could it ?
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http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Middle-East/2015/May-31/299962-iraq-lost-2300-humvees-in-mosul-pm.ashx
http://www.ibtimes.com/iraq-militia-leader-hadi-al-ameri-says-direct-attack-liberate-ramadi-ill-advised-1945646
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