Supposedly every great American president was a war president. It thus should not surprise that lesser politicos, even lesser pundits and cheerleaders from the outside in ambitious pursuit of comparable greatness don't want to be left behind.
And so it has become an established custom in US politics to call for bombing this, that or another country, or all of them - presumably because it suggests toughness (an end in itself in US political posturing) and resolution (ditto) and, of course, makes for a great soundbite on TV.
Here's John McCain, then a presidential candidate, on campaign:
Here's John Bolton:
"To Stop Iran’s Bomb, Bomb Iran
... only military action like Israel’s 1981 attack on Saddam Hussein’s Osirak reactor in Iraq or its 2007 destruction of a Syrian reactor, designed and built by North Korea, can accomplish what is required. Time is terribly short, but a strike can still succeed."
Here's Joshua Muravchik:
"Does this mean that our only option is war? Yes, although an air campaign targeting Iran’s nuclear infrastructure would entail less need for boots on the ground than the war Obama is waging against the Islamic State, which poses far smaller a threat than Iran does."
Here's the sitting US Secretary of Defence, Ashton Carter (a moderate, so I hear), speaking in the imperial tense:
"The U.S. will reserve the right to use military force to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon even if a deal is reached Iran's nuclear program, Defense Secretary Ashton Carter said Tuesday.
"The military option certainly will remain on the table*," Carter said as negotiators in Lausanne, Switzerland, struggled to reach an agreement ahead of a March 31 deadline."
Indeed, negotiations, schmegotiations - we reserve the right to bomb you anyway.
With all these options on the political menue, they may be forgiven to become conflicted over how to arrange courses. Does bombing Syria as an appetiser go well with bombing Iran as the main course? And what about Yemen for dessert? Will there be belly ache? Is there a pill against that? It's complicated!
FAIR has an excellent and sadly necessary piece on the subject:
Advocating for war is not like advocating for most other policies because ... (agressive) war is a crime. It was outlawed in 1928 by the Kellogg-Briand Pact, in which the United States, the Soviet Union, China, Britain, Germany, France, Japan and 55 other nations “condemn[ed] recourse to war for the solution of international controversies, and renounce[d] it, as an instrument of national policy in their relations with one another.”
Kellogg-Briand was the basis for the “crimes against peace” indictment at the Nuremberg Trials for Nazi leaders, several of whom were hanged for “planning, preparation, initiation, or waging a war of aggression.” At Nuremberg, chief US prosecutor Robert H. Jackson declared:
To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole.
The spirit of Kellogg-Briand was embodied in the formation of the United Nations, whose charter commits its signers to renouncing war and the threat of war:
All Members shall refrain in their international relations from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state.
So to advocate for war**, as the Washington Post and New York Times op-ed pages have done, is to incite a crime–“the supreme international crime,” as Jackson noted. How would we react if leading papers were to run articles suggesting that genocide was the best solution to an international conflict–or that lynching is the answer to domestic problems? Calling for an unprovoked military attack against another nation is in the same category of argument."
Modern international law recognises only three lawful justifications for waging war: self-defence, defence of an ally required by the terms of a treaty, and approval by the United Nations.
Iran has not attacked the US, nor an ally, they aren't gonna, and the US is not going to get a UN mandate allowing for an attack i.e. a US attack on Iran would not be lawful. Unlawful action is not an option.
* War on Iran is an option much like killing your neighbour is an option to stop that miserable wretch from singing already - subjectively it may be a mercy killing, but police is bound to severly disapprove, use hyperbolic language like 'premeditated murder', not to mention overwhelming force - which is to mean: not really. So she keeps singing. Unless, of course, I was a hegemon. Then I could do as I please and tell the cops to take a hike.
** In my country, as a result of Germany's history, to call for agressive war is not free speech but constitutes a felony after §80a StGB - "Aufstacheln zum Angriffskrieg" (incitment of war of aggression), punishable with up to five years in jail. That is not German squeamishness as a result of war guilt, but simply properly reflects the fact that war of agression is indeed, the supreme international crime. So, call me biased.
The "European Law-and-Order Union" (love that name !) is irrelevant in global politics. The EU has no common foreign policy, and won't have one for the forseeable future. None of its members can challenge the U.S. individually, not even symbolically. The U.S. opinion on Iran is the only one that matters.
Posted by: Eric Dönges | 02 April 2015 at 02:24 PM
Babak, you know the main reasons why... that's like asking why do vassals stay vassals? Because they believe the benefits of this status outweigh the negatives. What would happen to Spain or Germany or any EU country if it decided it wanted to opt out of NATO? Is that even a conceivable thought for them? What would happen to the budgets of EU countries if they had to be responsible for supporting the type of military needed by an "independent" nation? What would happen to all the social benefits programs these countries have if they had to compete against a greater need for money to be spent on upgrading their military capability? How would any European politician sell that to their electorate?
On the other hand I totally take your point, which you make often in the midst of the silence of the Europeans commenting here on their government and elite complicity in US actions via NATO, the IMF, etc. It takes little thought or energy to complain about US behaviors, so many are blatantly "wrong" in terms of the types of ethics and morality most people espouse. I would enjoy hearing our non-American commenters thoughtfully criticize their own government's pro-war behaviors and explain to us Americans how their politics plays into and supports ours, and why their countries are sucking up to the US. I would find that interesting and useful to know.
Please note, that I am not at all anti-European, my mom is still a Danish citizen. I love many things about the various European cultures! I'm attempting to take a neutral objective stance on evaluating power dynamics. I'm interested in HOW the world works and why, not how it SHOULD work.
Posted by: Valissa | 02 April 2015 at 02:28 PM
True, Bosnia and Kosovo are FUBAR and would wither quickly absent EU/NATO tutelage and financing.
Whatever else the US got out of Kosovo, they certainly got the base that they wanted - Camp Bondsteel. Probably for the US the Kosovo war was to a good extent about controlling energy flows from Central Asia into Europe.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camp_Bondsteel
http://www.army-technology.com/projects/campbondsteel/
What Germany did in Kosovo was to allow itself be deputised by the US for a war the US wanted. I have a hunch that Schröder, though he'd never admit that, eventually noticed that, and that is why he and Fischer opposed the Iraq war. Bush 43 was much easier man to reject than Clinton - after all a fellow new-lefty.
Posted by: confusedponderer | 02 April 2015 at 02:29 PM
Matthew,
I would argue the real problem is that being American apparently means never having to say you are sorry or taking any responsibility for your actions. Why not bomb whoever you want if you're never going to have to pay for it ?
Posted by: Eric Dönges | 02 April 2015 at 02:36 PM
Thank you for your comments.
You ask what would EU states do without US?
They can stand on their own two feet; like Cuba, or Vietnam, or Iran, or India or South Africa.
They can create a Pan-European Force, something that Giscard was advocating....
Posted by: Babak Makkinejad | 02 April 2015 at 02:51 PM
There is no agreement that I can see.
Posted by: Babak Makkinejad | 02 April 2015 at 03:02 PM
Valissa,
in the case of Germany, it is very simple. Germany relies on the U.S. for its security. This would not change even if the German army was not the sad joke it is today, because Germany has no nuclear weapons. A more unified (politically) EU could take the U.S.'s place, but I don't see that happening any time soon.
And to be fair, the U.S. was a dependable ally during the Cold War. In fact, without U.S. support German reunification probably wouldn't have happened against the opposition of our supposed allies France and the UK.
And finally, for a lot of (West)Germans being pro-US is an article of faith they grew up with. It's going to take a lot more than bombing some country nobody cares about to shake that faith.
Posted by: Eric Dönges | 02 April 2015 at 03:32 PM
Bush, the Lesser, donned the Navy flight suit when claiming "victory" on the aircraft carrier!! lol
Posted by: Al Spafford | 02 April 2015 at 04:18 PM
CP,
Great news. Sadly I don't trust our allies to allow a successful resolution.
Posted by: Cee | 02 April 2015 at 04:22 PM
"... a lot more than bombing some country nobody cares about to shake that faith...."
Precisely.
So let us then agree that we are all attached emotionally to this or that cause or set of ideas with no empirical basis in Reality and try to minimize our frictions as well as our interactions.
Iranians cover themselves in mud to commemorate the martyrdom of Imam Hussein and Germans can go to Yad wa Shim and express eternal remorse.
Lufthansa does not need to fly to Tehran and Iran Air does not need to maintain flights to London.
Posted by: Babak Makkinejad | 02 April 2015 at 04:32 PM
CP
"Probably for the US the Kosovo war was to a good extent about controlling energy flows from Central Asia into Europe." So, the US has Bondsteel there so that we can cut of energy supplies from the East to those in Europe who do not do our bidding? CP, you are beginning to sound like a cheap movie plot. pl
Posted by: turcopolier | 02 April 2015 at 04:42 PM
Babak
No. It is a successful Zionist IO. pl
Posted by: turcopolier | 02 April 2015 at 04:43 PM
Probably I just read too much Zbigniev Brezinski.
Posted by: confusedponderer | 02 April 2015 at 05:20 PM
BM,
Some years ago, there was a book that looked at the patterns of translation industry, and the observation the author made was that hardly any book is translated directly from one language to another, unless one of the two is English. If a book was originally written in, say, Arabic, it would only be translated to, say, Chinese only if it were translated first into English. The reason is that while many Chinese know English well enough to translate effectively, very few Chinese know Arabic well enough to translate--and good translation requires far more than just linguistic expertise, as many of us here can probably attest. (Yes, there are significant exceptions, but on the whole, the dominant intermediary role of English holds true over vast majority of written material beyond its native language.) This means that whatever that does not draw the interest of Anglophone audiences will not even reach the eyes of the Japanese readers.
I imagine that this goes much more than just translation. Many European elites (as well as, presumably, many Latin American and East Asian elites) are essentially Anglocentric in the worldview: they get their sense about how the rest of the world works and what other "important people around the world" think about them from CNN, BBC, or NYT. To the degree that these Anglophone elites, intentionally or not, control what information flows to the monolingual masses (and even if they are multilingual, how many of them know, say, Arabic and who's who in the ME well enough that they can follow what's going on directly?), the significant anglophone bias in much of the world that is not directly connected to the events seems inevitable.
Posted by: kao_hsien_chih | 02 April 2015 at 05:28 PM
And you are probably right, the decision to build Camp Bondsteel may just have been opportunistic and does not neccessarily suggest initial motives to that end.
I reckon that one of the key problems with the US is that people tend to tread plans into what just may be uncoordinated or opportunistic actions - because there HAS to be a plan somwehere.
Posted by: confusedponderer | 02 April 2015 at 05:30 PM
ED: I was basically describing why our politicians like to fixate on foreign policy. The diffusion of responsibility is a real problem.
"Why not bomb whoever you want if you're never going to have to pay for it?"
The sad fact is that only defeated powers apologize.
Posted by: Matthew | 02 April 2015 at 05:50 PM
Thanks you for your comments.
You might very well be right.
I know that there is a vast amount of scholarship on Chinese history in Japanese; none of it translated to any other language.
And I think India, Pakistan, Bangladesh - as examples - are hopelessly Anglophone as well as Anglophile (and not Americophile).
Arabs, when they do translate something, it is almost always from either of two languages - English and to a lesser extent French.
Posted by: Babak Makkinejad | 02 April 2015 at 06:35 PM
Did Japan?
Posted by: Babak Makkinejad | 02 April 2015 at 06:35 PM
CP
"... because there HAS to be a plan somewhere." No, US actions are usually based on no overall plan at all. pl
Posted by: turcopolier | 02 April 2015 at 06:43 PM
Babak, admitting nothing, not fond of any "nuclear security blankets" either. Hard core pessimist, maybe, concerning the larger interest and power brokers.
But pleased about events in Lausanne.
Posted by: LeaNder | 02 April 2015 at 06:44 PM
"So let us then agree that we are all attached emotionally to this or that cause or set of ideas with no empirical basis in Reality and try to minimize our frictions as well as our interactions."
I don't think that is a good idea. Less interactions just makes it easier for the warmongers to whip up fear of the other. And considering the ease of travel and communication today, I don't think it's a feasible idea anyway even if it where a good one. I'm afraid we're all going to have to learn to be less insecure about other people not believing the same nonsense we do.
Posted by: Eric Dönges | 02 April 2015 at 06:45 PM
dg, give me one that was targeted for his possession post WWII so far?
Posted by: LeaNder | 02 April 2015 at 06:46 PM
To the shores of Tripoli. American frigates did well in that dust up.
Posted by: BabelFish | 02 April 2015 at 07:04 PM
"I was basically describing why our politicians like to fixate on foreign policy. The diffusion of responsibility is a real problem. "
But they don't. Your politicians are completely fixated on domestic policy, viewing any foreign policy question only in how it can be exploited for their own domestic gain (or used against them by their political enemies). As Colonel Lang has repeatedly pointed out over the years, the result is that the U.S. doesn't have a coherent foreign policy.
"The sad fact is that only defeated powers apologize."
True.
Posted by: Eric Dönges | 02 April 2015 at 07:07 PM
Can you imagine what a disappointment it was when - after the gulf war - when it turned out that the US had no plan to take over all that oil?
After Cheney's super secret Oil Task Force escapade I was persuaded that the US had an inkling that peak oil was coming, and was going to seize as much as it could get as long as the getting eas good and then?
These clowns invaded Iraq only to wait for spontaneous order to re-emerge from then ashes of their bombing, and Cheney only kept the task force agenda secret on principle. Ther was nothing to hide, he just didn't want to disclose it!
Highly dissapointing, to say the least.
Posted by: confusedponderer | 02 April 2015 at 07:09 PM