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06 January 2015

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PL,

The King is thought to be near death - do you think the transition following his death will be smooth? I know just enough about SA to be dangerous, but SA seems to be an inherently unstable construct; the house of Saud probably cannot keep control forever...

With respect to IS I think the utilization of airpower in indirect support to the various players (Kurds and ISF mainly) stymied IS operational progress but will not be sufficient to roll IS back. To decisively defeat IS will likely require a concerted and coordinated effort among the anti-IS players including Iran, Syria and the US - a coalition which isn't likely anytime soon.

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