For the past week, top Pentagon officials have been busy engaging in something that they rarely relish: Domestic politics. In a series of leaks, beginning on Oct. 26 in the New York Times, "unnamed" Pentagon officials have disclosed a deep and growing rift between the military and the Obama White House and National Security Council over the managing of the war against the Islamic State. The original New York Times story reported on a memo written by Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel to National Security Advisor Susan Rice in early October, spelling out deep flaws in the White House managing of the Iraq and Syria operations against IS. Hagel demanded, among other things, a clarification from the President on how to pursue the anti-IS campaign in Syria, where the only viable fighting force on the ground is the Syrian Army. The Pentagon has made clear from the outset of the US air operations against the Islamic State that there is no possibility of defeating the jihadists by air war alone. Boots on the ground--preferably non-American boots--are going to be required to actually defeat the IS. In the case of Syria, there is no UN authorization or Congressional approval for the American actions, which means that the US must be very careful not to take any actions aimed against the Assad government.
President Obama has insisted, since Aug. 2011, that "Assad must go" and this has badly limited the current US anti-IS operations. The leaking of the Hagel-to-Rice memo was just the start of an onslaught that has continued all week and is expected to escalate following the Tuesday midterm elections.
In a series of stories in Politico Magazine, Foreign Policy, the Los Angeles Times, and McClatchy News, the Obama White House and NSC has been exposed as a bunch of bumbling micro-managers who have interfered repeatedly in the Pentagon's management of the war. A Rice memo to the Congress, spelling out the Obama Administration's war plans and budget needs was so incompetently written that House Armed Services Committee Chairman Buck McKeon worked with Pentagon lawyers to totally rewrite the document. After nearly six years in office, the Obama White House is as incompetent and insular as ever, and the consequences are getting worse.
General Martin Dempsey, according to Pentagon sources, has been shocked at the lack of comprehension on the part of the President's NSC and White House team of the plan that the Joint Chiefs worked out for fighting the Islamic State. At the press conference where the President announced the bombing campaign, with Secretary of Defense Hagel at his side, he badly mis-spoke in attempting to explain what the US was about to launch.
Dempsey and Gen. Lloyd Austin, the head of the Central Command (CENTCOM) were furious when President Obama appointed Gen. John Allen as his special envoy against IS. Former CENTCOM head Gen. Anthony Zinni spoke for Dempsey and Austin when he told reporters that the coordination should be run by CENTCOM, not by a retired general known to be an Obama favorite. "What is CENTCOM, chopped liver?" he quipped.
The Pentagon leaks, according to military sources, are aimed at forcing the President to undertake a thorough house cleaning following the midterms. The top targets of the military and of centrist factions of the Democratic Party, are White House Chief of Staff Denis McDonough, National Security Advisor Rice, and her two top deputies, Ben Rhodes and Tony Blinken.
The last three presidents to be re-elected to a second term--Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton and George W. Bush--all did precisely such house cleanings for the final two years, and in each instance, some productive achievements came about. President Obama may be tough to reach, however. Reports from circles close to the White House are that the President is impatient, short tempered and uncompromisingly unwilling to digest bad news.
These sources expect that there will be a parade of Democratic elders attempting to reach the President and convince him that it is in his own interest to clean out the stables and allow a team of competent, experienced veterans to replace the amateur hour team that surrounds him now. But the outcome is uncertain. Stay tuned.
In my last comment about the defeat of US-backed rebels in Syria's Idlib province at the hand of Al Qaeda's Nusra Front, I have said I would be eager to read the reaction from the White House. Well, it seems, here it is, hold your breath. Quote from Washington Post:
The Obama administration’s Syria strategy suffered a major setback Sunday after fighters linked to al-Qaeda routed U.S.-backed rebels from their main northern strongholds, capturing significant quantities of weaponry, triggering widespread defections and ending hopes that Washington will readily find Syrian partners in its war against the Islamic State. ...
A White House spokesman said Sunday night that the Defense Department was best positioned to provide “a battlefield assessment of what these alleged reports mean for the current military campaign in Syria.” Defense officials did not immediately respond to queries about the significance of events on the ground over the weekend.
Source:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/us-backed-syria-rebels-routed-by-fighters-linked-to-al-qaeda/2014/11/02/7a8b1351-8fb7-4f7e-a477-66ec0a0aaf34_story.html
Seems to me the next days in US politics regarding IS/AQ in Iraq and Syria could become interesting.
Posted by: Bandolero | 02 November 2014 at 07:55 PM
If Big Banka, Big Insura and Big Wall Street quietly send quiet messengers to tell Obama privately that he will not be paid after office unless he accepts the housecleaning being requested, then he will find a way to accede to it.
Posted by: different clue | 02 November 2014 at 09:32 PM
HARPER,
"President is impatient, short tempered and uncompromisingly unwilling to digest bad news."
Obama don't want to hear that he and his cronies has been parading naked for years. Will he clean the house or bomb all the messengers?
Posted by: Aka | 03 November 2014 at 03:30 AM
"Boots on the ground--preferably non-American boots--are going to be required to actually defeat the IS"
Whatever else they've done, Obama and company were absolutely correct in refusing to commit American soldiers to this fight - it's not ours. If the combined efforts of Iraqis and Kurds, millions of them, is not enough to defeat a handful of fighters than they deserve whatever happens to them. End of story.
The only way to motivate them is to convince them that we are not going to be there to save them. They've got the numbers, the resources and American air support and they still can't win?!
Posted by: jr786 | 03 November 2014 at 04:47 AM
Excellent and accurate post IMO!
This Administration contains a FUNDAMENTAL FLAW when it comes to NATIONAL SECURITY issues and policies. Like Admiral Poindexter and Colonel Oliver North both believed that the NSC staff should be deeply involved in oeratioal details, including military ops. Since over 1/3 of NSC staffers are active duty officers of the US Armed Forces anyone can see how their careers and wishes might be enhanced by involvement in operations.
I suggest that most if not almost all of the WH staff, the NSC staff in particular, and the President and Cabinet do not have a copy of the National Security Act of 1947, as amended.
As Retired General Brent Scowcroft has repeatedly testified, even under oath, the statutory authorities vest in the President are to enhance policy coordination of domestic policy, military policy, and international policies of the US government to enhance the NATIONAL Security of the US. The military operational role of the President is as Commander-In-Chief, not as Chief Executive.
PERHAPS A FATAL FLAW FOR ALL US MILITARY OPS IF THIS CONTINUES.
PLEASE TAKE THAT PROFESSOR Elliot Cohen.
Books such as RUNNING THE WORLD about the NSC history document the egos and hubris that drive NSC staffers.
Posted by: William R. Cumming | 03 November 2014 at 09:16 AM
"... hubris that drive NSC staffers..."; no doubt each and everyone fancies himself or herself as another Stalin or Marshall...
Posted by: Babak Makkinejad | 03 November 2014 at 09:46 AM
Doesn't it seem likely that the boots on the ground problem will be resolved by the Pentagon and the administration with contractors?
Posted by: bth | 03 November 2014 at 10:15 AM
Bandolero,
"... triggering widespread defections..." Just what did the Obama advisors think the brave band of brothers in the FSA was loyal too- the ideology promoted by a bunch of professor at some western university that gave this great chorus an A+ on thier pdh thesis?
Posted by: Fred | 03 November 2014 at 10:20 AM
Another stream of consciousness that I ask you to bear with. When the Wall Bangers told Boris the Y that he should let his county disintegrate and capitalism would rescue everyone, I believe the resulting chaos gave us Mr. Putin. Of course, why should anyone have expected that fresh lesson to be learned by our intelligentsia?
Having aided and abetted the destruction of two nations (Libya and Syria), the Administration, with the help of Cap'n John Mac and The Old Lady from SC, can't find a way to walk all this back. Not that the GOP is offering any more sanity but I claim that the electorate can smell the incompetency and that is the reason they will punish the Dems tomorrow.
And the kiddies in the WH will continue to find that Seal Team Six is not the solution to all their Foreign Policy problems. I wonder who they will blame in their memoirs?
Posted by: BabelFish | 03 November 2014 at 11:14 AM
bth
No. All the armed contractors employed by State and other civilian agencies were security guards. It would be a vastly different thing to form a mercenary army to fight in Syria and IMO we will not do that. pl
Posted by: turcopolier | 03 November 2014 at 11:40 AM
Thought it'd be interesting to note here that Ben Rhodes brother is David Rhodes, head of CBS News.
Its all about who you know.
Posted by: Tyler | 03 November 2014 at 11:41 AM
If this ineptitude keeps up I believe we are going to see the destruction of a major US maneuver element in the near future.
Posted by: Tyler | 03 November 2014 at 11:47 AM
I don't really get what the Pentagon wants in regard to Syria.
The political hawks and some ME Islamist countries want Assad removed but that would predictably end up like Libya.
The sane realists want to accept Assad and the Syrian Arab Army as the boots on the ground against the Islamic State.
Obama tried to walk somewhere between those two positions and that failed.
What is the Pentagon's position?
From the news about the recent Hagel letter to Rice I assume that Hagel wants the "regime change" to be called off and to work with Assad.
Interestingly two recent AP news pieces emphasized that most Syrian Sunnis are on Assad's side. That takes away the sectarian propaganda Washington has distributed the last three years. Who told AP to change its ways?
/quotes/
Syria's army represents the sectarian makeup of the country: it is largely Sunni Muslim, fighting mostly Sunni Muslim rebels.
http://bigstory.ap.org/article/ce94e469c686415f9077cda5e6069236/syrias-alawites-pay-heavy-price-they-bury-sons
/endquote/
/quote/
Sunnis, who form the country's majority faith group, form Assad's chief power base, even as the rebellion is dominated by Sunnis.
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/assads-syria-truncated-battered-defiant-26633429
/endquote/
Posted by: b | 03 November 2014 at 02:49 PM
bth! IMO greed not power now drives Washington's elites. SELF-DEALING a major driver.
Posted by: William R. Cumming | 03 November 2014 at 03:12 PM
Is a US carrier a "maneuver element'?
Posted by: William R. Cumming | 03 November 2014 at 03:13 PM
Tyler,
I fear that you are right and hope that you are wrong.
Regards,
Posted by: Charles Dekle | 03 November 2014 at 03:42 PM
Without getting into the merits of the arguments on either side, is there any discussion about the motivation of people leaking their side of the story to the press?
Posted by: shege | 03 November 2014 at 03:58 PM
WRC,
I'd say so. The amount of CYA would have yo be seen to be believed. Unlike the USA after Kasserine, Im sure everyone will quickly convince themselves it was a fluke and continue doing what they wanted to anyway.
Posted by: Tyler | 03 November 2014 at 04:33 PM
"Boots on the ground--preferably non-American boots--are going to be required to actually defeat the IS"
The US seems to be going about mobilising these "boots on the ground" in a rather strange way. In Syria it bet its strategy on the FSA, and they seem to be disappearing - as anyone with sense of realism could have predicted (and many did).
In Iraq, the only people really fighting the IS at the moment (even though defensively) are some Sunni tribes in Anbar. Despite their desperate pleas for help, the US ignores them, leaving them to be defeated by the IS. For a harrowing account of one such debacle, see:
http://tinyurl.com/l2ecubx
It seems the US is betting here on a refurbished Iraqi army. It is doubtful they'll perform much better than the last one the US prepared.
What then?
Posted by: FB Ali | 03 November 2014 at 06:15 PM
According to Jane's inventory, the three ME countries that have weapons that could be considered as 'carrier killers' are Iran, Egypt and Israel. It is hard to imagine a scenario where one of them tries to take on an entire battle group, even Iran.
Posted by: BabelFish | 03 November 2014 at 06:55 PM
EXACTLY !!!
Posted by: curtis | 03 November 2014 at 06:58 PM
Very smart question.
Posted by: curtis | 03 November 2014 at 07:03 PM
SOMEBODY - a lot of somebodies - elected this empty suit TWICE.
People (the dimwits, that is) get the government they deserve......and the rest of us suffer.
Posted by: tv | 03 November 2014 at 07:56 PM
"Whatever else they've done, Obama and company were absolutely correct in refusing to commit American soldiers to this fight"
Yes!
and maybe, the strategists could take an interest in who sponsors IS/Daesh, and ask how it all got to be the way it is? Otherwise its just pissing into the wind.
Posted by: pbj | 03 November 2014 at 09:09 PM
b -
I thought Assad's group was Alawite...
Posted by: pbj | 03 November 2014 at 09:16 PM