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20 June 2014

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Well, good for the "russophiles" then.

Poroshenko is playing an excellent game, given the lousy hand he was dealt. He's bludgeoning the rebels militarily while keeping civilian casualties low so far.

At the same time, he is careful to maintain constant dialogue with Russia. A "dialogue de sourds" maybe, but a dialogue all the same.

Presumably he wants the Russians to see him as someone they can work with in the future. Like the equally nationalistic, yet "Kremlin-compatible" Timuschenko.

As the author observes, the one thing that might derail his strategy would be massive civilian casualties in an army assault, which might actually tip the risk/benefit balance for the Russians to intervene.

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