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15 February 2014

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Babak Makkinejad

I am not sure about Thorium; India has been working on that for decades and they never seem to have made much progress.

And nuclear is the best green energy there is, after natural gas.

And US has a lot of natural gas both on the continental shelf and in even in places like Ohio and Michigan.

EU might have problems but not US.

Babak Makkinejad

Strength or weakness are relative.

I would suggest that Russia will be strong enough to wage a war if her leaders estimate that it in their national interest - in Ukraine.

David Habakkuk

Babak Makkinejad,

I have been trying to work out what the Russians might do if they really are faced with the prospect of a new Ukrainian government acceding to the EU proposals.

It is important to remember that the Crimea was only incorporated in the Ukraine as a result of Khrushchev’s decision in 1954. A possible strategy for Russia would be a variant of that which Ambassador Matlock suggested that they might adopt confronted by the prospect of Ukraine being admitted to NATO, in an article following the Georgian War. The arbitrariness of Khrushchev’s action could be used as grounds for people in the Crimea to demand a referendum on whether the decision should be reversed, which Moscow would then endorse.

The article by Ambassador Matlock, which remains well worth reading, is at

http://www.russiaotherpointsofview.com/2008/09/ambassador-jack.html

David Habakkuk

Babak Makkinejad,

Also quite possible is a Russian encouragement of trends towards federalisation.

(See http://www.kyivpost.com/content/russia-and-former-soviet-union/russia-sees-nothing-subversive-about-its-diplomats-statements-in-kyiv-336844.html )

David Habakkuk

fanto,

For a Russian view of Brzezinski's role, see

http://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2013/12/18/what-west-wants-from-ukraine-enthralled-by-paradigm-offered-by-brzezinski-ii.html

Norbert M Salamon

reply to Babak:
India has started working on a new thorium reactor, water cooled, unfortunately it is based on plutonium as source of neutrons.

The natural gas resource is great, the q is what percentage is economically extractable and at what price. Recent analysis of leakage indicates that it is far greater than presumed. and as Methane is a far greater source of global warming effect - approx. 20x that of CO2 - it creates the climate climax far sooner. Aside from that it does not replace the need for transportation fuel soon enough.
Please note in this respect that Shell oil gave up 2.5 billion investment in shale gas, for finding it to be uneconomical on one hand, while EXXON announced that shale gas without liquids is a source of loss for the company at present prices. Notable that all major public oil companies has decreased resource base and reduced income in last financial year.

With respect to thorium, the USA had a fluoride salt based reactor many moons ago, ran for over 5 years, the program was discontinued as it DID NOT PRODUCE PLUTONIUM for bombs. One major advantage of thorium reactors is that it can use all fissile by-products of other reactor or bomb material as source of neutrons, thereby negating disposal issues [on which the US spent fortunes for nothing at Yuma]. The US has great source of thorium in the coal ash produced by all the thermal generators based on coal.

fanto

Thank you Sir, unfortunately your text is overlayed in key areas by the picture of Pat Lang and above it by the list of viewers - I don't know what one can do about it. But Many Thanks again.

turcopolier

fanto

fanto, I had in mind an article by Brzezinski published in the FT in December. The link is at http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/5ac2df1e-6103-11e3-b7f1-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2msHONEft As background to an understanding of how the Russian authorities are likely to view the prospect of having the Russian fleet replaced by the American in Sevastopol, a piece by Robert Bruce Ware from 2005, entitled ‘A Reply to Matthew Brzezinski on the topic of Illyas Akhmadov’, is worth reading. (See http://www.network54.com/Forum/155335/thread/1111431531/1111431531/A+Reply+to+Matthew+Brzezinski+on+the+topic+of+Illyas+Akhmadov ) This is, incidentally, not to say that Bruce Ware is an apologist for the Russian authorities. He is an American scholar, who did a PhD on Hegel at Oxford, and thereafter fieldwork in the North Caucasus. The resulting study of Dagestan was published in 2009, and a collection of essays he edited entitled ‘The Fire Below: How the Caucasus Shaped Russia’ last year. I should stress that I have no claims whatsoever to expertise on the Caucasus, and would not regard myself as entitled to firm views on the area. Questions such as the history of the Circassians are fundamental to understanding what is going on in the former Soviet space, and I cannot pretend to have made a serious effort to come to grips with them. Irrespective however of what one thinks of the positions of the Russian authorities in relation to the Caucasus, it is important to understand them. As to the Brzezinski article, however, I do have firm views: it expresses the romantic fantasies of a Polish ‘szlachta’, quite possibly still dreaming of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. It is a sleazy web of honeyed words, designed to gloss over the fundamental truths that Ukraine remains a deeply divided society, and that Putin has vastly more support in Russia than dreamers in the West want to believe. Confidence that 'regime change' in Moscow would be likely to bring back to power the kind of 'liberals' who controlled Russian politics in the 1990s, meanwhile, seems to me likely to be pure fantasy.

turcopolier

fanto

I have no idea why Habakkuk's material is posting that wide. The problem is not at my end. pl

Babak Makkinejad

Thank you for your comments.

I think I heard that there are multiple gas fields in Mobile bay ,each of which alone could power the United States for more than 300 years.

Charles I

Thanks David. I think I was trying to be a bit flip, ironic, in the sense that these bogeymen(threatened drive south, missile gap, etc.) or causes(Georgian Democracy) are raised in the one cause - opposing the Russians, and the other - supporting democracy - in an inept, ignorant and hypocritical sort of unfolding of a local/international dialectic. Each is hyped in execution of fp incompetence

Whatever that means.

Bottom line, the Ukraine & Black Sea are not Afghanistan or Iran, they are Russian near abroad.

Charles I

IMHO there the salient point is that Russia is to Ukraine what the U.S. is to Canada. The major component of our economy, culture and security. Ukraine owes Moscow money and is energy dependent upon it. Putin being what he is, no Ukraine/EU co-operation can go unchallenged, or if achieved, unsabotaged.

Norbert M Salamon

and the Earth's temperature after this 300 years?

fanto

thank you Sir, this time the text is inside the column

fanto

Sir, the comment in question (the reply of DK to my question ) is now completely gone. this is strange

fanto

Sir, I should have scrolled down before I replied above, shame on me - now I see the whole text

Tyler

Probably the same, plus or minus a few degrees unless you believe in the global warming cult.

confusedponderer

While I think that government funding for a national sports team is probably a reasonable proposal, and indeed a very common thing for a nation to have, there's this:

Nowadays there are these odd defund this and defund that bills make the rounds in the US.

Usually the initiator is some partisan with a pet issue who doesn't like a particular utterance of some government (in the wider sense) funded body or govt slaried person, and decides to screw these people and scorch some earth by witholding funding.

As a result of the apparent proliferation of such attitudes and approaches, government funding for the olympic team in the polarised political climate in America today will mean that athletes, if they know what's good for them and national sports, refrain from any political statements.

Just imagine that - a gvt funded sports team visiting, say, Gaza on a friendship tour! In the Cold War days such things were foolishly thought to be harmless, to even facilitate thaw and peace - nowadays it will in all probability be viewed by the volcal and rancorous nuts as "Terrorists in trainers", "legitimising the terr'ists of Hamas!".

Defund'em!

confusedponderer

I just noticed that I posted the previous post in the wrong thread.

Norbert M Salamon

please look at MAP #3 produced by NASA at the:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-02-07/data-made-beautiful-weather-climate-and-fracking-water.html
These maps indicate nature's constraint on fracking [water stress], climate change over 6 decades etc.

ENJOY and learn

William R. Cumming

Excellent comment with which I totally agree!

William R. Cumming

Very informative comment PL! Thanks much!

Tyler

lol sorry Norbert I was told when I was an 8 year old how MIAMI WOULD BE UNDER WATER BY 2000 because of global warming and it seems like Miami is doing fine along with all the rest of the cities predicted to be under water.

Climate change occurs and climate change is caused by man are two different things. But that kind of level headedness doesn't get the tax dollars for "Study" versus ICE CAPS MELTING TOMORROW!!!!!!!

Tyler

Looks like Ukraine is getting a little hot and heavy.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-02-18/how-ukrainian-protesters-attack-armored-personnel-carrier

Tyler

And it looks like provinces are declaring independence while the army has been authorized to use weapons on rebels. Woo boy.

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