"The Morsi government has done much to generate this ill-advised militancy. Breaking promises to seek consensus with secular and opposition forces, it forced through a new constitution and has been trying to impose its control over the judiciary, media and civil society groups. It has devised laws that would tilt future elections in its favor and passed up opportunities to strike deals with moderate opponents.
Perhaps more significantly, the government has infuriated average Egyptians with its poor management. Cities are plagued with power outages and fuel shortages, inflation and unemployment are growing and investment is dormant. A long-promised deal with the International Monetary Fund has never been completed, and only bailouts from Qatar and Libya have kept Egypt from exhausting its reserves of hard currency.
" Wasshington Post
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I think it is just a matter of time until civil war develops in Egypt. This would be a situation reversed from that in Syria. In this case the Islamists of various "stripes" who run the government (or run with it) would be opposed by all others. The part that would be played by the army in that situation would be critical. Would Mursi's hand picked army commander succeed in holding together enough of the force to put down a rebellion? Would the force splinter as it has in Syria producing a Free Egyptian Army as the center-piece of the revolt?
time will tell. pl
Which side would the military be on - the MB or the opposition ? Some 'experts "say that the officers who have stakes in Real Property re the Resorts at Sharm El Sheikh ( ?) and the Suez Canal trade would side with opposition. Other 'experts " say that enough rank and file military are now devout salafi that the military would side with Morsi . Is there any opinion you might have regarding which side the military might take ?
Posted by: Alba Etie | 29 June 2013 at 10:21 PM
That's the one. (My sentence had a comma right after the link, and Typepad thought it was part of the link.)
Another interesting detail from the essay (though I'm afraid a very off-topic one) is that Orwell explicitly brings up Brave New World as unconvincing because it is insufficiently "crude". That rather strikingly telegraphs what he'd eventually do with 1984.
Posted by: Dan Gackle | 30 June 2013 at 03:20 AM
Checks & balances Egyptian style ?
Posted by: Alba Etie | 30 June 2013 at 05:46 PM
I hope you're proven right about that, FB Ali.
Posted by: Medicine Man | 01 July 2013 at 01:18 PM
Been away without contact, heard on radio in car coming home of Egyptian Army Get-Your-Shit-Together-within 48 hours-or-else statement.
Egypt's army gives parties 48 hours to resolve crisis
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-23133174
Posted by: Charles I | 01 July 2013 at 05:53 PM
Brigadier Gen Ali
It looks like your prediction that the Egyptian military would intervene was a good call . Would you care to speculate on the chances of an Egyptian Civil War . It appears that Morsi is currently under house arrest .
Posted by: Alba Etie | 03 July 2013 at 08:33 PM
Please see my comment on the IT IS NOT OVER IN EGYPT post.
Posted by: FB Ali | 04 July 2013 at 10:41 PM