Professor Brenner,
In response to Colonel Lang's observations on the way that Karzai has pulled the wool over Obama's eyes on the prospects of maintaining an American troop presence in Afghanistan, you raised the question of why, 'after more than a decade of deep immersion in the Islamic world,' American policymakers are still 'so dense.' And you asked whether the problem was simply at the 'senior policy-making level', or whether it also extends to the 'experts' who brief and write papers for those actually making policy.<p>At the risk of lapsing into platitude or egregious error, due to the thinness of my knowledge, let me hazard some reflections in response to your questions.
American self-images reflect certain particular Western intellectual traditions. One of these, republican thought, is classical in origin and initially emerges from reflections in one troubled polity, fifteenth-century Italy, about another: Rome at the time of the transition to imperial rule. In it, a pessimistic view of human nature has ambivalent implications. On the one hand, it leads to an immense suspicion of unchecked power. Controlling power is portrayed in part as a matter of balance - having opposing social forces, such as patricians and plebeians in the Roman republic, as well as different parts of government, limit each other - and partly a cultural matter, with an overwhelming emphasis on republican virtu.
Confronted either by internal anarchy or external threat, however, checks on power may threaten the survival of a polity. The Roman answer to this had been the notion of the dictator - a figure released from normal constraints on power, but only temporarily. The eventual outcome, as Rome faced the problems of managing an empire, was that the dictator became Imperator, a permanent absolute ruler. Accordingly, suspicion of imperial entanglements is common in republican thought. So also is ambivalence about democracy, as the fear commonly lurks that the unchecked power of the people can lead to the rule of an Imperator. Republicans - whatever their social origin - are commonly acutely suspicious of mob emotion: Shakespeare and Ben Jonson being obvious examples.
Another current is biblical in origin, and emerges from sixteenth- and seventeenth- century British developments of a Protestant vision of God's will as active in history, and knowable - which always had millenarian overtones and potentialities. Of their nature, both the original Christian development of the biblical vision and its secular transformations are, and have to be, universalistic: they can only be coherent if they are held to be universally valid.<p>Moreover, the obstacles to the realisation of the sacred project - be it religious or secular - are naturally to be interpreted as being either evil will or ignorance: accordingly, characteristic modes of action of adherents of such visions are righteous violence, and the administration of instruction to the ignorant. The antinomian temptation - the belief that the moral law is not binding on the elect - is also recurrent. The parallels with Marxism-Leninism - which also involves a secular transformation of the Christian vision of God's will as active in history - will be evident.
The configuration of forces which emerged as a result of the war of 1939-45 in large measure pushed the United States into a quasi-imperial role. However, overcoming the reluctance of very many Americans to assume the burdens this role entailed required portraying the world in terms of a globalisation of the American nationalist secularisation of the Protestant vision, notably in the key NSC 68 paper of April 1950.
From the time when Charles Bohlen waged a rearguard action against NSC 68 in 1950-51, a school of American experts on the Soviet Union argued that the tradition of interpretation which grew out of that paper portrayed the - very real - threat from Soviet power in quite unrealistically apocalyptic terms. However, they were largely marginalised by the adherents of the NSC 68 tradition - and, tragically, these succeeded in securing widespread acceptance, in both the United States and Britain, for the view that they had been vindicated by the retreat and collapse of Soviet power.
The triumphalism which emerged as a result of this retreat and collapse appears to have shifted the balance among the 'clerisy' in the United States further towards uncritical acceptance of nationalist visions. One effect is that the kind of threat inflation which was applied to the Soviet Union has been applied, in a far more dramatic fashion, to the threat from Islamist terrorism. Another effect is to tighten a set of blinkers making it difficult for policymakers and many analysts - in the United States, and also in Britain - to think seriously about societies different from their own
A republican vision of the place of the United States in the world does not require, to be sustained, that one takes any specific view of developments in, say, Iraq, Afghanistan, or Syria - or indeed the former Soviet space, and China. It leads naturally to the view that policy-making should be based upon expertise about specific situations. And indeed, a committed republican can quite consistently argue that, in situation where the conditions for constitutional government are not present, authoritarian rule - even indeed tyrannical rule - may be preferable to the likely alternatives.
Attempting to make sense of alien societies through the lens imposed by the American nationalist vision, by contrast, has implications which make misunderstanding almost inevitable. One is that there is immense pressure to interpret the realities of alien societies in ways that sustain the assumptions which are necessary to validate the nationalist vision. Another is that people in these societies who accept, or profess to accept, the vision are commonly regarded as the proper source of information on them. Not infrequently, however, such people are naïve, and sometimes they are not naïve at all, but simply playing on the gullibility of Americans - or Britons - who are willing, or even anxious, to be duped. The most spectacular case is of course that of Ahmad Chalabi, but the pattern is recurrent.
The fact that so much of the contemporary American 'clerisy' is nationalist, rather than republican, is reflected in the teleological assumptions of much 'political science' writing about which the owner of this blog has repeatedly complained. It is also reflected in the insouciance with which many appear to view the erosion of checks on power, in order to facilitate fatuous responses to a grotesquely inflated terrorist threat.
As regards Obama, it appears difficult to identify in him many traces of the republican suspicion of power. The implicit assumption behind so much of what he says and does - not least the ghastly sessions pricking names for remote-control assassination with John Brennan - is that he, and the United States, can be trusted with absolute power, because their virtue is self-evident. david Habakkuk
Vey fine essay Mr. Habakkuk.
I think you might also consider the contribution of the ideas and practices of personal Liberty (trace-able to Germanic tribal traditions of antiquity) among Anglo-Americans in your essay.
Posted by: Bababk Makkinejad | 15 January 2013 at 10:27 AM
A brilliant piece of writing, thank you.
Posted by: mo | 15 January 2013 at 11:07 AM
Brilliant.
Thank you Mr Habakkuk!
RP
Posted by: RetiredPatriot | 15 January 2013 at 11:28 AM
All
David Habakkuk sent me the material I made a "post" of as a comment on a question by mbrenner. I find the material superb as it is but if he decides to send me another version I will substitute it for those of you who like paragraphing. pl
Posted by: turcopolier | 15 January 2013 at 11:43 AM
Yes, dear Lord.
Posted by: MRW | 15 January 2013 at 11:45 AM
As I wrote beneath the post at its original site, my turn to return the praise. Apart from the writing, brilliant thinking.
Posted by: MRW | 15 January 2013 at 11:46 AM
WOW! A brilliant post! While I don't agree with all of it it yields fertile discussion topics. My first thought would be that the notion of Americans largely as refugees not voluntary immigrants is almost unstudied by the Academics. Refugees are primarily interest in the lowest levels of MAZLOV's heirarchy of needs. Security and necessities of life. Most Americans have no worries about security or necessities but whether they do or don't they have imbedded memories from their individual family history whether war or famine or authoritarian rulers.
For example true conservatives would almost always oppose drafting citizenry for the purposes of employment to defend the state except when the state is threatened existentially and perhaps not even then.
So the fact that there is discussion of the role of the Federal government is healthy as long as it is honest.
Does the government of the US really want to decide for the people what is best for them without consultation with its citizenry?Much of the entirety of the federal government'sprograms, functions, and activities are conducted in secret or so opaque as to seem secret.Basic disclosure not just to citizens and residents but Congress also continues. Those who live in a classified world begin to think that somehow they are a priviledged. In reality a modern priesthood. The nuclear priesthood is a leading example.
So perhaps some first principles need discussion for our citizens and their representatives.
My first of course would be preservation of the Constitution. Some clearly disasree.
Posted by: William R. Cumming | 15 January 2013 at 11:46 AM
The transmission from one generation to the next, or from one group to another, of the strands DH weaves in his thought-provoking brief essay is germane to the question of which strands dominate and which recede in a given time period and why do they shift. How does this work? Who does it? Etc.
Finishing up as he does with Obama, DH raises the question in my mind of who transmitted what to Obama in his formative years and more recently. A question we could put about any president and have. What influences press on Obama now. Is he really Nationalistic? Does he have nascent Republican impulses? How did growing up in Hawaii and Indonesia form his views on these matters? How did his immersion in African-American culture as a college student and thereafter influence his views? His college major was political science! He graduated from Columbia in 1983. Does that tell us anything? Or nothing? Is the situation he inherited the dominant factor in his decision-making?
Posted by: Margaret Steinfels | 15 January 2013 at 12:58 PM
Thank you Mr. Habakkuk.
What concerns me is the "counter - enlightenment" as Isiah Berlin named it - the cult of deliberate unreason that is the at the core of the thought processes of American Conservatism today and that obviously informs their rejection of specialist advice from the likes of Col. Lang and others
For example, I didn't realise until today that Congress banned Federally funded research into firearm accidents in 1996 because it might "advocate or promote gun control".
The deliberate control of thought processes implicit in American Conservatism today is lethal to both the economy and society in general.
How far are we from an American index of prohibited books?
How much Chinese progress would it take before innovators head there instead of Silicon Valley?
Posted by: walrus | 15 January 2013 at 03:18 PM
Margaret, Obama glossed over the trauma of his mothers second marriage and immigration to Jakarta as a Seven year old.
In my opinion, the trauma of moving to, and education in, Jakarta at that time would have been coruscatingly, mind blowing just awful. It was Two years after the military counter coup. Jakarta in those days was not for the faint hearted, it is about as far as possible from a Hawaian lifestyle that it is possible to get. I believe this was the formative traumatic event in Obamas life and it has shaped everything he has ever done since. He glossed over it in his memoirs which is telling.
Posted by: walrus | 15 January 2013 at 03:29 PM
"[Obama], and the United States, can be trusted with absolute power, because their virtue is self-evident."
Mursi and the Muslim Brotherhood are taking the same line, which is why he has secular opposition.
What will it take to finally send deep chills down the spines of Americans?
Posted by: JohnH | 15 January 2013 at 03:34 PM
I liked the piece very much, but I cant resist the urge to quibble.
1) Hazard surely?
2)The ambivalence towards democracy does not originate from Rome, but from Theucydides and the general Greek concern with the dictatorship of the mob.
3) "Another current is biblical in origin, and emerges from sixteenth- and seventeenth- century British developments of a Protestant vision of God’s will as active in history". There is a reason why Oliver Cromwell is sometimes described as the British Stalin. I think it was even then transparently arrogance rather than intellectual or faith driven. Its one of the nastier characteristics the US inherited from the "old country". But the fact that we can identify where this idea came from doesnt make it ok. The country that originated it repudiated it not so much later.
4)"The configuration of forces which emerged as a result of the war of 1939-45 in large measure pushed the United States into a quasi-imperial role.
I dont believe this. It seems obvious to me that the US stepped into a power vacuum because it was in the US's best interests. Sure some people didnt see it. But they were marginal figures and wrong. And the US was an imperial power before. Surely its obvioys that the 13 states original states were very clearly imperialist. I mean, how does Hawaii match up with manifest destiny? And what is Manifest Destiny anyway? Im telling you Kippling would have loved to have coined that phrase....
Posted by: harry | 15 January 2013 at 05:00 PM
I don't think Kippling was fully serious about White Man's Burden. He fully understood the complexities of the Empire. How else do you explain his line "Two thousand pounds of education. Drops to a ten-rupee jezail." For all their power he understood the Brits were fighting a losing battle against the wogs.
Posted by: Eliot | 15 January 2013 at 06:33 PM
Col. Lang-
Sir, it's difficult for me to see where this is going , , . From a strategic theory perspective . . .
First, the historic religious element could refer to the Star Chamber (which was of course used to impose religious orthodoxy among other things) or the Levellers and their influence on what later happened in the American colonies. Which is it? Both? How would that work exactly?
"Political and strategic thought"? They could be opposites, one precluding the other. How exactly are we defining "strategic thought"?
I also see a fundamental shift in US policy from 1989-93 to post 2001, from one of "first among equals" to one of "domination", which would be unsustainable, from a strategic theory perspective.
What would be the US strategic culture? War as an industrial process? How does that equate with how the other Western countries perceive strategy? Would that be "strategy" at all?
Inflated threat of the USSR . . . Ok, in the 1950s and 1960s it was inflated, for domestic political reasons, and maybe later as well, but was it not an actual threat in the 1970s and 1980s? Did they not have an impressive military capability in say 1980? Did not the Soviets secure Afghanistan rather quickly in 1979, as the US did Iraq in 2003, only to lose to the insurgency later on? How many troops did the Soviets actually deploy to Afghanistan during the 1980s as compared to how many we deployed after 2003 to Iraq, logistics differences accepted?
Imo, this is an interesting beginning to a very long discussion . . .
Posted by: seydlitz89 | 15 January 2013 at 06:43 PM
Seydlitz89
Perhaps David Habakkuk will comment. i provided the title. He might not agree with it. pl
Posted by: turcopolier | 15 January 2013 at 07:14 PM
All, if you have a Mac using Safrari, use the pdf view and everything should be fine.
Posted by: Jose | 15 January 2013 at 10:42 PM
My hope is that the 'counter enlightenment " will keep shooting itself in its collective feet. From the disaster that was Sarah Palin - to the current foot dragging on relief for SuperStorm Sandy - Very soon this GOP will be driven over the Whig Cliff . It would not at all surprise me to see a third party emerge with someone like Sen Hagel at the helm .
Posted by: Alba Etie | 15 January 2013 at 10:50 PM
William R. Cumming,
‘My first of course would be preservation of the Constitution.’
I absolutely agree. Moreover, I think there is something little short of surreal about the notion that jihadist terrorism represents the kind of threat which merits, or indeed, requires the removal of constitutional constraints on executive power. Indeed, the most serious threat the jihadists pose – in relation to the United States and Britain – has to do with their demonstrated ability to panic us into acutely self-destructive responses.
Posted by: David Habakkuk | 16 January 2013 at 09:20 AM
Harry,
I have corrected the spelling.
As to Cromwell, you write: “I think it was even then transparently arrogance rather than intellectual or faith driven.”
I think different elements are commonly intertwined, then and now: ideological messianism and will-to-power are often tangled up.
The ‘Horatian Ode’ which the poet Andrew Marvell wrote following Cromwell’s return from his – spectacularly brutal – suppression of Irish resistance in May 1650 contains the lines: “A Caesar, he, ere long to Gaul,/ To Italy a Hannibal, /And to all states not free / Shall climacteric be.” The fact that the language is so different from contemporary vernaculars can easily obscure how close the mentality depicted – probably with very deliberate exaggeration – is to that which produced the fantasy that American military power could democratise the Middle East – or indeed Afghanistan.
We are inclined to think that we are ‘modern’, and have put the past behind us, but in fact there is a very direct continuity, with Lincoln being a critical reference point, between seventeenth-century Protestant conceptions and neoconservatism. One difference, of course, is that nobody could have accused Cromwell of being a ‘chickenhawk’.
Actually, Marvell’s poem brings together different strands in classical and biblical traditions, in a very strange way. His portrayal of Cromwell echoes Horace’s portrait of Augustus Caesar – the bringer of order and security out of anarchy. But it also echoes the portrait of Julius Caesar by the ‘republican’ poet Lucan: which is actually the prototype of the literary figure of the ‘overreacher’ in Elizabethan drama, whose descendants include Melville’s Ahab.
Particularly as Catholic Ireland was a potential point of acute vulnerability for Protestant England, I think Marvell was understandably ambivalent. On the one hand, there was a ‘nationalist’ intoxication with Cromwell’s victory, and willingness to see it as part of the divine purpose, and on the other a cynical attitude towards Puritan moral pretensions, and perhaps also a fear of what ‘overreaching’ had brought, and might bring.
Posted by: David Habakkuk | 16 January 2013 at 09:49 AM
I don't know who you're talking about Walrus. It is the liberals who will scream and shout to the high heavens calling names when someone dares point out the facts in regards to the lie of their insane egalitarianism? The ones in charge who continue to insist the Salafists in Syria are the "voice" of the Syrian people? These are the realists who insist that we are all biologically 'equal'?
Or is it the former liberals turned hawks, aka the neocons, who are liberal in every sense with their invade the world, invite the world, in hoc to the world ideology except for the fact they're a bit more hawkish then their former comrades on the left?
I find it amazing you complain about "control" of thought processes when the left has a stranglehold on the media and educational organs, and dismisses any complaints as those inbred, corn liquor drinking, fly over country bitter clinging red staters needing to get with the progress!
The reason the federal research into firearms violence was stopped was because it was being used as a disingeneous club for the Brady Gun Grabbing Campaign to scream and shout about how every use of a firearm, legitimate or not, was proof of a wave of horrible gun violence. Much like how the Port Arthur Massacre was used in Australia to declare via fiat that all your guns now belong to the government.
The so called "Dark Enlightenment" of authors like Steve Sailer, John Derbyshire, Taki Theodoracopulos, and the rest of the HBD/Alternative Right writers is the best hope to pull us out of our current morass, if they can organize something.
Posted by: Tyler | 16 January 2013 at 10:10 AM
Eliot,
I think there are all kinds of elements in Kipling which are in tension. It is, for instance, material that the ‘sahib’ Kim is Kimball O’Hara – poor white Irish, not English.
Also noteworthy is the marvelous passage in which Kim decides that, contrary to what he has been told, the ethnographer-spook Colonel Creighton is probably not as foolish as he makes himself appear. At first, Creighton talks to him in English:
'Kim pretended at first to understand perhaps one word in three of this talk. Then the Colonel, seeing his mistake, turned to fluent and picturesque Urdu and Kim was contented. No man could be a fool who knew the language so intimately, who moved so gently and silently, and whose eyes were so different from the dull fat eyes of other Sahibs.'
Clearly, Creighton is a man who has got ‘into the skin and sandals’ of the Indians. But not that he is portrayed very much as an exception. Also note the element of repulsion – ‘dull fat eyes of other Sahibs.’
Posted by: David Habakkuk | 16 January 2013 at 10:18 AM
http://www.papercut.com/emailStripper.htm
is very useful for cleaning up this sort of thing. Just cut and paste.
Posted by: Equillus | 16 January 2013 at 10:57 AM
Personally I think Cromwell was just a response to the times, for what its worth. An out of touch leadership, foreigners receiving precedence over natives, unaccountable elites making outrageous demands...
Huh. I guess its true what they say about history not repeating, but it sure rhymes.
As a Catholic, I'm sure he would have thought of me as a heretic, but I can't help but admire his force of will and vision.
Posted by: Tyler | 16 January 2013 at 11:48 AM
A fantastic post, zooming out while keeping everything in focus. One thing I wonder about is the use of the term 'nationalist.' As you say, "both the original Christian development of the biblical vision and its secular transformations are, and have to be, universalistic". While the inheritors of this tradition may exploit national feeling, they seem more interested in the governance opportunities afforded by their place in the global power structure, than in the particular well being of America as a country.
Posted by: Kieran | 16 January 2013 at 12:35 PM
Equillus
thanks. That cleared it up. pl
Posted by: turcopolier | 16 January 2013 at 01:26 PM