I have the TV audio on in the background and I just heard Andrea Mitchell ask Ambassador Michael Oren (paraphrasing) why Israel's opinions are more valid than those of the US in re the Iranian menace. Praise the Lord!
Oren was startled by the question and mumbled their usual talking points. Among them was the idea that "Iran is next door to Israel." Say what? By my calculation we are talking a range set of at least 1,000 miles. That is about as far as - what in the US?
I guess Oren thinks his former American countrymen are even more ignorant of geography than they are. I had a workman here in Alexandria ask me last week how close Iran is to Israel. He was amazed and "gobstruck" when informed of the distance.
Is this something new that "they" have been up to? pl
http://video.msnbc.msn.com/mitchell-reports/46656400/#46656400
"right next door to us"
I agree with alinaustex.
I have commented before that I believe that this war talk is all about meddling in our election. Not attacking Iran has a pretty good chance of ending up with no Iranian nuke according to our intelligence community. Attacking Iran has a very large chance of bringing about a nuclear Iran. An attack then makes no sense in Bibi's own terms. His own worst nightmare would surely come true. Also if I were really going to attack a country I'd keep my mouth shut about it to maximize surprise. Thus my conclusion that it's all for our domestic political consumption.
However here are some other possibilities to consider:
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-03-07/have-oil-speculators-already-priced-in-war-with-iran
Maybe Israel is talking war to manipulate the oil futures market either for the political reason above or just to rake some free money off the futures exchanges or both.
Or it could be that Col. Lang is correct that Bibi might be so scared and irrational that he's not thinking clearly. But I really don't want to believe that just because I want to believe that human affairs make at least a little logical sense. But I was an engineer by training and have always understood things better than people.
Lets just hope that the politics hypotheses is correct and that the oil futures are responding to fear and not Israeli insiders trying to pick up some big bucks off a planned war.
JT
ps: (with thanks to E L) I guess Mitt forgot about Iran's other ally in the region (thanks to us), Iraq, and also that Iran has quite a bit of seacoast of its own without needing Syria. I think Mitt was just randomly pushing the "Iran" and "Syria" buttons on his playlist.
Posted by: JTCornpone | 08 March 2012 at 11:44 AM
How precarious is Milekowski politically?
Best way to paper over internal divisions is with an external threat. Perhaps, like Dershowitz who needs to believe that only an antisemite would think he is a horse's ass, Benny is also indulging in a bit of ego sparing projection. Not that crazy. The perception is accurate, the interpretation of the perception is not.
What the heck ... if T. Vincent/greywolf can do it....
Posted by: rjj | 08 March 2012 at 02:01 PM
edit: for projection, read displacement.
Posted by: rjj | 08 March 2012 at 02:03 PM
Charles
It won't be funny if Bolton turns around and put Cheney's daughter,Liz as Ambassador at the UN :(
Posted by: The beaver | 08 March 2012 at 02:14 PM
WRT Bolton (Odious) and Feith (Dimmius): Didn't the unions in the old days require that stooges be placed on every project - ditto Soviets and political commissars? Maybe those two were chosen because they are so preposterous.
Probably not.
Oh well.
Posted by: rjj | 08 March 2012 at 03:12 PM
From a NYT comment on Freidman's latest Israel column I was reading before coming here:
Posted by: MRW | 08 March 2012 at 04:04 PM
If "Iran is next door to Israel" why do they need our help?
Posted by: MRW | 08 March 2012 at 04:06 PM
And, also likely, Mexico.
Posted by: E L | 08 March 2012 at 04:26 PM
In re your Bibi optimism: “History is the autobiography of a madman.” —Alexander Herzen.
Posted by: E L | 08 March 2012 at 04:29 PM
MRW: IIUC, the ostensible goal of the sanctions is to force Iran to open up so that we can be sure that they won't start developing nuclear weapons in the future. So there's no direct contradiction there. At least if one believes that sanctions could bring whoever is actually in charge in Iran to accept real inspections.
Of course the operative word here is ostensible.
Posted by: toto | 08 March 2012 at 06:03 PM
The issue is Range of Iranian missiles (and you know it) Iranians are in the process of developing ICBM's but they do not posses them at the moment, though they have the ability to launch small light satellites into orbit and are making progress.
Their Medium range missiles can reach Israel, but can't reach the USA, in that aspect they are "next door" to Israel.
I read this post of yours and couldn't believe that you were higher up working for the US government, or maybe i should that will explain a thing or two.
And the amazing thins is the choir you assembled here who say Amen to every nonsense you spew out of your mouth.
Posted by: Leo | 08 March 2012 at 07:12 PM
Leo,
the issue is what is in the interest of the United States of America. Last time I looked the State of Israel has neither ratified the US Constitution nor been invited to join our Republic.
Posted by: Fred | 08 March 2012 at 07:56 PM
What's your mother tongue? Obviously, it's not English.
Posted by: optimax | 08 March 2012 at 08:57 PM
Leo (in Berkeley)
I told you not to show up here with another name. Insults are nor allowed. Iranian IRBMs will reaach Israel. Fortunately for Israel they have nothing to put on them but small HE warheads. Is that the idea, to make sure they never do? This is a reasonable idea and that is the policy of the US and mine. You prefer the analysys of Israel to that of the USA. I look forward to your comments and that of the rest of the Ziocon/Israel government community, but only yours. You will make a wonderful foil. Look it up. pl
Posted by: turcopolier | 08 March 2012 at 11:23 PM
rjj,
Now that you mention it, he is a politician and a horses ass. I tried to think like one for a moment, and it struck me (along with the nausea) that if the sanctions work he will be able to say that it was his tough-guyitude that did the trick.
He'd better hope he can.
Best wishes.
Posted by: Mark Logan | 08 March 2012 at 11:43 PM
Mr Bama
You should get out more - the USA majority is war weary ,period.
Posted by: alinaustex | 09 March 2012 at 06:02 AM
Leo
In the context of Operation Cast Lead -where many ,many civilans were casaulities as where IDF members - do you really believe Iran can be occuppied sucessfully ? If and when the neocon/Likud gets it way and we are involved in an armed conflict with Iran we will be faced with just that--eitherccuppying Tehran - or nuking them . There will be no surgical strike on Natanz without a much wider and tragic conflict .
Posted by: alinaustex | 09 March 2012 at 06:12 AM
If you thought that Oren was bad, then Panetta is worse. You know how there was the "bomber gap", the "missile gap", etc., well now there is the "concrete gap". Panetta is complaining that Iranian concrete is too strong.
http://www.aggregateresearch.com/articles/24641/Government-officials-concerned-over-Iranian-made-smart-concrete-.aspx
I suspect the "message" here is that the west must be thorough in preventing the Iranians from acquiring any "dual use" materials even though the development and manufacture of this super-concrete seems to have been indigenous.
Posted by: blowback | 09 March 2012 at 08:04 AM
ergo Go Obama Go, I'm scared not funny
Posted by: Charles I | 09 March 2012 at 10:32 AM
Optimax
March Break - nothing to do on campus
Posted by: The beaver | 09 March 2012 at 11:49 AM
I get out plenty. I disagree. Polls are misleading and unreliable. Most people don't know, don't care, and don't want to know. For the few who are weary, that's nothing that another 9/11 Plus wouldn't cure immediately.
Posted by: Morocco Bama | 09 March 2012 at 02:42 PM
So Leo is an example of the abysmal state of our educational system.
Posted by: optimax | 09 March 2012 at 09:14 PM
May be or he is on a "scholarship" and he is moonlighting for Yvet
Posted by: The Beaver | 09 March 2012 at 11:05 PM
Morocco, war weary means
** discount all "Support Our Troops" paraphernalia and dump inventory ASAP;
** no longer works as lead-in, and move down to after second commercial on nightly news.
Posted by: rjj | 10 March 2012 at 08:18 AM
Leo in Berkeley is not the same as Leo at Berkeley.
Posted by: rjj | 10 March 2012 at 08:22 AM