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01 September 2011

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Fred

mbrenner

Here's the link in English:
http://www.avnery-news.co.il/english/

mac

Colonel,

Yes, Israel is/was/will be prominent in the calculus of risk for DC's MidEast posture....but what of the point suggested by "Rd" - that in some way, the Iran factor, however we choose to describe this, could not have been overlooked? That is, it seems inconceivable that the the thinkers in the US Armed Forces could not have known, ab initio, regime change in Baghdad would have inevitable salutary affects for Tehran. To me, Washington MUST have known, by SUBSTITUTING ONE SECTARIAN TYRANNY FOR ANOTHER, as you put it meant Iran's hand necessarily would be strengthened. Could it be post March 2003 the new balance of power in the region came as a surprise? Impossible.

Patrick Lang

mac

In Myers-Briggs terms, the officer corps is dominated by "SJ" types. pl

William R. Cumming

In Iraq the USA policy is to drap any system with the cover story that things are better for our decade long (perhaps two decade long?) efforts in that country!

The drappery of course is only for USA consumption and as long as some exists no matter how frayed the politicals and career military will be satisfied that their efforts will be regarded as an achievement in that Iraq effort.

I have a very different version. I believe we (the USA) have taught the Iraqis almost all the wrong lessons and now when they eventually recover their footing they will be a real threat to any kind of long term stability in their region. Their potential rivals of Egypt, Turkey, and Iran have had none of their close up and personal look at the Americans of the last several decades. That look has IMO imedded several first principles in their minds. Mask the iron fist with some democratic fictions like elections. Make sure that ethnic and religious rivalries are kept within the country and do not impact relationships with the "Great Powers"! And whatever you do try and steal enough or power your way to enough clout to get out of IRAQ! Almost 6 million of Iraq's population is now in a permanent diaspora. Time will tell what this population thinks about "return"! After all look at Mr. Chalabi's "successful" return.

mac

Colonel,

I will have to look that up....

As always, thank you.

Patrick Lang

mac

I am an INTP. pl

William R. Cumming

ENTJ here! Approximately 40% of all populations that have taken the meyers/briggs!

Patrick Lang

WRC

The US adult population is 50% SP. The Army enlisted population mirrors that. The Army officer corps at the War College selection level is 50% SJ. pl

Dan Gackle

Col. Lang,

If the officer corps is largely SJ and you are an INTP, did you ever find that this difference presented a challenge to you?

I can imagine that it would. When I took a Myers-Briggs test I was off-the-charts N and P and reading the descriptions of the SJ type made me laugh out loud - it was like they were describing my nemesis! (The pencil-pushing bureaucrat, to put it rudely. No doubt the SJs have at least as unflattering a term for the likes of me.)

On another note, I'd guess that the P part of your temperament contributed to your strength as an analyst. Something about considering all possibilities.

Dan Gackle

Patrick Lang

Dan Gackle

At the War College selectee level (about 4% of all eligible)NTs are about 12%. They do most of the heavy lifting in the creative department, but, it is still a problem, with SJs who insist that you are "just guessing." pl

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