"The Libyan rebel movement that controls the country's eastern half wants to install a parliamentary democracy across the country once they topple the regime of longtime ruler Moammar Gadhafi, a top rebel official said Sunday. AP
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I suppose that a lot of people will simply refuse to believe the rebel spokesman. He is a lawyer from Benghazi. Most people in the US do not want to do anything to help the rebels in Libya. A variety of reasons for this are presented; money, unwillingness to inflict casualties deliberately or accidentally, indifference to MENA affairs except for Israel and oil, etc. In truth this is all about war weariness. The Bush Administration expended the emotional war making potential of the United States. The staffs can "roll up the maps" in the planning shops in the Pentagon. They will not be needed for a long time. One can say (tongue in cheek) that now is the time for Canada and Mexico to exercize whatever revanchist and irredentist inclinations toward the US that they may have.
Having said that, I can only hope that there is enough common sense left in the engaged portion of the American people that there will be continued support for NATO's military and diplomatic actions in Libya.
A stalemate in the rebellion, de facto partition of Libya, reconquest of the east by Qathafi, all these things would be perceived as defeat of the United States by the forces of reaction across the world. Perception is the greater part of reality in international politics.
Having supported the Libyan rebels rhetorically, President Obama has ventured the strategic capital of the United States in this matter. He should get his mind "in the game" enough to focus on that.
There is still time to do enough covertly or openly with our NATO allies to save the day in Libya. pl
WPFIII
You simply do not wish to act against this bad man and government. In most of these places we have little real ability to affect the governmental situation without a huge intervention. Libya is different because of demography and geography. We couuld make some improvement in that situation but you have no sense of altruism at all in this. pl
Posted by: Patrick Lang | 04 April 2011 at 10:31 AM
ttg.....I don't doubt that enormous time, money and effort went into preparing that manual. However getting sucked into an Arab civil dispute by two French egomaniacs fits my description of simplistic.
Posted by: dh | 04 April 2011 at 11:57 AM
dh
What manual? pl
Posted by: Patrick Lang | 04 April 2011 at 01:50 PM
ttg cited an army manual...
http://www.cgsc.edu/carl/docrepository/FM31_21_1969.pdf
as an example of complex thinking I guess. It wasn't what I meant by simplistic. I'm thinking more of the tendency to categorize everybody as good guys and bad guys.
Posted by: dh | 04 April 2011 at 02:09 PM
Why should non-interventionists, libertarians and other "Republic Not an Empire" tradcons care if "forces of reaction" believe the US was "defeated" in the Libyan venture in the Mideast? Do these "forces of reaction" threaten the nation's standard of living or security hereabouts?
Posted by: Ken Hoop | 04 April 2011 at 02:46 PM
ken hoop
Ah, an isolationist. pl
Posted by: Patrick Lang | 04 April 2011 at 02:50 PM
Not the pejorative it once was, hopefully in the same vein as "antisemite."
Posted by: Ken Hoop | 04 April 2011 at 02:57 PM
Libyan involvement dominated the Sunday talk shows. Question I have is why? The Obama speech was parsed as to whether it was doctrinal is scope. Personally I don't think so as I believe that Obama's caution in the face of complexity has some merit. But also indicates his still learning on the job. Sincce no one in the TEA PARTY or the Republican Party seems to want to deal with foreign affairs this oddly might give Obama the advantage of at least understanding that what the US does abroad is not a reflection of US domestic policy but in fact a reflection of the other nation-states having a comprehensive understand of what makes the US tic on foreign relations. Clearly all others now understand it is watch what we do not what we say that is most important in understanding how the US will and does conduct its affairs. Thus the words are largely ignored. Am I missing something? Are we now OUT of Libya?
Posted by: William R. Cumming | 04 April 2011 at 07:39 PM
WRC et al
Halellujah! Hallellujah! We be's out o'barbaree! The day o'jubilo hab come at last. pl
Posted by: Patrick Lang | 04 April 2011 at 08:02 PM
Michael Scheuer takes on the CNN and the Libya narrative: "You're just carrying water for Obama:"
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dDVt_hSo_EU
He won't be invited back. Speaking truth to power is never lucrative.
Posted by: JohnH | 04 April 2011 at 09:18 PM
johnH,
i saw that. banana skin moment.
col,
care to comment re Scheuer's CNN appearance, sir ?
Posted by: tunde | 05 April 2011 at 05:14 AM
has anyone else seen this ?
http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2011/04/ex-gitmo_detainee_tr.php
i have no reason to doubt the accuracy of the reporting.
Posted by: tunde | 05 April 2011 at 03:51 PM
Some incurable optimists in and around Washington are posing the question of what we may expect from newly promoted Deputy Secretary of State William Burns on the heavy Middle East agenda. The hope is that he animates initiatives that move American policy away from the strategic dead ends of its Palestinian and Iranian policies. A further hope is for a less inhibited and qualified embrace of the popular reformist movements sweeping the Arab world.
Although I do not know Mr. Burns personally, there is good reason to doubt that he will change anything of consequence. He has been an integral member of this administration’s foreign policy team that has so assiduously dug the holes in which we find ourselves. I can recall no incident where there was as much as a hint of his thinking deviating from that of senior principals. That is one. Secretary Clinton remains his boss whose own attitudes are pronounced and who listens to people of higher rank than Mr. Burns whose views she surely is familiar with. That is two. Mr. Burns is something of an Arabist. He speaks the language and was Ambassador to Jordan and Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern affairs. So he will not be engaging Middle Eastern issues with the freshness and curiosity of a new comer to the regime. That is three. Burns said this in his confirmation hearing: “In Bahrain and Yemen, we will continue to press vigorously for serious political reform.” We have been doing anything but that. On the record, Mr. Burns is a dissembler like his superiors. That is four.
Hope springs eternal.
But reality is reality.
Mr. Burns doubtless would be a good man to have on board - if the United States had a wise and cogent strategy in the Middle East that awaited implementation. We don't have one, though.
Posted by: Michael Brenner | 05 April 2011 at 08:38 PM
tunde,
"Qumu served in the Libyan Army from 1979 until 1990, but his service was marred with trouble. He was "arrested and jailed multiple times for drug and alcohol offenses, going absent without leave and attempted rape."
"Levinson reports that Qumu, who was imprisoned in Libya after his transfer from Guantanamo, was released by Qaddafi's regime as part of its reconciliation effort with Islamists in 2008. "
Seems Qathafi saw the handwriting on the wall a couple of years ago, and with men like this in his army it is no surprise the people of Libya to revolted. When they get rid of him, they can get rid of this guy too.
Posted by: Fred | 05 April 2011 at 09:36 PM