There are several interesting things about this WP story:
- The MSM as is their custom either does not understand the story or is "dumbing it down" in the belief that complex thoughts are beyond the capabilities of the public. The story is being headlined as being about the Intelligence community. It really is much more than that. The story deals with whole complex web of homeland security agencies, things like the National Counter Terrorism Center, federal police forces, the intelligence world and the ever increasing number of consultant companies that service those activities and to some extent do their hardest work, the intellectual "heavy lifting " that is best done by the "graybeards" who have a lifetime's experience and reputations for high achievement. I know that will sound self-serving. People outside this world will ask why the government should pay again for the expertise of the real experts. Simple. If the government does not, then it can do without.
- In the world under discussion, bigger is not better unless you are talking about the number of policemen. At the end of the 1st Gulf War, DIA was thought by many to be a highly effective combat support organization. Norman Schwartzkopf didn't think so? Well Fat Norman couldn't have found his a-- with both hands if DIA had not devoted 2,000 odd of its people to exclusive support of FN's army in the desert. DIA then had 6,000 people worldwide. We were not undermanned. According to Dana Priest's story DIA now has 16,000 people and is still one of the smaller "players" in the national security world. What on earth are all those people doing? The answer she provides is that they are mainly getting in each other's way. I think that is true. I have the chance occasionally to see some heavy duty thinking done in war games, panel discussions, etc. It is noticeable that the more skilled are the people organizing such meetings the more they tend to isolate small groups of the highly capable to do the serious thinking. More is not better, bigger is not better. Gigantism is inherently bad.
- Why has this catastrophic growth occurred? There are probably several reasons, most of them embedded in our shared culture. We like big. There is an assumption in American culture that "bigger and more" must be better. We tend to assume that we can solve problems by throwing money and manpower at them. Why? We are addicted to the leveling idea. My insistence that smaller is better is typically seen as "elitist" because it implies that all people are not created equal and that some people do much better work than others, often being capable of the intuitive leaps called "intuition" by the "elitists" and "guessing" by the levelers. The levelers are in charge. Like "Poppy" Bush they are usually not good at "the vision thing." Their reaction to the need to do serious thinking about phenomena that do not have linear outcomes from present events is often to divide the "action" up into smaller and smaller pieces that do not expect much insight from individuals. Then these mental tessarae are submitted to the attention of layer upon layer of committees and inter-agency "coordination." What results is often not useful, but the process is manpower and contract rich.
- A corollary of having "process people" in charge is the proliferation of acronym heavy programs, SAPs, endless "experimentation" by groups like JFCOM and a general inability to do anything with less that 50 people and ten million dollars (petty change).
What is described in this article by Priest and Arkin is the confluence of several Washington government/consultant firm/think tank and academic "industries." They are the Homeland Security Industry, the Intelligence Industry, the Counter Terrorism Industry, the Cyber-Security Industry, etc. there are other growing government industries, Climate
control, etc.
Forget about what Eisenhower said. Worry about this. pl
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-10681861
Will await full series before commenting.
Posted by: William R. Cumming | 19 July 2010 at 06:32 PM
WRC
Why? It won't get better. I want to hear Clapper talk about this tomorrow. This is a man who first thought the DNI should be stronger and lately thinks he should be weaker. My wife thinks he is working on the wording of his epitaph. pl
Posted by: Patrick Lang | 19 July 2010 at 06:56 PM
If one were to follow the money, these almost 900 000 "intelligence employees" would cost at least 65 billion per year, but probably over 100B, counting support, offices, hardware and software and PROFIT. This funding will collapse to a large extent [though not fully] as the $ collapse for the Military Industriqal Congress Complex progresses.
If one follows the per capita energy available in the USA [at present falling fast], one realizes that there will be NO growth, but contraction in the coming years. Replacement will be harder, for energy availability will decrease!
Anyone who can point to anything done in the USA [or anywhere else] without energy INPUT will be the only one who can indicate growth - else it is spin!
Posted by: N M Salamon | 19 July 2010 at 07:40 PM
Col Lang,
Forget about what Eisenhower said. Worry about this.
Eisenhower was referring to the party of 'perpetual war' (preparing for it, fighting it, and, of course, handsomely profiting from it). This octopus is a new member of that party, which still includes the old gang, but also other newcomers: the neocons, the Israeli lobby, maybe even Big Oil.
This new and growing security establishment is certainly a cause for worry, but the really big source remains this war party, and its hold on US policy-making.
Posted by: FB Ali | 19 July 2010 at 07:49 PM
I smell a bit of contractor bashing here. Uh, last I looked, contractors don't make policy. Contractors didn't decide to decimate the technical ranks of the government and leave nothing but program managers and contracting officers behind who spend their time trying to build little empires in order to gain that extra rank in the series to beef up their pension. You can't be a GS-15 in DC without enough people to make a branch, unless you are one of the rare "technical" 15s. And you definitely can't be an SES without enough branches to make a division or a directorate! So start beefing up those numbers! Hire some more program managers and then get some contractors to actually produce something more than weekly reports.
Believe it or not, lots of us contractors served in uniform at one time and think the government has gone way too far.
Blaming the contracting companies for being money-hungry business pukes is like blaming prostitutes for the John's who want to partake of the oldest profession's services. And, yes, I picked that analogy for a reason. Businesses exist to make money. The government has turned itself into a very lucrative "target market." Don't act all surprised when private industry is milking this cow as long as possible.
We get the government we elect. And I'm sure it all looked good on paper 15-20 years ago when the floodgates opened. That's how we "shrank" government, folks.
Posted by: Cold War Zoomie | 19 July 2010 at 08:14 PM
FB Ali
A rhetorical flourish on my part. pl
Posted by: Patrick Lang | 19 July 2010 at 08:19 PM
Colonel,
What I find both interesting and frustrating regarding the 'exposes' by the WaPo -- 'normally' the WaPo track-record has been repeatedly showing ahead of time to the NatSec parties that be their WaPo expose info ahead of their publications. Such undermines WaPo's credibility.
Meets the definition of 'censorship' wouldn't you agree?
Posted by: J | 19 July 2010 at 08:54 PM
J
In this case it is an expose. pl
Posted by: Patrick Lang | 19 July 2010 at 09:11 PM
Sir,
What I find most interesting about these revelations is that this story has now broken, so to speak, at least three times since 9-11. The first time was back at the end of 2006/beginning of 2007 when some contracting officer at DHS gave a presentation and the slides leaked out onto the Internet. The second time was when Jeremy Scahill, who wrote the book on Blackwater that is either loved or loathed (never met anyone in the middle on his reporting) started doing his reporting on contracting back in 2004 or 2005 - much of that went into the book. The third time was when Tim Shorrock's book "Spies for Hire" came out in 2008. So this makes #4.
I think I still have that DHS COR's slides saved somewhere. I'll look for them tomorrow and if I have them send them across to you in case you want to put them up.
Posted by: Adam L Silverman | 19 July 2010 at 09:35 PM
CWZ, you make a good point. This situation is not the fault of contractors. It is the fault of money/power driven bureaucrats in the government and the private national security industries. Of course, this crappy state of affairs is not limited to the the national security sphere. Here's a quote from Roland Dobbins, a well known and accomplished network security practitioner from Arbor Networks. He's complaining about the sad state of security in the networking industry.
"There's a great deal of opsec coordination and work which takes place in a sub rosa fashion, via individual actions, closed, vetted mitigation communities, ad hoc personal relationships, etc. In actuality, a very great deal of the useful opsec work that gets done is accomplished by folks who in some cases are going beyond their portfolios to do so, as their management, legal teams, PR/marketing teams, et. al. would actively forbid them to do this work, were they to know about it.
That's one of the reasons why a lot of people who make sweeping generalizations and recommendations about 'cyber-this' and 'cyber-that' tend not to have a good grasp of even the fundamentals - they aren't the folks who do the actual work, they don't know who does the actual work, and they often don't know anybody who knows somebody who actually does the actual work. They often don't even know that actual work is taking place, or what it entails, in the first place, because the actual work takes place out of the limelight."
This sounds a lot like Colonel Lang's "Bureaucrats versus Artists " doesn't it?
Posted by: The Twisted Genius | 19 July 2010 at 09:52 PM
I cannot understand why any Government, especially one supposedly married to the concept of free enterprise, would be in the liquor business.
Walrus, the answer is same as Pat's to J: The money's too good.
Same reason the war on drugs won't end either.
Posted by: Charles I | 19 July 2010 at 10:13 PM
From wapo article:
"But improvements have been overtaken by volume at the ODNI, as the increased flow of intelligence data overwhelms the system's ability to analyze and use it. Every day, collection systems at the National Security Agency intercept and store 1.7 billion e-mails, phone calls and other types of communications. The NSA sorts a fraction of those into 70 separate databases. The same problem bedevils every other intelligence agency, none of which have enough analysts and translators for all this work."
Information overload. When government sees a threat, it expands and, since 9/11, restricts our rights and invades our privacy.
What a dumb beast it is.
Posted by: optimax | 19 July 2010 at 10:37 PM
Col. Lang,
Nick Gowing on the BBC News last night (our time), commenting on the samw WaPo piece, wondered how, if 85,000 people were given 'Top Secret' security clearance, any secrets could be kept.
Gautam Das
India
Posted by: Gautam Das | 20 July 2010 at 12:28 AM
GD
How British, uninformed and foolish, pl
Posted by: Patrick Lang | 20 July 2010 at 12:47 AM
charles 1
Why can you people not comment without descending to insult? pl
Posted by: Patrick Lang | 20 July 2010 at 12:49 AM
CWZ:
"I smell a bit of contractor bashing here. Uh, last I looked, contractors don't make policy. Contractors didn't decide to decimate the technical ranks of the government and leave nothing but program managers and contracting officers behind who spend their time trying to build little empires in order to gain that extra rank in the series to beef up their pension. "
I'm afraid I strongly disagree about your characterisation of contractors and your suggestion that they are somehow helpless victims of scheming bureaucrats. Nothing could be further from the truth. Permit me to speak as a former "Contractor Manager" in the field of I.T. I was both a practitioner and a victim, with blood on my hands and scars on my back, let me tell you how it goes.....
Once you get a foot in the door via a small contract, your immediate goals are Twofold:
1) Expand your contract with add - ons and variations.
2) Lobotomise the organisation you are contracting to in order to make them totally dependent on you. You do this be removing anyone who has the intelligence and experience to contradict you, either by hiring them yourself or getting them fired or reassigned.
You do this primarily by multi level marketing where you put a partner in your firm next to every decision maker you can reach as far up and down the tree as you can go.
Your primary weapon for controlling a bureaucrat is fear for their career. Let me give you a few stock threatening phrases. These are best delivered one on one over Linguini Di Mare washed down with a chilled Sauvignon Blanc:
"I saw (insert name of your boss, bosses boss or Senator) at our box at the (tennis/opera/play /garden party/ football game/ presidential ball/ prestigious cocktail party) last night and I told him how well our project was going."
"I understand how important our project is to you. I can see from what happened with (insert evidence, name of disgraced bureaucrat) that failure of our project would not be good for your career."
"You are a remarkably perceptive chap and we could use someone of your calibre in our organisation."
" Col. Lang seems to be a critic of our project. It would be a pity if his uninformed comments were allowed to compromise our success."
But wait, there is more, and I predict you are going to see it in later parts of the WAPO article: blame transference takes place, and instead of blaming the contracting firms for being lying, rotten, corrupt, greedy, manipulative, disloyal, treasonous, lazy no good robbing little weasels, THE PAPER WILL BLAME THE GOVERNMENT FOR GIVING THEM THE CONTRACT IN THE FIRST PLACE!
I am not joking. I've had it done to me. IBM made an art form of this in the 1960's, and it will only be more refined and deadly today.
Posted by: Walrus | 20 July 2010 at 01:26 AM
O/T.
I'd estimate that about 50% of "We are on the very edge of attacking Iran" stories originate from the Times of London. They're trailed by this Murdoch publication and then, with a high profile on the Web, spread to the States and the ROTW.
But Rupe, in his wisdom and skingflintiness, has just decreed the Times shall disappear behind a pay wall. Since no one is buying to read it, this means that its online prescence is virtually nil and no one round the world will be reading about imminent Iranian nuclear explosions.
Posted by: johnf | 20 July 2010 at 02:50 AM
PL! Is the story why Dennis Blair was fired?
Posted by: William R. Cumming | 20 July 2010 at 02:58 AM
Zoomie -- You clearly know what you're talking about. But major contractors are making policy now. Their lobbying and capture of legislators ensures the flow of money, "cost-plus" contracts and zero accountability when they're demonstrated to be corrupt/incompetent: (See: Black & Veatch et al and the Kabul diesel power plant).
It's precisely what Eisenhower warned us about.
I'm not a businessman myself, but the logic of the cost plus contract, which encourages waste and inneficiency, has always eluded me.
Posted by: DanM | 20 July 2010 at 05:50 AM
WRC
No. He was just a victim. pl
Posted by: Patrick Lang | 20 July 2010 at 07:23 AM
Anybody care to comment regarding the State Dept. and their Blackwater/Xe security contracts ongoing fiascos? Why doesn't the State Dept. simply expand their DSS section with 'government security' that way they won't be in a position to have to depend on 'outsourcing' to outfits and outfitters like the I'm-moving-to-Dubai Erik Prince former Blackwater founder/ceo.
In the end, government employees are pennies on the dollar expense compared to outsourced ever creeping up high-$$$ 'mercs'.
Colonel,
Wouldn't it be safe to paint Booze Allen as a 'Blackwater' of the Intel 'merc' crowd, or is it an overstatement?
Posted by: J | 20 July 2010 at 08:08 AM
This is fearful stuff.
I liked walrus' point about the connections between the CiC and out County Sheriffs.
I live in a county of 9200 square miles with a population of around 36,000, mostly in 2 towns.Our Sheriff has a budget of $3.5M a year and it's hard now to know just how many deputies are on the force.
The Sheriff believes, with the support of the elected Commissioners, that we are subject to imminent invasion by all sorts bad guys.
A 5th column of jihadists, dangerous hispanic immigrants, wild eyed environmentalists.
The serve and protect idea has been replaced with suspect everyone.
My Dad who was born before the start of WWI and spent 30 years in the US Army observed to me 30 odd years ago of his fears of loss of our civil liberties due to what he saw as dangerously ignoring Eisenhower's warnings and more and more unfettered powers being allowed the police forces in the country. Along with a judiciary and legislators who just did not understand this concept of civil liberty the Country was founded on.
Last night the News Hour did a piece on the WAPO article; it was an eye opener.
Posted by: John Minnerath | 20 July 2010 at 09:07 AM
J
BAH is firmly in the hands of the Ziocons. pl
Posted by: Patrick Lang | 20 July 2010 at 09:15 AM
J,
The primary reason why the intelligence community, whether it's employed to track down "enemies of the state" on either the domestic or foreign front, has become a breeding ground for waste, fraud and abuse is because intelligence agencies, unlike most other governmental agencies, are exempt from regulatory oversight on the ground that doing so would compromise national security. But the problem with this argument is that most of the time what the intelligence community does has little, if anything, to do with national security. This is why anytime whistle-blowers or journalists try to report any type of waste, fraud and abuse taking place in the intelligence community, they are accused of being "enemies of the state" and hauled off to jail without due process of law, which is a direct violation of our Fifth Amendment Rights. We must find some way to put a stop to this practice of allowing the intelligence community to hide behind an iron veil of state secrecy. And we must do this before our country devolves into a full-blown police state. This, I believe, gets to the heart of what the 'Sovietization' of America is all about.
Posted by: Cynthia | 20 July 2010 at 09:52 AM
John M.! Apparently the leading law enforcement issue is the filming of police officers during arrests? I think over 20 cases now exist where the police arrested the filmer! Will be of interest to see if "Free speech" or some other theory rescues those filming. Definitel a trend being closely followed by press and civil liberties groups. Hey those camera phones may get you into jail!
As to the bias against contractors, well pretty well documented that civil servants do NOT contribute to political campaigns. One reason so few get political appointments anymore. Those jobs are often for sale for $25,000 and up contribution. But contractors can be utilized to fill campaign coffers even sponsoring fundraisers through their DC lobbying fronts.
There are several things contractors are NOT paid to do. Guard the public interest and Constitution. Conduct R&D that is basic research and not applied. But don't worry the percentage of defense and other federal contracts being outsourced to South and East Asia through sub-tier contracts (almost completely unpoliced by DOD or the Executive Branch) will soon mean that those companies will if not already be fronted before Congress and the Executive Branch by skilled lobbyist under contract. This is the reason the decline of usefulness of FARA is such a tragedy.
Posted by: William R. Cumming | 20 July 2010 at 09:58 AM