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07 July 2010


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You would have come to the same conclusion using current polling data, as well as plugging current economic data into a Ray Fair-style voting model. The AZ immigration fracas is a nice hook on which to hang your conclusion, but it is political decoration, not substance.

In the long run, as should similarly be clear from the data, the US polity is going to look a whole lot less white. Positioning your party as the defender of people who look a whole lot less white strikes me as a canny ploy. In addition, it carries the little advantage of being the right thing to do. This is still America. As a friend of mine likes to say in a theatrical accent, "papers?! but at the border they told me this was a free country.."

Full disclosure: first-generation. My parents got green cards under the old, racist quota system.

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