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26 July 2009

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Nerf Herder

Maybe if you make the type even bigger, people will believe it more.

Fred

"What was important was their effectiveness in instilling in their people of sense of victim-hood." Just like Rightwing talk radio is doing in the US. " ….except in Iran’s version the chief evil was foreigners." Except in rightwing radios version the chief evil are liberals, homosexuals and democrats.

Khomeini said that “Criminals should not be tried. The trial of a criminal is against human rights. Human rights demand we should have killed them in the first place when it became known they were criminals.” Guantanimo Bay, so much better since while the accused are guilty, no trial required, it doesn't have the firing squads.

"In brief, the foot soldier is to be part of an indoctrinated mob which does what it is told without question." Rush Limbaugh's ditto heads? No-one is calling for his (Limbaugh's) birth certificate, while allies on Fox proclaim 'Obamageddon' is at hand.

http://www.foxnews.com/search-results/m/24291128/obamageddon.htm

Cloned Poster

What part of this is true?

Comparing Iran with Hitler's Germany and Milosevic's Serbia sounds like neocon bullet points, aided and abetted by Zionist interests.

How many were killed in "Operation Cast Lead"?

OK, ask Paul Johnson

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:PaulJohnson1.jpg

to document the butcher's bill in Iraq.

jonst

Richard,

Thank you for taking the time to write this, and to share this, with us.

curious

I really don't think Iran domesitc situation is that pivotal anymore. It has turn from simply "whacking neocon's last big threat" to mere piece in global geopolitical chessboard. (eg. US isn't the only player who can decisively knock out another player.)

Even if mousavi won through regime change scheme in the next 10-12 months, Russia and China will enter and defend their interest. Mousavi has to decide who he will allied with, and I can't see how him antagonizing Russia and China and running to US side will save Iran.

It is now pure big power game. China (energy supply, economic growth, buffer) , Russia (energy supply control, territorial integrity), US (energy, containment, global domination). Iran is an important flash point where (China's energy need, Russia buffer and US global expansion intersect.)

more and more the behavior of large power is toward confrontation and defending interest. Each knows the other weakness and ready to exploit, while positioning their pieces.

Plus Israel is really dangerous, it acts like a match in pool of gasoline. (I am surprised the whole thing hasn't exploded in regional conflict yet.)

--------

page 19, The Grand Chessboard - American Primacy And Its Geostrategic Imperatives. Zbig.

Eurasia is thus the chessboard on which
the struggle for global primacy continues to be played. Although geostrategy—the strategic management of geopolitical interests—may be compared to chess, the somewhat oval-shaped Eurasian chessboard engages not just two but several players, each possessing differing amounts of power. The key players are located on the chessboard's west, east, center, and south. Both the western and the
eastern extremities of the chessboard
contain densely populated regions,
organized on relatively congested space
into several powerful states. In the case of Eurasia's small western periphery, American power is deployed directly on it. The far eastern mainland is the seat of an increasingly powerful and independent player, controlling an enormous population, while the territory of its energetic rival—confined on several nearby islands—and half of a small far-eastern peninsula provide a perch for American power.

dan bradburd

There is a very interesting short piece by Ervand Abrahamian in the July 23 London Review of Books which has a nice summary of the role of the crowd in past (and current) Iranian political upheavals. It is well worth reading.

Fred

Perhaps this is worth an extra post to generate some comments:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/29/business/energy-environment/29oil.html?em

I don't think the CFTC is the correct regulator. A hefty tax would stop speculation quicker than an exchange rule or the CFTC.

curious

just declare war and get it over with already.

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1104208.html

U.S. briefs Israel on new Iran nuke sanctions

American officials briefed Israel this week on the administration's ideas for intensifying sanctions against Iran if it fails to respond to President Barack Obama's offer of dialogue.

U.S. National Security Advisor James Jones, who is now in Israel to discuss Iran's nuclear program, indicated that Tehran has until the UN General Assembly in the last week of September to respond. U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates delivered a similar message during his visit here earlier this week. If no satisfactory answer is received, the Americans said, they would work to form an international coalition to impose harsh sanctions on Iran.

A senior source in Jerusalem said the American message to Israel in these talks was to "lower its profile" and refrain from "ranting and raving" about Iran in public until the international evaluation on Iran takes place at the end of September. "Until that date, we must give diplomacy a chance," the official said.
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New sanctions would mainly aim to significantly curb Tehran's ability to import refined petroleum products. Despite its huge crude oil reserves, Iran has only limited refining capacity, so it imports large quantities of refined products such as gasoline.

LeaNder

curious, two comments about the article http://haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1104208.html>you alert to. First on the larger scenario by http://www.richardsilverstein.com/tikun_olam/>Richard Silverstein. He mentions a joint US/Israel "Red Flag" exercise too. Barak Ravid:

The article closes with the rather startling announcement that National security advisor Jim Jones told the Israelis that Pres. Obama will personally travel to China in an attempt to persuade that country to end its opposition to a sanctions regime. Frankly, I’m astonished that an American president would act as an errand boy on Israel’s behalf. Not to mention, that he hasn’t a ghost of a chance of persuading China that it should dump Iran and facilitate a possible Middle East war.

And, second a comment by The Magnes Zionist/"Jerry Haber" on http://themagneszionist.blogspot.com/2009/07/dutch-government-has-no-intention-of.html>Barak Ravid, it's author. Admittedly not quite the exact context. But I seem to remember, he mentioned this before.

Question: What are the words for "Foreign Ministry spin" in Hebrew?

Answer: "Barak Ravid"

Ravid was also, if I remember well, the main source for the fact that the Gaza war happened after "month of planning". No matter if true or not, it surely was a sucessful story.

curious

10 months from now, when global demand of oil recover (Asia/latin america) and Saudi still pissed with the fact that there is no Palestinian resolution, the new law above will cause US recession.

(Iran, Iraq, venezuela, Russia comparises of 30% of global oil supply. Each one of them couldn't care less if US is gone.)

They are going to dismantle US oil supplier and asian supplier will take care the rest.

and on that note, afghanistan oil cost just in crease by a little bit.

Like I say, the 3 big conflicts US are in are feeding each other (Israel, Iraq, afghanistan) and now Iran.

W shape recession is a guarantee.

http://jta.org/news/article/2009/07/31/1006939/senate-would-ban-iran-dealers-from-supplying-reserve

Senate would ban Iran dealers from supplying reserve

By Ron Kampeas · July 31, 2009

WASHINGTON (JTA) -- The U.S. Senate approved legislation that would ban companies that deal with Iran from supplying the U.S. strategic oil reserve.

The amendment was part of an energy and water supply bill that passed Thursday evening and would ban companies that sell at least $1 million in refined petroleum to Iran from supplying the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

Iran is a major supplier of raw crude, but its refining capabilities have deteriorated and it imports much of its refined petroleum. The U.S. reserve is the world's largest supply of reserve oil.

The legislation, which must now be reconciled with a similar bill in the U.S. House of Representatives, is part of a broader congressional push to pass legislation that would enable President Obama to cripple Iran's economy should it not stand down from its suspected nuclear weapons program.

curious

anybody has scenario? mine is looking nastier by days.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601104&sid=aMiQmByND.2A

The U.S. Defense Department wants to accelerate by three years the deployment of a 30,000-pound bunker-buster bomb, a request that reflects growing unease over nuclear threats from Iran and North Korea.

Comptroller Robert Hale, in a formal request to the four congressional defense committees earlier this month, asked permission to shift about $68 million in the Pentagon’s budget to this program to ensure the first four bombs could be mounted on stealthy B-2 bombers by July 2010.

Hale, in his July 8 request, said there was “an urgent operational need for the capability to strike hard and deeply buried targets in high-threat environments,” and top commanders of U.S. forces in Asia and the Middle East “recently identified the need to expedite” the bomb program.

The bomb would be the U.S. military’s largest and six times bigger than the 5,000-pound bunker buster that the Air Force now uses to attack deeply buried nuclear, biological or chemical sites.

LeaNder

The http://mondoweiss.net/2009/08/saudi-king-said-mr-peace-process-is-all-talk-no-action.html>Roger Cohn article Phil Weiss links to is worth reading completely. A lot about Dennis Ross (starts at page 3 top) and the Obama administration neatly framed with Iran streets and Iranian voices.

curious

economic war is on. Israel better be worth all these.

http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=8805121097

Oil prices jumped above $70 a barrel Monday in Asia on investors' expectations that a recovering global economy will boost crude demand.

Benchmark crude for September delivery was up 73 cents to $70.18 a barrel by midday Singapore time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. London Brent crude increased 70 cents to $72.40 a barrel on Monday. On Friday, the contract rose $2.51 to settle at $69.45.

Oil prices seesawed last week before surging Thursday and Friday as investors bet that crude demand, which has been tepid this summer, will eventually pick up as the economy improves.

Meantime, Iran's OPEC governor Mohammad Ali Khatibi pointed to "optimistic signs in the oil market" and underlined that the news over revival of the global economy would push oil prices to reach $80 a barrel by January.

LeaNder

Hmm, I somehow missed this. Following links from http://www.ips.org/blog/jimlobe/?p=278>here to http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=47794>this neocon experts panel and finally to Barak Ravid again, admittedly yellow cake rings a bell:

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/pages/ShArtStEng.jhtml?itemNo=1102021&contrassID=1&subContrassID=1&title=%27Despite%20tensions,%20U.S.,%20Israel%20unite%20to%20track%20uranium%20to%20Iran%20%27&dyn_server=172.20.5.5>Despite tensions, U.S., Israel unite to track uranium to Iran

The United States has asked 10 uranium-rich countries to tighten their monitoring of sales of the mineral to Iran, according to a document obtained by Haaretz. The move is based on an American estimate that Iran's uranium reserves will run out by 2010. A senior American delegation will arrive in Israel next week for talks on the dialogue between Iran and Western countries, especially regarding the Iranian nuclear program.

The document was distributed by the U.S. State Department to 10 countries that produce yellowcake, a uranium concentrate used as a raw material for enriching uranium. The United States wants the countries to increase monitoring of the sale of yellowcake to Iran.

Since Germany is among the 10 recipients, I wonder if anybody here in charge of the heightened controls for business with Iran is still not aware what it is all about.

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