Vicky Nuland better get her ass back to Ukraine to smooth over the latest kerfuffle. The oligarchs are about to come to blows over what’s left of Ukraine’s resources. It’s going to take more than a bag of cookies this time. This is a quick take on the situation by “The Saker.”
“Then there is the mini-war taking place between the “President” Poroshenko and the notorious Jewish oligarch Kolomoiskii over the control of Ukrtransnafta (read about it here and here). This is a clear sign of the deep process of “Somalization” taking place in which all the power in the country is divided between warlords. Kolomoiskii is probably a far more powerful figure than Poroshenko and he controls the “neo-Khazarian Ukraine” (southern Ukraine, Black Sea cost, Odessa region) and there are many who believe that he is the man who paid for the downing of MH17 (Kolomoiski admitted to this on a private video call by Skype). Still, he is ready to run should it be needed, and has therefore secured three citizenships: Ukrainian, Cypriot and Israeli.”
This showdown is still in its early stages. It began when Poroshenko and the Rada attempted to wrest control of Ukraine’s state run oil and gas administrations away from the de facto control of Kolomoiskyi. Poroshenko intends to privatize these industries and sell them to outside investors in exchange for much needed cash. Kolomoiskyi was having none of this nonsense. He already lost a chunk of his money when Crimea went to Russia and Novorossiya rebelled. He wasn't about to lose more. Poroshenko and his allies in Kiev declared Kolomoiskyi’s actions criminal and vowed to get him under control. Jeffery Pyatt even attempted to talk Kolomoiskyi down. That didn't work. It now appears that Kolomoiskyi is pulling some of his battalions out of the frontline in the Donbas and out of Odessa. They may be going to his stronghold in Dnepropetrovsk or maybe on to Kiev. We don’t know yet. There are also reports of two National Guard battalions loyal to Kiev are also headed to Dnipropetrovsk, although Kiev later denied this.
Along with his recent obscenity laden rants, Kolomoiskyi has made some astonishing statements. He declared that he recognized the legitimacy of the DNR and LNR authorities since the residents of those oblasts voted for and continue to support Zakarchenko and Plotnitsky. He wants other oblasts to have broad federalized authorities and to retain 90% of their revenues. That sounds more like Putin’s position on a federalized Ukraine. In addition to this, a lot of dirty laundry is being aired about criminal activities of many of the leaders of the Kiev junta. Nuland cannot be enjoying this.
This is not as uneven a fight as one may think… one oligarch against the Kiev regime. Kolomoiskyi finances and controls a large part of the Ukrainian military forces. He also controls the fueling capacity for the entire armed forces. His Privatbank is a major part of Ukraine’s financial system. If that bank goes down, Kiev goes down. It is possible that he may assert full control over Dnipropetrovsk, Odessa and other oblasts. He won’t be a popular leader, but he will be a powerful leader. Kiev could be faced with a Novoukrainia as well as a Novorossiya. Or Kolomoiskyi can flee to Israel with most of his money. He would be untouchable there. Or this can all fizzle out in a few days and it will be business as usual in Ukraine.