(I decided to revert to this picture on advice of the committee.)
“What we didn’t do was predict the will to fight. That’s always a problem. We didn’t do it in Vietnam. We underestimated the Viet Cong and the North Vietnamese and overestimated the will of the South Vietnamese. In this case, we underestimated ISIL [the Islamic State] and overestimated the fighting capability of the Iraqi army. . . .I didn’t see the collapse of the Iraqi security force in the north coming. I didn’t see that. It boils down to predicting the will to fight, which is an imponderable.”
Intelligence officials haven’t publicly discussed the prospects for success of President Obama’s small-footprint strategy for combating the Islamic State through a coalition of nations, without directly committing U.S. combat troops. But some officials appear wary. Ignatius in the Washpost
The Afghans have a modismo (a saying) that runs something like "All that is necessary for true satisfaction is to sit by the side of the river until the body of your enemy floats by."
I have a long standing and personal problem with Jimmy Clapper, and I am still waiting for the "float by" of the body. The man perjured himself before the senate last year. Obama protected him from prosecution. Clapper still refuses to acknowledge his crime.
He has always been an incompetent intelligence officer. He really is a bureaucratic, scheming politician who happens to be embedded in the intelligence business.
Now he admits this disastrous failure on his watch. "We" did this and "We" did that? Did he listen to the analysts? Did he? Did he advocate their positions?
He seems puzzled that the US keeps overestimating the ability of "friendly" forces. In many years of participation in this process, I have always seen the same thing. We overestimate the friendlies because the policy people who are the masters of government punish those who insist on saying that "the friendlies" are a pile of crap. They do that because they feel that "the friendlies" are their guys, the existence of whom is the product of the policy peoples' wisdom and they therefore resent criticism of "the friendlies." Since Jimmy and those like him are walking masses of unrestrained ambition they are careful not to displease the mighty.
Why is the man not gone? pl