It is axiomatic in the planning "bidness" that a good plan is as simple as possible. Any well done plan is set within a "universe" of assumptions concerning the situation in which the plan is viable or even needed. For that reason there must exist among the planners a clear and valid understanding of the environment in which the plan will be executed. I do not see that lucidity of thought in the Obama government
The various tasks assigned by a plan must be capable of accomplishment and they must not be mutually interfering, i.e., they must not block each other as they are performed. The tasks in a plan are colloquially referred to by planners as "moving parts." Another planning axiom holds that the more moving parts there are in a plan, the more probable is failure in execution.
Obama appears to have a mass of moving parts in his campaign plan:
- The plan assumes that Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Turkey can be made into active supporters of an anti-IS "war." Qatar and Saudi Arabia were the only Wahhabi dominated states until IS proclaimed its caliphal status. These two countries are deeply sympathetic to IS' goals if not its methods. Both Qatar and Saudi Arabia were instrumental in the early stages of development of IS as it morphed from AQ Iraq, into the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant and then to a final glory as IS. Do we really think it will be easy to enlist Qatar and Saudi Arabia in this fight? Do we really think that these deeply Sunni states are going to support continued Shia governance from Baghdad?