(It appears to me that I have not made an appeal for money for some time. Anyone want to buy SST?)
I think it is time for me to make another appeal for contributions from those of you who wish to see SST continue. This site takes up at least two hours a day of my time. I could quote my consulting rate to you but that would not be in the style of this blog. Think of this appeal as something like the appeals made by PBS for money. There is a button for contributions on SST. Thanks in advance. pl
There will be a 4th turn. It will be played out in the days following the conclusion of the nominating process by the two main American political parties. This should be sometime in early September, 2016. Game Time addressed in Turn 4 will be the six months following the 2 November election.
At that time there will be posted two scenarios (turns 4a and turn 4b) These scenarios will address likely alternative futures in the context of the possible presidencies of the two candidates.
To summarize play at the end of Turn 3:
R+6 hold all of western Syria. The Turkish border has been almost completely sealed by YPG Kurds, US air and R+6 forces west of the Euphrates. there are pockets of SNC forces throughout the west. These continue to be reduced through attrition. Israel and Russia observe an uneasy avoidance of hostilities with each other. Negotiations for a new Syrian constitution to be followed by a referendum continue. Aleppo is entirely in government hands. Reconstruction has begun with heavy Chinese participation. Refugees are returning from Europe and ME countries to government held areas. An EU air and sea lift is facilitating this from southern European ports. Russia now has three ground division equivalents; an airborne division, two motorized rifle divisions and ancillary units in Syria. There are three RuAF regiments spread across many bases. China is heavily subsidizing this effort. Russian 58th Army is the C2 element. The SE suburbs of Damascus are once again in government hands. Jordan has closed its borders to the Syrian opposition. Turkey has not followed through on its threat to close Incirlik air base to the US. Lebanon remains without effective government. IS continues to hold eastern Syria and much of Iraq including Ramadi and Mosul.
The scenario for Turn 4 will resemble this summary.
SST thanks you all for your attention and help. pl
I wish to make it clear to everyone, especially to newcomers that SST is not an arena for childish troll behavior or senseless, empty challenges to serious contributors here. This is a place for earnest discussion, not a place for scoring points. If you wish to protest your treatment, write to me. There is button on the blog for that purpose but I will not have people who go to a lot of trouble in writing for SST abused verbally. pl
SWMBO slipped and fell on some narrow stairs in this old house. This happened last night. She has torn ligaments and fractures and can't do much at the moment. I am fully engaged as nurse/handyman and will be taking a day or two off from SST. pl
I was on Ray Suarez' show "Inside Story" on 14 September at 1830 to discuss post deal US/Iran relations. Because of some legal problem AJ America cannot post or stream their own shows on their own website.
I will post advanced notice of any future appearances there. pl
"A certain little fish had always wanted to fly. It was kept in a very small, clear bowl, and swam round endlessly in circles during the day, and slept a bit at night, at the bottom of its bowl. The fish liked the clear water of his bowl, and he liked the flakes of the fish food which drifted down like tiny, dead leaves." Richard Sale
LTC Michael Oren (IDF Retired), former ambassador to the US, current member of the Knesset and former American citizen has written a book.
He was just on FZ's Sunday newsie slugging it out with Martn Indyk, former British something or other, former Australian official, former Assistant Secretary of State, etc., and currently an American citizen.
I find Indyk amusing. He called me up on behalf of his neocon pals (probably) to reproach me with not "confessing" to being a registered (FARA) agent (Syria). I told him that I was not and had never been but had been the registered agent of a Lebanese businessman as head of his family foundation, the foundation having been involved in funding various pro-peace studies that were provided to the State Department. He hung up, but, today he walloped Oren hard and I can only offer my congratulations.
I have decided to close comments on the two Charleston threads. Comments have become too divisive for my taste. We will not publish Roof's supposed manifesto. I doubt that he wrote it. He doesn't seem up to that. pl
I am very grateful to Dr. Silverman for the fine work he has done on SST the last few days. I am feeling better and will now resume the management as of now. The statue is of Major John Mason, an ancestor. pl
SSTers, I just wanted to do a bit of housekeeping as we keep things going here while COL Lang is on hiatus.
I would like to ask the other front pagers: TTG, Patrick Bahzad, Confused Ponderer, Mr. Sale, Babelfish, Harper - did I miss anybody? - to just keep posting as regularly as you like. If there are any problems on anything and you need to reach me, I've set up a gmail address for myself just for SST stuff while COL Lang is away. It is: adamlsilvermanSST@gmail.com.
I'm going to try to do one to two posts a day, plus respond to comments. The latter will likely be in the evening (US EDT)
If I miss something, please let me know.
A thank you in advance to all the other front pagers and all the commenters that will keep everything running as well as possible until COL Lang gets back.
I've been ill the last month and need some time off from SST. Adam Silverman is the Deputy Moderator of SST and will deal with the blog until I return. BTW, IMO the best thing on TV just now is "Wolf Hall." Pat
"Long did I seek her in disreputable alleys and taverns. It was more difficult to learn to do without her than to lose the taste for Greek wine. Some months after I lost sight of her, I learned by chance that she had attached herself to a small company of men and women who were followers of a young Galilean thaumaturgist. His name was Jesus; he came from Nazareth, and he was crucified for some crime, I don’t quite know what. Pontius, do you remember anything about the man?”" Anatole France
Harrison Street where it intersects with Tiffin at the top of the grade from Florissant
Tiffin Street looking up the grade from Florissant. The intersection with Harrison is at the top of the grade. The policemen shot were standing across Florissant Street just behind this POV.
The view from the intersection of Tiffin and Harrison looking down the hill to Florissant. This is a "T" intersection. Harrison is to the right. The "beaten zone" for the bullets is across Florissan in what is now a grassy strip behind a metal (not solid) fence.
The small Christian minority communities in Syrian and Iraq are threatened with extinction by IS, Nusra and the like. These people typically live in scattered clusters of villages near the Kurdish areas of the two countries. these Christians are among the earliest adherents of Christianity, ar ethe original inhabitants of those lands and were well tolerated by the Ottomans and all succeeding governments until the jihadis arrived on the scene.
The jihadis hate them as much as they hate other Muslims, Yazidis and other ethno-religious minorities. The jihadis are now attacking the Christian villages in both countries, taking hostages and murdering the men.
Is it legal for US citizens to donate money to the militias of political parties that are trying to defend these villages, often with foreign volunteer instruction by European and American soldiers.
The US now has federal law that penalizes and threatens with prosecution anyone who provides "material support" to terrorists.
I am concerned that some of these Christian militia groups may have some sort of connection to Kurdish groups like the PKK ot YPG who are fighting IS in the same areas.
Is there a US government list that designates some of these Christian groups as legal for private citizen support? pl
Tonight I watched Brooks of the NY Times explain to Woodruff and Shields the religious motivation of IS. He had it exactly right. They did not have a clue as to what he was talking about. Congratulations to him. I have no way to communicate to him. I hope one of you will pass my compliments. pl