"The operation of the Syrian government forces in the Aleppo city is facing a real challenge. A critical moment in the activity of the loyalists was the fall of the town of Khan Touman that has been seized by Al Nusra and the group’s allies. Iranians took major casualties in the clashes there. Meanwhile, Palestinian militias failed to cut the militants’ supply lines in the area of Handarat. The source of this situation isn’t a secret. It’s a low level of the staff planning exercise and tactics of the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and the Army of the Guardians of the Islamic Revolution (IRGC). For example, to rely only on irregular military formations in the atempt to cut off the supply lines of the militants near Aleppo is a major mistake.
Describing this operation, Western experts argue some difficulties between Moscow and Teheran. According to them, Iran is pushing a military solution of the Syrian crisis, while Russia is supporting the international diplomatic efforts as the only successful way. Iranian forces are also dissatisfied by the low level of the Russian air support at Khan Touman, ignoring bad weather conditions at that time. SouthFront doesn’t support the radical views of the Western experts because the ongoing diplomatic efforts don’t exclude the ability to conduct military operations against the sides, excluded from the ceasefire. However, the recent developments have shown clearly that the IRGC isn’t able to independent offensive or defensive operations without the Russian air support and let’s be clear without Russian military strategists." South Front
South Front is well connected in Russian military circles. In this military Sitrep for the 23rd of May the publication makes several interesting and probably well informed assertions:
- That Moscow and Teheran are now pursuing different objectives with regard to Syria
- That Russia has decided that a political settlement is necessary.
- That Iran continues to seek a military solution to the war.
- that Syrian and Iranian staff planning is inadequate to the complexity and scope of operations in this war.
Well, pilgrims, unity of command and purpose are necessary to success in war. if Russia has given up the fight for a united Syria then Syria will eventually be a geographical expression, something like Italy before the mid-nineteenth century. An Alawi/minorities enclave on the coast would be possible and one or more salafi emirates would e IMO likely.
Iff all this is true, Kerry HAS succeeded in winning through diplomacy what could not be achieved on the battlefield. pl