The British flag without Scotland? pl
"Opinion polls, financial markets and bookmakers are unanimous - Scotland will reject independence in a historic referendum next month and the United Kingdom will endure.
But what if, as Scots nationalists believe, the polls are wrong? Experts say it is a possibility.
The Sept. 18 vote, the first of its kind in British history, has thrown up unique circumstances which make forecasting the outcome unusually difficult. Surveys are consistent on trends but diverge when it comes to the size of the gap between the two campaigns.
Few are ready to exclude an upset.
"Pollsters are particularly nervous given the disparity between them," John Curtice, a professor at Strathclyde University and a leading authority on polling, told Reuters.
"Some of the polls are definitely wrong because they don't agree. We just don't know which ones yet. This is a pretty tough call for the polling industry."" Reuters
IMO Scotlamd will not vote in the majority for independence. Most people in every country favor the status quo whatever it is. The lure of sterling, the National Health Service, UK government services extended to Scottiah police, the sentiment derived from shared history in war; these things all argue in cautious minds for the status quo. If I were a Scot I would vote for independence as a matter of national pride, but then, I am not a cautious man.
"Twm Morys was boiling carrots for his children when he momentarily stopped to recite a 15th-century battle chant in Welsh. Beating out the guttural consonants with a stave on his kitchen floor until they rang in every last corner of his farmhouse, Mr. Morys, a well-known poet, said it was time to put “fire in the belly” of his people.
He is not the only one. In the ancient mountains towering above this coastal town in northern Wales, where eight in 10 people speak the native Celtic tongue, and many carry names their fellow Britons would not dare pronounce, Welsh nationalists have their eyes firmly set on independence — Scottish independence.
Less than a month before Scotland holds a referendum on whether to leave Britain, Wales is watching with a mix of envy, excitement and trepidation." NY Times
I suppose that "Twm" means either "Tim" or "Tom" in Welsh as "Tamzin" is a feminine form af "Thomas' in Cornish. The outcome in Scotland will affect public debate in Wales and Ulster. The Norman, Angevin and Plantagenet kings unified England by force of arms and sheer brutality. They then moved on in seeking to unify Britain and Ireland. Edward Longshanks' Welsh castles are sited to control the principality. The British heir's title of "Prince of Wales" was not created as a sign of friendship for the Welsh. It was first given to Edward II before his father's death to focus him on retaining posession of Wales against Welsh rebellion. Edward "Longshanks" also broke the back of Scottish resistance to English hegemony and he did so on the battlefield. The Tudor union of the Scottish and English crowns and the later Act of Union were relly just "icing on the cake." Now these forced unions threaten to bear belated fruit in the form of dissolution.
Christine Helms in her essay 'Memory is the Collective Toolshed" wrote that:
"THE HISTORICAL MEMORY OF A NATION IS NOT MERELY A REPOSITORY. OUR VISION OF THE PAST CHANNELS OUR VISION OF THE FUTURE BY CONSTRAINING OPTIONS, BUT ALSO IT PLAYS A PROACTIVE ROLE. THIS MEMORY IS ACTUALLY A VERY IMPORTANT FACTOR IN STRUGGLE.... IF ONE CONTROLS PEOPLES' MEMORY, ONE CONTROLS THEIR DYNAMISM.... IT IS VITAL TO HAVE POSSESSION OF THIS MEMORY, TO CONTROL IT, TO ADMINISTER IT, TELL IT WHAT IT MUST CONTAIN.' COLLECTIVE MEMORY IS THE TOOLSHED, TOMORROW'S IDEOLOGICAL ARSENAL, FROM WHICH POLITICAL CONCEPTS AND SYMBOLS ARE SELECTED, REINTERPRETED, AND MANIPULATED BOTH BY ESTABLISHED GOVERNMENTS AND OPPOSITION GROUPS. IT MAY WAIT FOR DECADES, PATIENTLY DORMANT, ONLY TO BE REACTIVATED SUDDENLY AS AN EXPLOSIVE CONTAGIOUS FORCE." DR. CHRISTINE M. HELMS IN MCNAIR PAPER # 10 "ARABISM AND ISLAM: STATELESS NATIONS AND NATIONLESS STATES." SEPTEMBER, 1990.
There is profound truth in her essay. Will the almost Jungian tug of "the toolshed" triumph or will an assurance of free dentistry prevail? pl