While I am not a military person, after years of studying history, it now seems to me that the reading of the tea leaves in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict foreshadow a changing of the meme. The leaves now seem to align to a conclusion that Israel may now be committing suicide. The myth cycle is turning against Israel.
Coming out of the holocaust, Israel had a huge moral benefit of western guilt that enabled it to expand within Palestine and to concentrate the Palestinian population into increasingly more restricted areas. The PLO’s support of violence, coming to the fore during the 1972 Munich Olympics massacre and the continuing Islamist violence thereafter gave Israel a free hand to fill nearly all of the lands of historic Israel without providing any real justice to the displaced Palestinians. Immigration from Russia strengthened Israel’s power by increasing its population beyond its existing birthrate. That population growth pressured the forming of the West Bank Settlements that devastated the life of the West Bankers.
As the decades passed, more Islamist violence further estranged western sympathy away from the Palestinians. Israel was able to cast itself as the David standing up to the Islamic hoard and thereby captured the unquestioning support of most of the American polity. The meme was supported by the accommodation of Egypt and Jordan who did not want the Palestinians interfering in their nations and eliminated thousands.
No fairness, justice, or recognized nationality was ever afforded to the Palestinians. The whole world just turned the other way and mostly ignored their plight. This lack of humaneness, fostered extreme violence in return, is the genesis of the current suicidal acts. The reciprical violence returned by the Palestinians convinced a complicit press that all were terrorists and furthered the David against the Islamic hoards meme.
Team Spirit prevented development of any compassionate meme within the Jewish or western polity. That same Team Spirit corrupted American politics, purchasing the loyalty of most American decision makers and convincing them to turn the other way from viewing the growing desperation of the Palestinians.
The suicidal behavior accelerated as Israel pressed settlements into the West Bank and the constructed the Wall. Human compassion has been abandoned by Israel in its treatment of the innocent and the resisters, alike, all who are subject to the compression of Israeli rule in Palestine and Gaza. As the Palestinians became more compressed and their population expanded, more Palestinians joined the Palestinian diaspora. Slowly, word of the Palestinian plight became visible around the world. The internet has greatly expanded the access to information about Palestinian life and circumstances.
The Palestinians and the Gazaians seem now to be reaching a point where it is absolutely clear that they are all going to finish their lives as prisoners in bondage unless their whole nation sacrifices the thousands necessary to convince the world that David has become the Herod who murders the innocents.
This is a historic response common to a fully powerless underclass.
As the economic pressure placed on Gaza by the blockade and the increasing encroachments of the West Bank settlements progresses, the desperation of Gazaians and the West Bankers increases exponentially to the point where unacceptable sacrifices have become acceptable in the form of taking losses of children and civilians.
Since the Palestinians are so weak militarily, it is only unilateral death and destruction by Israel that can save it. The only real way the Palestinians can now save themselves, is to provoke murder by Israel as an ultimate weapon of non-violent protest. While the Israelis would argue otherwise, tossing rocks at armored riflemen and shooting fireworks into the desert does not rise to the level true violence. It is just primate demonstration of dare and bravado in the face of overwhelming odds.
Dead infants, by their deaths, function as soldiers in opposition to Israel. All Palestinians, women, infants, children, boys, and men will increasingly function as soldiers to be sacrificed. Children bombed, viewed in pieces on the internet, will increasingly be seen as murder victims. The more brutal the Israelis become, the more valiant will be the services of the Palestinian infants will appear, each of whose death will have more effect than a dozen men killed in a firefight. It seems now, that the Palestinians no longer really have to fight, they only need to invite a response that kills children. If Israel invades, instead of fleeing, the Palestinians may fill the streets en mass to invite death.
The morbid arithmetic will move the meme. Ultimately, and perhaps very quickly, people worldwide will increasingly believe that Israel has become a monster nation with no interest in anything except further extermination of the Palestinian people. As I have written often here before, the myth ideas, or memes, can change almost instantly when people gain the words to express what they tacitly know.
To the extent that people in the greater world know about the plight of the Palestinian people and are informed of the way they exist, those really aware of the plight of the Palestinians tacitly know a horrible crime is in process against them. It seems to me that once the language is invented and learned, Israel will be in a huge hurt with few avenues for rescue. Unlike at the time of Israel’s formation when news was printed or broadcast by a few, the whole world is watching now and can see the full gore on the internet. The pictures will scream against Israel.
In reality, Gaza is now a death camp. The Gazaians are on an involuntary diet, subject to a malicious coriander blockade that deprives their entire society of any hope. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/oct/17/israeli-military-calorie-limit-gaza Israel bombs and attacks helpless people with impunity, teased on by fireworks rockets that nearly never kill. Truly, Israel plays the role of the ultimate bully. It is just astounding that their leaders are so blind that they cannot see they are leading a Goliath to stand between the pillars.
Given the visual effect of tens of thousands of destroyed homes and pieces of dead children spread on the internet, soon the meme will grow that those who suffered the holocaust now are running their own death camp, devoid of human compassion. The world is not devoid of human compassion and once the meme changes, things will change rapidly.
My thought is that the whole people of Palestine know that protest by self imposed bombing of children is now the only way forward. Any “peace” on Israel’s terms means only self-imprisonment and ultimate self-annihilation. My prediction is that the fireworks-rockets will continue to fly. If Israel is suckered, we see more aerial bombing by Israel and it will cause the end of itself within a few months or years. If Israel invades, the Gazaians may, like the Blacks at the lunch counters in the 1960s, just stand quietly blocking the military targets, without resisting except by their physical presence, to be trampled or killed before the cameras.
Israel is acting suicidally. If it cannot learn how to change, it will kill itself. To survive, Israel must find a way to give justice to the Palestinians, starting immediately. Once the meme in America changes as it is now changing in Europe, Israel will have succeeded in destroying itself by its own hand.
Hopefully, the meme will change in Israel first, and the kind people there will regain control from the fanatics so the Jews can save themselves and their nation. If not, there will soon be another green revolution in the ME, the Coriander Revolution, (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:A_scene_of_Coriander_leaves.JPG) and there will be a one state solution. Then, we will see whether the Jews in Haifa, Palestine get equal protection of the sharia laws.
Israel cannot win through suicidal activity. Israel desperately needs a suicide prevention counsellor.