"Clapper said his expectations for Syrian peace negotiations in Geneva are "pretty modest" and called prospects for a long-term political solution to the three-year-long civil war "problematic." He said his expects a "sort of prolonged stalemate" in which Assad's government does not have the strength to hold onto territory it clears, and the opposition has enough external support to keep fighting." NY Times
I do not agree.
IMO the Syrian armed forces, Hizbullah infantry, Iraqi Shia volunteer militia, and Syrian pro-government militias backed by Iranian trainers and materiel will gradually grind down the opposition. The key to successs in this endeavor will be economy of force as a principle. In other words, conservation of forces and maximum application of materiel should be the method followed. The resources available are not infinite, but neither are those of the rebels. So long as Russia continues to use its Security Council seat to oppose rebel victory the Syrian government will be able to keep moving toward suppression of the rebellion.
Those who hope for a rebel triumph should contemplate the fact that the likely result of such a development would be a Sunni, jihadi government deeply hostile to the US, the West and Israel. pl