It was joined an hour later by another division and then more units. I believe the the two commanders of the defected divisions belong to the Bakil tribe.
The elders of the tribe declared a week ago that they are taking the side of the protestors. Both are Northern. There are many questions now about the impact on al- Qaida organization particularly in the South. It is unlikely at this juncture that the voices for secession will rise at least for now. In all this mess, there is a good opportunity that an inclusive equation will emerge. It will be a very tough call but it is worth every bit of effort. Looking at the situation I believe that we are heading for a long period of a very messy process in Yemen though one can only hope it will end with a stable Yemen.
What happens in Yemen will have a very loud echo in the Arabian Peninsula. The role of Saudi Arabia will be crucial. This necessitates an immediate dialogue between Washington and Riyad. If left on their own, the Saudi will turn to be part of the problems we are about to see not part of the solution.
These army mutinies will probably finish off Ali Abdullah Salih. He is a Hashid tribesman from among the enemies of the Bakil from whence the mutineers originated. Yemen is an intensely tribal society in the areas away from Sanaa and Aden. The tribal element in this should not be minimized. Awlaki the AQAP leader is from way down in the SE of the cuntry. The coup has nothinh to do with him/them. Will a new government cooperate as much with the US against AQAP? Probably not.
Saudi Arabia? They are going to move much closer to China in terms of business, defense, etc. the government there has decided that the US is a faithless friend and that they must find other protectors. they are not going to help us much. pl