"The chance that Israel will launch a military strike against Iran before next July is over 50 percent, according to an article to be published in the upcoming issue of the journal theAtlantic. The article's author, Jeffrey Goldberg, gleaned this information from interviews he conducted over the last year-and-a-half with forty current and past Israeli decision makers." JPOST
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Jeffrey Goldberg's upcoming article in the "Atlantic" is summarized here by JPOST. IMO this is about right. The only question is timing. Without specific knowledge of the decision on the date it is impossible to do more than guess.
Goldberg doesn't think that the US would eventually be drawn into such a war? That is foolish. The escalation ladder that would be climbed would be likely to include attacks on US forces and a strike on Israel would be probable from some quarter. That would create a political situation in which US entry into the war would be likely.
I thought several years ago that the US was on the verge of attacking Iran. The Goldberg article tends to confirm that and informs us that President Bush himself put the brakes on such an attack at that time. pl
http://www.jpost.com/IranianThreat/News/Article.aspx?id=184401http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/2010/08/an_israeli_stri/
